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Technical Analysis – UK 100 index retreats below 50-day SMA; upside risks remain

Posted on February 3, 2021 at 2:14 pm GMT

The UK 100 index (Cash) retraced significantly from its 10½-month high of 6,955, plunging underneath the 50-day simple moving average (SMA), only to rebound near the previous trough of 6,312. The positive picture in the index, currently curbed by the 50-day SMA at 6,578, is holding onto hopes of returning higher. Also strengthening this view are the SMAs, which are maintaining a bullish demeanour. The short-term oscillators reflect the recent bounce and continue to favour the upside. The RSI, slightly below [..]

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Daily Market Comment – Dollar, stocks rise in tandem as Democrats push ahead with stimulus

Posted on February 3, 2021 at 10:05 am GMT

Democrats move to fast-track Biden’s stimulus package through Congress Wall Street surges for second day on earnings beats, brighter outlook US yield curve steepens, lifting the greenback; euro gets left behind Stimulus and vaccine hopes buoy markets Optimism about a stronger economic outlook and an ebb in the pandemic continued to gather pace on Wednesday, erasing last week’s jitters that sent stocks plunging and the dollar soaring. Equities have since made a powerful comeback, but the US currency has only [..]

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Technical Analysis – NZDUSD travels slightly above 20-period SMA; neutral bias in short term

Posted on February 3, 2021 at 9:46 am GMT

NZDUSD is moving horizontally over the last three weeks around the 20- and 40-period simple moving averages (SMAs), remaining above the long-term ascending trend line. The RSI is heading upwards with weak momentum, approaching the positive territory, however, the MACD is falling beneath its trigger line, mirroring the latest decline in the price action from the 33-month high of 0.7314. Immediate resistance would likely come from the 0.7245 barrier ahead of the 33-month high of 0.7314. If there is a successful break [..]

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Technical Analysis – USDJPY maintains green immunity; picture optimistic

Posted on February 3, 2021 at 9:26 am GMT

USDJPY is staging impressive gains reaching 105.17 after an initial green candle’s traction from 103.32 morphed into a rally, overcoming the downtrend line drawn from the 111.71 peak, and surpassing the Ichimoku cloud and the 100-day simple moving average (SMA) around 104.39. The bullish Ichimoku lines and the upturn in the 50-day SMA are endorsing the improving sentiment. The short-term oscillators are also transmitting robust signals in positive momentum. The MACD, in the bullish territory, is strengthening above its red [..]

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Technical Analysis – EURGBP looks to escape from 8-month lows

Posted on February 3, 2021 at 8:29 am GMT

EURGBP is seeking shelter around the 0.8800 round-level and near eight-month lows after breaching the tough lower boundary of its seven-month-old range. Although the RSI and the MACD remain comfortably below their neutral levels, discouraging a meaningful rally, they cannot exclude the case of a rebound as the RSI seems to have found a bottom just above its 30 oversold level and the MACD is stabilizing around its red signal line. On the upside, however, there are several obstacles which could cancel any upside correction. The [..]

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Technical Analysis – GBPJPY slips below 11-month high; positive in long term

Posted on February 3, 2021 at 7:51 am GMT

GBPJPY has been in a declining move over the last couple of days, after the upside rally towards the more than eleven-month high of 144.10. The price was capped by the 20-period simple moving average (SMA) in the 4-hour chart, while the technical indicators are confirming the recent bearish structure. The RSI is moving south in the positive region, while the MACD is standing beneath its trigger line and above the zero area. If selling interest persists, immediate support could [..]

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US Open Note – Stocks resume gains; oil pushes higher

Posted on February 2, 2021 at 1:59 pm GMT

Dollar, stocks and oil advance even higher One of the main highlights today is the rally in the US dollar, which is still moving higher, near 105.00 versus the Japanese yen. The dollar index is slightly up, while US stocks were re-energized as investors awaited a slew of earnings from corporate America including Exxon Mobil, Amazon.com and Alphabet. The US economy will return to pre-pandemic levels even without another shot of stimulus, announced a study of the Congressional Budget Office. This will endorse the Republicans’ that there is no need for one [..]

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Technical Analysis – EURCHF’s pullback unable to disrupt neutral-to-bullish tone

Posted on February 2, 2021 at 1:09 pm GMT

EURCHF’s recent improvements from the 1.0759 trough are being safeguarded by the 200-period SMA at 1.0805 and the 1.0800 boundary. The zig zagging simple moving averages (SMAs) are promoting the relatively neutral bias, while a forthcoming bullish crossover between the 100- and 50-period SMAs could repower recent gains in the pair. The short-term oscillators are reflecting the latest retreat in price, promoting a dampening picture, while the rising 50-period SMA is endorsing additional positive developments in the pair. The MACD, [..]

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Technical Analysis – GER 30 index returns to the green zone after 6-week lows

Posted on February 2, 2021 at 11:16 am GMT

The German 30 index (cash) drifted northwards after refusing to close below 13,380 on Monday, despite sinking to a six-week low of  13,260 earlier in the day. The rebound has stretched beyond the simple moving averages (SMAs) in the four-hour chart, but currently the bulls seem to struggle to overcome the 61.8% Fibonacci level of the 14,133 – 13,260 downfall at 13,800, where the surface of the Ichimoku cloud is also positioned. With the Stochastics looking to change direction in [..]

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Technical Analysis – WTI futures surge to 1-year high; back to positive view

Posted on February 2, 2021 at 10:24 am GMT

WTI crude oil futures rose to a fresh one-year high of 54.41 earlier today, continuing the strong rebound off the short-term uptrend line. The simple moving averages (SMAs) are returning higher, while the RSI is approaching the overbought territory. Moreover, the MACD is extending its positive momentum above its trigger and zero lines. Traders would be eager to engage in more buying activities if the price manages to surpass today’s high and move towards the nearby resistance at 54.62, registered in February 2020. [..]

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