Market Comment

Daily Market Comment – Dollar roars higher, stocks muted amid Fed uncertainty, recession risks

Dollar stretches weekly gains, hits 1-month high, on Fed talk, dimming outlook Wall Street headed for flat week as growth worries keep optimism in check Gold and oil set to end week on the backfoot, but gas prices hold near highs Markets look to Jackson Hole as Fed rate path gets blurred Sentiment was subdued on Friday as investors struggled to get an accurate reading on the US economy as well as on the Fed’s intentions about the pace of monetary tightening.

Daily Market Comment – Markets struggle for direction as Fed keeps its options open

Fed minutes lean hawkish, signal ‘restrictive’ policy, but open door to slower pace Dollar stays on the front foot, Wall Street bounces off lows but then starts drifting Euro holds within range as European gas prices surge to record highs Fed pushes back on rate cut bets, markets don’t listen The Federal Reserve warned that moving to a “restrictive stance of policy” was essential in the minutes of the July meeting, as it fights to get inflation down to its 2% price objective.

Daily Market Comment – Dollar steady ahead of US retail sales, Fed minutes as stocks stay buoyant

US retail giants lift recession gloom, as Dow Jones and S&P 500 extend gains But FX market focused on US data and Fed minutes, dollar stays firm Pound and kiwi reverse gains from UK inflation surprise and hawkish RBNZ Stocks stay on the bright side Equity traders continue to shrug off persisting recession worries, choosing to bet instead that a severe downturn will be avoided, at least when it comes to earnings.

Daily Market Comment – Oil sinks, dollar surges as growth fears return but stocks keep partying

Dismal data out of China and the US stifle risk appetite as recession risks return But Wall Street immune to the doom and gloom as tech stocks rally   Dimming outlook weighs on commodities as oil hits 6½-month low Dollar powers ahead on fresh growth scare The month-long risk rally suffered a major setback on Monday after economic indicators out of the world’s two biggest economies did anything but shore up confidence in the growth outlook, reviving fears about a global recession.

Daily Market Comment – Dollar closes the week with bruises, oil prices bounce back

US dollar heads for weekly losses after inflation shocker curbs rate bets Oil prices and yields tell a different story though, stocks lose some steam Sterling shrugs off UK economic contraction, Michigan survey coming up Dollar vs yields It has been a strange week for financial markets, filled with conflicting signals.

Daily Market Comment – Inflation slowdown knocks US dollar, sends stocks flying

US inflation slows by more than expected, traders unwind rate hike bets  Dollar retreats, stock markets party, but bonds and gold not buying it Disney reports decent earnings, producer price data coming up next Cooling down Expectations that inflation in America may have peaked already went into overdrive yesterday following a cooler-than-expected CPI reading.

Daily Market Comment – Dollar steadies ahead of US inflation shockwave

Dollar stable ahead of all-important US inflation report  Stocks retreat, led by chipmakers after profit warnings Is China the true gray swan for the global economy?  US inflation test The US dollar faces trial by fire today with the release of the latest CPI report, which will reveal whether inflationary forces have finally started to lose their punch.

Daily Market Comment – Wall Street runs into resistance wall, oil eyes Iran deal

Stock and bond markets tell very different stories about what’s next Euro/dollar continues to chop sideways, gold claws its way higher  Oil in focus as Iran talks reach ‘final text’, deal awaits approval Conflicting narratives Equity and bond markets have been at odds with each other lately, painting conflicting pictures of what lies ahead.

Daily Market Comment – Dollar smiles after impressive jobs data reinforces Fed bets

Another blockbuster US jobs report keeps the wind in the dollar’s sails Yen and gold underperform as yields edge higher, stock markets mixed Oil prices stabilize after sharp selloff, look to US-Iran negotiations  Fed bets return Despite several leading indicators warning about a loss of momentum in the US economy, the labor market is still firing on all cylinders according to the latest jobs report.

Daily Market Comment – Stocks drift, dollar firms as markets brace for US jobs slowdown

NFP report awaited as recession risks remain front and centre Dollar inches higher ahead of the jobs data, stocks drift sideways Pound regains footing after fall from BoE’s warning of long recession Oil steadies after sliding again, gold shines as yield-curve inversion deepens Jobs report to put US economy to the test Recession jitters were abound on Friday even as markets got off to a steady start following a few wobbles along the week.

Daily Market Comment – Wall Street bounces, shrugs off Taiwan tensions and hawkish Fed

Solid earnings lift US stocks to multi-month highs despite hawkish Fed soundbites Yen slips further as markets unrattled by China flexing its military muscle over Taiwan Pound edges up ahead of expected Bank of England rate hike, dollar consolidates      Earnings relief fuel equities rebound Geopolitical tensions and recession fears appear to have faded into the background for investors as shares on Wall Street staged another impressive rally on Wednesday, while safe-haven currencies retreated further.

Daily Market Comment – Fed hawks lift yields out of the doldrums, yen pauses for breath

US yields jump after Fed pours cold water on notion that rate hikes are nearing end Yen rally eases, stocks mixed as Taiwan escalation seen limited after Pelosi visit Oil prices drift lower ahead of OPEC+ output decision Fed bets back on after hawkish talk Bond markets were reeling and interest rate futures were being recalibrated after Federal Reserve officials questioned the recent scaling back of rate hike expectations by investors.

Daily Market Comment – US-China tensions dent appetite as yields crumble, dollar creeps higher

Stocks turn red amid renewed Sino-US tensions as Pelosi expected in Taiwan Yen extends winning streak, dollar also catches a bid as bond yields skid Aussie plummets after RBA decision, pound rally loses steam too as BoE eyed Threat of geopolitical flare-up dampens mood Risk sentiment took a knock on Tuesday as it emerged that the Speaker of the US House of Representatives Nancy Pelosi is on her way to Taiwan, defying China’s strong advice against visiting the disputed territory.

Daily Market Comment – Dollar slips further as easing rate hike bets bolster stocks

Dollar spun around by mixed data, eventually resuming its slide along with yields Tech and oil earnings stretch S&P 500’s monthly gain to 9% But some caution as weak Asian manufacturing PMIs lift yen Fed rate hike bets continue to waver The US dollar has started August on the backfoot as markets are increasingly convinced that the Federal Reserve’s rate hike days are numbered, while Wall Street has just notched up its best month since November 2020, cheered by more upbeat earnings.

Daily Market Comment – Stock markets party even as US economy contracts

US economy flirts with recession after second negative GDP print Bad news is good news for stock markets, solid earnings help too Yen stages sharp comeback, dollar loses some steam, gold bounces Don’t call it recession The United States is teetering on the edge of a recession after the economy shrank for a second consecutive quarter, adding another headache for Federal Reserve officials in their fight against roaring inflation.

Daily Market Comment – Dollar cools off, stocks rally as Fed signals slower hikes

Fed raises rates by 75bps but Powell opens the door for a slowdown  Dollar takes a step back, gold bounces, stock markets go into overdrive Meta earnings disappoint, show continues with Apple and Amazon today Fed turns cautious As widely expected, the Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 75 basis points for the second straight month, frontloading the tightening of monetary policy.

Daily Market Comment – Fed to roll out another shock-and-awe rate increase

Fed triple-barreled rate hike locked in, all eyes on Powell Euro gets crushed by soaring gas prices, dollar capitalizes   Decent results from Google and Microsoft calm some nerves Fed: Inflation vs growth  The spotlight will fall on the FOMC decision today.

Daily Market Comment – Earnings season kicks into top gear

All quiet on the FX front, traders sidelined ahead of Fed decision Oil prices reclaim some ground on Russian pipeline shenanigans  Stock markets await crucial earnings from Microsoft and Google Fed nerves  It was a relatively calm session in the FX space.

Daily Market Comment – Yen gets some relief as dismal PMIs fan recession fears

Gloomy business surveys from Europe and US add to market nerves Yen and gold come out on top as Fed rate path is recalibrated lower Stocks retreat after Snapchat warning, flurry of earnings coming up Recession worries There has been a tectonic shift in global markets this month, with concerns around an impending recession overshadowing inflation as the main threat to the outlook.

Daily Market Comment – ECB hikes big, euro unimpressed; stocks wobble on earnings, growth doubts

Euro jumps then falls on ECB’s surprise 50-bps hike as Lagarde fails to inspire confidence Weak PMIs, Snap’s ad warning and rise in US jobless claims re-ignite slowdown concerns Dollar firms but fallout in equities contained by sliding bond yields ECB frontloads rate hikes but new tool troubles euro The European Central Bank threw its rule book out the window on Thursday as policymakers defied their own forward guidance of a 25-basis-point rate hike to lift their three main lending rates by 50 bps.



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