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USDCHF


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Swiss franc shines bright, but will SNB clip its wings?

Stellar year for Swiss franc, tied for best-performing major currency End to negative rates, FX interventions, and safety flows helped Next week's SNB decision and risk tone could decide franc's fate Flying under the radar Even though it hasn’t attracted many headlines, the Swiss franc has gone on a silent winning streak. It is virtually tied with the British pound as the top-performing currency of this year, while it has gained more than 3% against both the US dollar and
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Technical Analysis – USDCHF held down by 23.6% Fibo

USDCHF in a strong recovery mode from its 2023 low Advance paused around 23.6% Fibo of 0.8928 Possibility of a fresh downleg in case of a rejection USDCHF has been in a steady advance since its 2023 bottom of 0.8551, but the short-term rally seems to be running out of steam. The momentum indicators are also reflecting a loss of positive momentum, but the bulls have not surrendered yet.
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Technical Analysis – USDCHF opens the door to more upside

USDCHF stepped above the 0.8890 restricted zone on Wednesday, fueling hopes that the recovery could pick up momentum during the next sessions. The technical indicators are endorsing the bullish scenario as the RSI and the MACD are clearly trending higher and above their neutral marks. The stochastic oscillator is sloping upwards too, though it has already crossed above its 80 overbought level, feeding speculation that additional gains could soon take halt.
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Technical Analysis – Has the USDCHF bull wave peaked?

USDCHF reversed on Tuesday after six weeks of gains, as the bulls became tired near the resistance trendline at 0.8840 from March. The 20- and 50-day simple moving averages (SMAs) came immediately to defend the upleg that started from the eight-year low of 0.8515 in mid-July. Traders might also keep a close eye on the 23.6% Fibonacci mark of the March-July downfall, slightly lower at 0.8760. If that base cracks, they may press the price towards the 0.8700 constraining area.
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Technical Analysis – USDCHF rangebound as 50-period SMA caps retreat

USDCHF has been steadily gaining ground in the four-hour chart after bouncing off the July double bottom region of 0.8551. Even though the pair has been forming a structure of higher lows in the short term, its failure to post higher highs has been slowly shifting the technical picture to neutral. The momentum indicators currently suggest that the bullish forces retain the upper hand.
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Technical Analysis – USDCHF upleg extends to 50-SMA

USDCHF is worth watching in the coming sessions as its recent upswing caught up to the  50-day simple moving average (SMA) and the 0.8800 level. Technical signals are mixed. The RSI and the MACD have moderately strengthened above their neutral levels for the first time in two months, increasing speculation that the bull run could develop higher.
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Technical Analysis – USDCHF retains short-term upleg

USDCHF found support near the 0.8700 round level on Monday with the scope to regain its positive momentum after a short correction last week. Overall, the pair has been on an upward trend since mid-July and the positive trajectory in the RSI and the MACD is still feeding hopes that the pair could reach higher levels. However, some confirmation will be needed as the RSI has yet to climb above its 50 neutral mark and the MACD is still some distance below zero.
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Technical Analysis – USDCHF in bullish corrective mode; eyes on 0.8700

USDCHF rotated northwards after its latest, almost vertical, downfall halted at the bottom line of the broad bearish channel at 0.8554. The price is currently flirting with the 0.8700 round-level as the stochastic oscillator is pointing to overbought conditions, increasing the risk for a downside correction. The RSI is still some distance below its 50 neutral mark, but its positive trajectory suggests buying appetite is improving.
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Technical Analysis – USDCHF freefall hits channel’s bottom line

USDCHF sank to its lowest level since January 2015 when the Swiss National Bank shocked markets by scrapping its three-year-old cap on the Swiss franc. The pair is currently consolidating its 4.0% weekly freefall near the lower boundary of the broad bearish channel slightly below 0.8600. This is where the price drifted higher in January 2015. Therefore, with the RSI and the Stochastics having dived significantly within the oversold zone, an upside reversal could be possible in the coming sessio
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Technical Analysis – Will USDCHF get back on a downtrend?

USDCHF went downhill to print an eight-and-a-half year low of 0.8810 slightly below May’s trough on Tuesday after getting rejected near its 20-day simple moving average (SMA). Another leg down is possible as the RSI and the stochastic oscillator have yet to bottom out in the oversold area. Yet, with the price set to close below the lower Bollinger band for the second consecutive day, a turning point could be near.
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Technical Analysis – USDCHF flattens, but stays within downtrend channel

USDCHF has been trading in a sideways manner since June 16, between the 0.8900 support zone and the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA). That said, in the bigger picture, the pair remains within the downward sloping channel that’s been containing the price action since November 10, which keeps the risk of another leg south firmly on the table. Both the RSI and the MACD indicate a lack of directional speed, corroborating the latest sideways action above 0.8900. The former is flat slightly
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Technical Analysis – USDCHF’s range-trading phase might have run its course

USDCHF is edging higher today, bouncing off the key support area of 0.8931. The pair has been hovering between this support level and the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) for the past 10 sessions, reflecting a delicate balance among market participants. The long-term bearish trend, which has been in place since the October 2022 high, remains intact but a lower low is needed soon.
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Daily Market Comment – Dollar extends gains as hawkish central bank tone sours mood

Recession fears heightened after BoE surprises with 50-bps hike, Eurozone PMIs disappoint Hawkish Fed commentary further underscores need for more central bank tightening Dollar advances as pound and euro slide, Wall Street heads for rare weekly loss Recession gloom returns as growth outlook dims The Federal Reserve and ECB set the tone more than a week ago, but it’s taken another round of hawkish central bank rhetoric, culminating with the Bank of England’s larger-than-expected r
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SNB to raise rates, but will it be enough to lift the franc? – Forex News Preview

The Swiss National Bank (SNB) is widely expected to raise interest rates at 07:30 GMT Thursday, although markets are divided about the size of the move. With inflation grinding lower, the risks seem tilted towards a smaller rate increase that could briefly hurt the Swiss franc, although its overall path will also depend on global risk appetite and FX interventions.   Inflation cools Switzerland’s economy has been flashing some encouraging signals lately.
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Weekly Technical Analysis – GBPUSD, EURUSD, USDCHF

The Bank of England (BoE) and the Swiss National Bank (SNB) will feature in the next series of central bank meetings on Thursday. Investors are speculating that some policymakers might debate a bolder half-point rate hike, with the talks likely being more intense within the SNB. Meanwhile in the eurozone, Friday’s preliminary business PMI figures could be important to watch amid a cracking economic backdrop.
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Week Ahead – Can the BoE and SNB hike by 50bps? Flash PMIs incoming

The central bank theme will continue in the coming week with the Bank of England and Swiss National Bank next to announce their interest rate decisions. Both are expected to raise their policy rates but is there room for hawkish surprises? The flash PMIs for June will also be on investors’ radar as some regions such as the Eurozone grapple with a recession.
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Technical Analysis – USDCHF returns to losses after four weeks

USDCHF corrected sharply lower to 0.8988 on Thursday, posting its largest daily decline since March after being unable to enter the 0.9100 area successfully. The pair is set to post its first loss after four consecutive positive weeks. The pair left a short-term bullish channel, but the 0.8980 zone and 50-day simple moving average (SMA) might limit further downside. That said, the negative trajectory in the momentum indicators is currently reducing the odds for a meaningful rally.
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Daily Market Comment – Stocks resume climb after uptick in jobless claims, dollar tumbles

US weekly jobless claims hit highest in 1½-years, boosting Fed pause bets Tech stocks find reason to celebrate as yields decline but China weakness weighs Dollar skids but steadier today, aussie leads FX weekly gains Jobless claims lift spirits ahead of big week Market expectations for a Fed pause received a slight boost on Thursday, reviving hopes ahead of next week’s FOMC decision after hawkish turns from the RBA and Bank of Canada had dented them.
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Technical Analysis – Will USDCHF start a new bullish wave?

USDCHF is trading at the bottom of an upward-sloping channel, increasing speculation that the pair is preparing for its next bull run as traders are eagerly waiting for the US nonfarm payrolls release. The Stochastic oscillator on the four-hour chart rotated northwards, but it has yet to exit the oversold region above 20, suggesting that some patience is still necessary. In other warning signals, the pair is still comfortably above the lower Bollinger band, questioning the case for an upsid
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Technical Analysis – Is the downtrend over for USDCHF?

USDCHF has been building a base in the form of an inverse head and shoulders (H&S) pattern around a two-year low of 0.8850 over the past month, boosting hopes for a bullish trend reversal. Traders are currently waiting to see whether the pair will find enough buyers to confirm the bullish structure above the 0.9000 neckline, and more importantly, mark a new higher high above the crucial 2023 constraining zone of 0.9070. Notably, the descending trendline, which connects the highs from N
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