Daily Market Analysis

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Daily Market Comment – Dollar whipsaws on Fed’s dovish guidance, upbeat forecasts

Posted on December 17, 2020 at 9:56 am GMT

Fed commits to current pace of QE until it sees “substantial further progress” Dollar jumps on modest tweak, rosy outlook before being pummelled by dovish Powell Pound continues to soar on Brexit deal optimism, euro climbs new highs too Aussie and kiwi on a roll as strong data, US stimulus hopes maintain bullish momentum Fed disappoints before Powell has to reassure The Federal Reserve pledged on Wednesday to keep buying bonds at the existing pace of $120 billion per month [..]

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Daily Market Comment – Two deals in the making and a Fed dilemma

Posted on December 16, 2020 at 10:10 am GMT

US congressional leaders close in on a stimulus deal as talks continue Brexit chatter lifts pound amid rumours a trade deal is within grasp Dollar on the backfoot ahead of least predictable Fed meeting of the year Hopes rise for a deal in Congress Hopes are running high on Capitol Hill that a stimulus deal can be reached after reported progress on Tuesday. US political leaders are set to meet again later today as they inch closer to agreeing on [..]

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Daily Market Comment – Dollar steadies amid fresh virus restrictions; stimulus and Brexit talks linger

Posted on December 15, 2020 at 9:36 am GMT

Tighter virus restrictions dampen vaccine optimism; dollar halts slide, stocks struggle US stimulus talks gain momentum but still no agreement London lockdown knocks pound off its Brexit perch as ‘narrow path’ to deal eyed New virus curbs weigh on sentiment Optimism that an end to the global pandemic is within sight was unable to override the darkening clouds on the immediate horizon as Covid restrictions are on the up again. After Germany’s news that it is to enter a hard [..]

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Daily Market Comment – Pound jumps as Brexit deadline extended yet again

Posted on December 14, 2020 at 9:47 am GMT

Pound soars after Britain and the EU agree to continue talking Progress in US stimulus talks also lifts markets’ spirits, dollar sags But cause for caution ahead of Fed meeting, stocks up modestly UK and EU agree to go “extra mile” to get a deal After a bruising week, sterling was once again riding high on renewed optimism for a post-Brexit trade deal on Monday. UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen had set [..]

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Daily Market Comment – ECB ‘disappointment’ lifts euro, equities struggle

Posted on December 11, 2020 at 12:05 pm GMT

Euro jumps after ECB fails to over-deliver on stimulus package Stocks bounce as Mnuchin hails progress in stimulus talks, but fall back Oil breaks higher, unscathed by recent negative developments Brexit will continue to dominate ahead of Sunday ‘deadline’ ECB firepower fails to impress markets, euro spikes Those looking for a euro-killing stimulus package by the European Central Bank were left disappointed yesterday, with policymakers delivering exactly as much ‘juice’ as markets anticipated. The Bank expanded its QE program by [..]

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Daily Market Comment – Can the ECB muster enough firepower to sink the euro?

Posted on December 10, 2020 at 10:06 am GMT

ECB decision the main event today, can policymakers over-deliver? Stock markets retreat from record highs as US stimulus talks stall Pound drops after top-level Brexit meeting yields no breakthrough Gold under pressure too, yet aussie dollar defies cautious mood ECB preview: Sinking the euro won’t be easy The spotlight will fall on the European Central Bank today, which is widely expected to deliver another easing package of around €500bn, likely complemented by more ultra-generous loans to banks. The bad news [..]

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Daily Market Comment – Investors on alert as California shuts down, gold glitters

Posted on December 8, 2020 at 10:28 am GMT

Markets revert to old pandemic playbook amid new US restrictions Nasdaq hits new highs, but other stock indices drop alongside oil Gold stages heroic comeback, bigger picture still encouraging Sterling on the back foot as PM Johnson heads to Brussels Big tech shines as pandemic concerns resurface A sense of caution has crept back into global markets, as investors try to balance the prospect of more government stimulus and central bank liquidity against the grim pandemic reality, with California announcing [..]

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Daily Market Comment – Wall Street hits new records as ‘bad news’ is good news

Posted on December 7, 2020 at 10:29 am GMT

Disappointing US jobs report fuels hopes for Congressional stimulus deal Stocks hit new highs, dollar stabilizes, big week ahead for markets Sterling suffers amid reports of insufficient Brexit progress Why has the dollar been ravaged lately? Short answer is inflation Bad news is good news in stimulus game Wall Street sailed to a new record high on Friday despite a disappointing US employment report, as investors bet that the soft numbers would put pressure on politicians in Congress to deliver [..]

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Daily Market Comment – US stimulus deal moves closer, Brexit talks ‘go backwards’

Posted on December 4, 2020 at 9:49 am GMT

Stocks at records or near highs as US Republicans change tune on new stimulus Brexit talks go down to the wire, but will France cause a last-minute upset? Dollar slide pauses ahead of NFP report Oil jumps to 9-month high despite OPEC+ raising production early Fresh hopes for US stimulus deal before Christmas Support for a bipartisan stimulus proposal of up to $908 billion gained unexpected traction yesterday as more and more Republicans threw their weight behind the plan. The [..]

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Daily Market Comment – Dollar sinks again on rising optimism but stock rally cools

Posted on December 3, 2020 at 10:03 am GMT

Dollar slide deepens as stimulus and vaccine hopes drive positive theme But vaccine-led rally may have run its course in equity markets as stocks mixed today Tense Brexit talks keep pound on edge, euro roars past $1.21 Oil slips ahead of OPEC+ decision; gold extends rebound The US dollar slipped further on Thursday, slumping to fresh 31-month lows against a basket of currencies, as investors dumped the world’s reserve currency in the face of increased optimism about the global economic [..]

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