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Technical Analysis – USDCAD blossoms ahead of central bank speeches

USDCAD rises rapidly; reverses November-December downtrend Risk of profit-taking increases as a familiar resistance area comes into sight Fed and BoC governors scheduled to speak at 17:15 GMT   USDCAD sped up to unlock a new five-month high of 1.3820 on Tuesday despite the release of stronger-than-expected Canadian CPI data. Having enjoyed their best weekly session so far this year, the bulls are dreaming of more gains after exiting the four-month-old bullish channel on the upsi
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EURCHF remains beneath uptrend line MACD and RSI momentum weakens EURCHF is recovering some losses after the bearish gap that opened on Monday, remaining beneath the steep rising trend line. The pair may be ready for a bearish correction, mirrored by the technical oscillators. The RSI is flattening beneath the neutral threshold of 50, while the MACD is standing beneath its trigger line in the positive region.
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JP 225 index pulls back from its all-time high Drops below 50-day SMA to face March support Momentum indicators are skewed to the downside The JP 225 index (cash) has been experiencing a downside correction after posting a fresh all-time high of 41,147 on March 21. In the near term, the price has declined beneath its 50-day simple moving average (SMA), while currently testing the March support of 38,300. Should the price break below the crucial 38,300 zone, the bears could at
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Market Comment – Stocks slide, dollar soars as rate cut bets take another hit

Surging US retail sales dampen Fed rate cut expectations Wall Street sinks, dollar scales fresh highs as yields jump China GDP beat offers only tepid support as March data disappoints Yen continues to tumble, risk of intervention grows The problem with a hot economy As markets awaited Israel’s response to Iran’s missile and drone assault over the weekend, Fed rate cut expectations took centre stage again.
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What’s next for markets amid Israel-Iran tensions?

Iran launches strikes against Israel, but markets don’t panic  Traders seem hopeful this won’t escalate into full-blown war How Israel responds will be crucial for risky assets and oil prices   Political theater?  Tensions in the Middle East reached boiling point over the weekend after Iran launched drone and missile strikes against Israel, in retaliation to an Israeli attack on an Iranian diplomatic consulate in Syria earlier this month.
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Technical Analysis – GBPUSD pulls back into the negative zone

GBPUSD inches down to a new five-month low An extension below 1.2400 could generate fresh selling interest     GBPUSD tried to breach the psychological barrier at 1.2500 and re-establish itself within the 1.2488-1.2892 range. But its efforts proved unsuccessful, with the pair charting a new lower low of 1.2405 during Tuesday’s early trading hours – the lowest level since November 2023. The bears might take a breather soon as the stochastic oscillator has reached its previous s
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Geopolitical developments and stronger US data push volatility to new highs across the board – Volatility Watch

Volatility remains extremely high across the FX spectrum Commodities volatility reaches new highs; Bitcoin poised for smaller moves Equities volatility is off the charts led by the S&P 500 and DAX 40 indices Volatility in EUR/USD remains very high as the pair recorded a decent weekly drop following the stronger US CPI data. Geopolitical events have also played a crucial role in pushing volatility higher in the remaining currencies, including the yen crosses, with the market n
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Technical Analysis – AUDUSD breaks the lower bound of a sideways range

AUDUSD extends slide after breaking lower bound of range MACD and RSI detect bearish momentum Break below 0.6390 could aim for 0.6335 Recovery above 0.6500 could signal return within range AUDUSD extended its tumble on Monday and during the Asian session Tuesday, falling below the key support barrier of 0.6455. On Friday, the pair broke below the lower end of a sideways range that was containing most of the price action since mid-January, and the dip below 0.6455 may have confi
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Technical Analysis – EURUSD dives further near 1.0600

EURUSD challenges new 5-month low Penetrates symmetrical triangle to the downside MACD and RSI continues bearish momentum EURUSD has been losing more than 2.5% since the pullback from the 1.0880 resistance level and is challenging a new five month low around the 1.0600 handle. The market has been experiencing a strong sell-off over the last five days, switching the short-term outlook to bearish.
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China’s Q1 GDP growth next on the Asian calendar – Preview

China’s Q1 GDP expected to fall below 5.0% on Tuesday at 02:00 GMT Expansion to remain solid but unlikely to quell stimulus calls  AUDUSD tests lower boundary of the 2024 range    China to report weaker GDP after disappointing trade data China remains a major trade partner for advanced economies such as the US and Europe, especially in the manufacturing sector, where its global dominance in terms of production and value added surpasses its peers by a large margin.
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Goldman Sachs shares pull back from record high levels Jump back above 50-day SMA after solid Q1 earnings call Short-term oscillators turn positive Goldman Sach’s stock has been in a steady advance since October 2023, posting consecutive multi-month highs and peaking at 418.00 just shy of the record peak of 425.00. Although the price had been losing ground in the near term, it reclaimed the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) due to the upbeat Q1 earnings report.

Technical Analysis – USDJPY rallies to another fresh 34-year high

USDJPY surpasses 154.00 Round numbers to be watched Stochastics indicate overstretched market USDJPY is surging to another multi-year high above the 154.00 round number, adding 0.8% so far today. The technical oscillators are holding in overbought regions. The RSI is suggesting that more gains may be on cards; however, the stochastic oscillator is indicating an overstretched market as it is creating a bearish crossover within its %K and %D lines above the 80 level, hinting that a p
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Will Netflix earnings take the share price closer to its record highs? – Stock Markets

Netflix is set to announce strong EPS and revenue growth Subscribers and ad revenue may take center stage High valuation and performance increase downside risks The streaming giant publishes results on Thursday, after the closing bell Analysts expect stellar performance On April 18, Netflix is scheduled to announce its earnings results for Q1 2024, with expectations pointing to earnings-per-share (EPS) of $4.52, marking an outstanding increase of 56.81% from the same reporting
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Technical Analysis – US 500 reverses towards 123.6% Fibonacci

US 500 cash index experiences a minor pullack Meets support at 123.6% Fibo extension of its 2022 downtrend Oscillators exit overbought zones, but do not weaken dramatically The US 500 stock index (cash) has been staging an impressive rally since it bottomed out in October 2023, generating consecutive all-time highs. Although the price has been experiencing a setback in the past two weeks, it’s still too early to call for a sustained downside correction.
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Market Comment – Iranian attacks put markets on edge, but fallout limited

Markets steady after Israel and allies intercept Iranian missiles and drones Hopes of no further escalation in conflict lift equities, oil slips But gold and dollar hold near highs Yen at fresh 34-year lows ahead of US retail sales Markets brush off Middle East escalation Iran’s unprecedented attack on Israel over the weekend was met with an unusual calm in the markets on Monday as investors downplayed the risk of an Israeli counteroffensive.
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Weekly Technical Outlook – GBPUSD, USDJPY, AUDUSD

Will UK CPI data drive cable even lower? USDJPY still skyrockets ahead of Japanese CPI China GDP may help AUDUSD exit from trading range UK CPI data --> GBPUSD Inflation in the United Kingdom dropped to 3.4% in February, and experts predict that it will fall to    3.1% in March. It is anticipated that the core figure will likewise fall once more.
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Technical Analysis – Gold in a wait-and-see mode

Gold opens near Friday’s closing price as safe-haven demand stabilizes Bulls wait for a break above 2,430; Bears anticipate a drop below 2,325   It was a harsh weekend, as Iran’s retaliatory missile and drone attack against Israel sparked concerns of global conflict. But traders seem to have concluded this attack will not lead to further escalation for the time being, averting another record rally in the safe-haven gold.
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UK inflation report could shift the market’s focus away from geopolitics – Preview

BoE’s determination could be tested if this week’s CPI prints surprise on the upside Pound could benefit from a strong set of data this week Employment data will be released on Tuesday; the inflation report on Wednesday Inflation in the spotlight At the last Bank of England meeting, which is still relatively fresh in the market’s mind, the Committee maintained its balanced approach.
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Technical Analysis – GBPUSD ticks down to new 5-month low

GBPUSD slips below trading range MACD and RSI indicate more losses Is it time for a bearish retracement? GBPUSD is falling from the long-term consolidation range of 1.2520-1.2820, meeting the 1.2495 support level. The pair is posting a new five-month low, suggesting that more decreases may be on the cards. According to technical oscillators, the MACD is extending its negative momentum beneath its trigger and zero lines, while the RSI is pointing down, approaching the 30 threshold
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Bitcoin holds above $70,000 as halving event looms – Crypto News

Bitcoin trades sideways after posting 3-week high on Monday Cryptos seem resilient to expectations of fewer rate cuts Spot Bitcoin ETFs could soon get approval in Hong Kong Halving to occur next week, will it be a sell-the-fact event?   Bitcoin stable around all-time highs Bitcoin has been in a steady upside trajectory since the beginning of the month, surging to a fresh three-week high of $72,730 on Monday.
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إخلاء المسؤولية: تتيح كيانات XM Group خدمة تنفيذية فقط والدخول إلى منصة تداولنا عبر الإنترنت، مما يسمح للشخص بمشاهدة و/أو استخدام المحتوى المتاح على موقع الويب أو عن طريقه، وهذا المحتوى لا يراد به التغيير أو التوسع عن ذلك. يخضع هذا الدخول والاستخدام دائماً لما يلي: (1) الشروط والأحكام؛ (2) تحذيرات المخاطر؛ (3) إخلاء المسؤولية الكامل. لذلك يُقدم هذا المحتوى على أنه ليس أكثر من معلومات عامة. تحديداً، يرجى الانتباه إلى أن المحتوى المتاح على منصة تداولنا عبر الإنترنت ليس طلباً أو عرضاً لدخول أي معاملات في الأسواق المالية. التداول في أي سوق مالي به مخاطرة عالية برأس مالك.

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أي محتوى تابع للغير بالإضافة إلى المحتوى الذي أعدته XM، مثل الآراء، والأخبار، والأبحاث، والتحليلات والأسعار وغيرها من المعلومات أو روابط مواقع تابعة للغير وواردة في هذا الموقع تُقدم لك "كما هي"، كتعليق عام على السوق ولا تعتبر نصيحة استثمارية. يجب ألا يُفسر أي محتوى على أنه بحث استثماري، وأن تلاحظ وتقبل أن المحتوى غير مُعدٍ وفقاً للمتطلبات القانونية المصممة لتعزيز استقلالية البحث الاستثماري، وبالتالي، فهو بمثابة تواصل تسويقي بموجب القوانين واللوائح ذات الصلة. فضلاً تأكد من أنك قد قرأت وفهمت الإخطار بالبحوث الاستثمارية غير المستقلة والتحذير من مخاطر المعلومات السابقة، والذي يمكنك الاطلاع عليه هنا.

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