Technical Analysis – USDJPY aims for an uptrend resumption; caution detected



USDJPY managed to gain fresh buying traction around the resistance-turned-support area of 134.42 last week, with the price currently looking to extend its broad uptrend above the 20-year high of 136.70.

Although the clear positive slope in the simple moving averages (SMAs) is still backing the bullish direction in the market, the momentum indicators warrant some caution over the strength in the market. The RSI, although above its June lows, has marked a new lower high after peaking in an overbought area. Similarly, the MACD is gradually losing momentum below its red signal line despite remaining elevated in the positive area.

Should the bulls snap the top of 136.70, the next obstacle could be the 261.8% Fibonacci extension of the 131.34 – 126.35 downleg at 139.15, while the broken support line could immediately cap the rally near 140.70, preventing a spike towards the tentative resistance line seen around 143.53.

On the downside, the 20-day SMA and the 134.26  base, which is also the 161.8% Fibonacci extension, may buffer a potential negative reversal. If not, the decline could sharpen towards the 131.48 low, where the 50-day SMA is currently converging. Failure to bounce here may produce another important bearish correction towards the 128.87 constraining zone.

All in all, although USDJPY is trading in bullish territory, technical signals reflect some weakness in buying appetite. Traders could wisely wait for a durable move above 135.45 before becoming more confident on the latest upturn.

Latest News

Daily Market Comment – Dollar steadies ahead of US inflation shockwave



Τechnical Analysis – USDJPY resumes rebound but 50-day SMA caps advance


Technical Analysis – NZDUSD in quiet trading ahead of US CPI inflation


Technical Analysis – Disney stock bounces off 29-month low

Disclaimer: The XM Group entities provide execution-only service and access to our Online Trading Facility, permitting a person to view and/or use the content available on or via the website, is not intended to change or expand on this, nor does it change or expand on this. Such access and use are always subject to: (i) Terms and Conditions; (ii) Risk Warnings; and (iii) Full Disclaimer. Such content is therefore provided as no more than general information. Particularly, please be aware that the contents of our Online Trading Facility are neither a solicitation, nor an offer to enter any transactions on the financial markets. Trading on any financial market involves a significant level of risk to your capital.

All material published on our Online Trading Facility is intended for educational/informational purposes only, and does not contain – nor should it be considered as containing – financial, investment tax or trading advice and recommendations; or a record of our trading prices; or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instruments; or unsolicited financial promotions to you.

Any third-party content, as well as content prepared by XM, such as: opinions, news, research, analyses, prices and other information or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an “as-is” basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. To the extent that any content is construed as investment research, you must note and accept that the content was not intended to and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such, it would be considered as marketing communication under the relevant laws and regulations. Please ensure that you have read and understood our Notification on Non-Independent Investment. Research and Risk Warning concerning the foregoing information, which can be accessed here.

We are using cookies to give you the best experience on our website. Read more or change your cookie settings.

Risk Warning: Your capital is at risk. Leveraged products may not be suitable for everyone. Please consider our Risk Disclosure.