There will be no shortage of big headline events over the next few days as major data releases, central bank meetings and an EU gathering should make for a busy week. However, the primary focus will be on the recovery story amid further spikes in coronavirus cases in several countries, including the United States. Retail sales numbers out of America and second quarter GDP figures from China should reveal whether the growth rebound is maintaining momentum. On the other hand, [..]
Wall Street loses altitude, dollar regains ground on US virus spike, Biden remarks But Nasdaq defies gravity, hits new records on relentless ‘defensive tech’ demand In the bigger picture, most charts have gone nowhere for a month now – blame the Fed? Flood of distressing news overpowers stimulus hopes Risk aversion made a comeback on Thursday as a flurry of alarming headlines led investors to cut their exposure to riskier assets, in fear that the avalanche of stimulus globally may [..]
Stocks and commodity currencies grind higher without much news Sinking dollar lifts all FX boats, pound and loonie capitalize the most Gold rally keeps rolling – has bullion changed roles with the dollar? Weekly US jobless claims today to reveal initial impact of re-closures Investors stick to crisis playbook, buy tech shares and gold News flow was rather limited on Wednesday, helping global markets to stay in a good mood since ‘no news is good news’ these days, with such [..]
AUDUSD appears to be building confidence to revisit the region around the nearly 11-month high of 0.7064. The recent strengthening in the pair is reflected in the short-term oscillators and boosted by the recent bullish crossover of the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) by the ascending 50-day one. The MACD, deep in the positive region, has climbed back over its red signal line, while the rising RSI heads gradually north towards the overbought boundary of 70. Should positive sentiment strengthen [..]
Currencies and equities in a more cautious mood Tuesday, as China-led euphoria peters out Dollar regains its footing but only mildly, aussie drops after Melbourne goes into full lockdown Risk/reward outlook for ‘risk trades’ seems quite unattractive from here Soaring Chinese stocks lift all boats, but enthusiasm fades Global markets staged a powerful rally to kick off the new week. Stock indices in most regions closed with solid gains while the defensive US dollar edged lower, with no real catalyst [..]
AUDUSD appears to be struggling to break above the roof (0.6976) of the sideways market that commenced in mid-June. Currently, the 50- and 100-period simple moving averages (SMAs) sustain a mostly neutral tone, while the Ichimoku lines and the cloud reflect some improvement in price action. Further backing the positive picture are the short-term oscillators as well as the 200-period SMA. The MACD, in the positive region, is strengthening above its red trigger line, while the RSI is attempting to [..]
The coming week looks relatively quiet in terms of crucial events, with the only highlights being the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) policy meeting and some economic data out of the US and Canada. As such, the dominant theme that will likely drive both currency and equity markets will be how the global virus picture evolves, particularly in the US, as the epic battle between stimulus-powered bulls and virus-fearing bears rages on. Bears wave the white flag Global markets continue [..]
The Reserve Bank of Australia is almost certain to keep monetary policy unchanged on Tuesday when it announces its decision at 4:30 GMT. Australia is one of only a handful of countries that can boast a successful virus containment policy and that success bodes well for its economy as it allows the RBA to take a backseat, which in turn is boosting the local dollar. However, with even Australia now facing a resurgence of coronavirus cases in some districts, will [..]
US economy adds record 4.8 million jobs in June but virus jitters cap risk appetite Stocks pare gains, dollar pulled in opposite directions Rising caution may shift attention back to stimulus as US, EU decisions pending US jobs report smashes forecasts but fails to lift markets The latest nonfarm payrolls report did little to dent expectations of a V-shaped recovery as a record 4.8 million jobs were restored in America in June, beating forecasts of an increase of 3 million. [..]
AUDUSD has been on the sidelines over the past three weeks, but is still within the three-month old ascending channel, keeping hopes alive that the positive pattern may continue. In other bullish trend news, the 50- and 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs) managed to post a golden cross after more than two years, further brightening the medium-term outlook. A decisive close above the 0.7030-0.7080 restrictive area which the pair failed to successfully overcome this month could bring new buyers to the market, with [..]
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