Could OPEC’s output cut shore up oil prices? – Special report

Posted on March 5, 2020 at 4:21 pm GMT

OPEC members tentatively agreed on Thursday to deliver a larger output cut than they initially proposed last month in the face of the coronavirus outbreak. But it is now up to Russia to approve it when it joins the meeting on Friday. While it is almost certain that Moscow will cave in, there is little optimism that the announcement will trigger the much-needed sustainable rally in oil markets even though a short-lived upside correction cannot be ruled out in the near-term.   Russial may not be happy, but [..]


Technical Analysis – Gold recoups lost ground but eyes turn to 1,662

Posted on March 4, 2020 at 8:06 am GMT

Gold recouped all the losses it made on Friday after stepping on the 50-day simple moving average (SMA), with the price returning to the 1,600 territory. The short-term risk is still on the upside as the RSI has rebounded near a descending trendline and back above its 50 neutral mark, though with the MACD remaining below its red signal line despite gaining momentum, and the red Tenkan-sen stabilizing slightly above the blue Kijun-sen, some caution should be warranted. Hence, traders [..]


Technical Analysis – WTI oil futures pause sell-off near 14-month low

Posted on March 3, 2020 at 2:11 pm GMT

WTI oil futures for April delivery slipped as low as 43.50 on Monday and near 2018 lows before bouncing up on Monday. With the RSI rising above its 30 oversold mark and the MACD stabilizing below its signal line, the market could follow a sideways path in the coming sessions. Any attempt for improvement could hit a wall within 49.30-50.50 area, where the 20-day simple moving average (SMA) and the descending trendline are currently standing. Should the price overcome that [..]


Technical Analysis – Gold at fresh 7-year high; strongly bullish on virus fears

Posted on February 24, 2020 at 7:40 am GMT

Gold surged to a fresh seven-year high earlier today, hitting the 1,679.65 level and continuing the sharp upside extension, posting a gap up. The market recorded four consecutive green days and opened the door for a long-term clear positive direction, following the penetration of the previous top of 1,612 on virus fears. From a technical viewpoint, the RSI indicator is holding in the overbought territory with strong momentum, and the MACD oscillator is heading north above trigger and zero lines. [..]


Technical Analysis – Copper futures’ 2-week pullback from lows loses steam

Posted on February 19, 2020 at 3:50 pm GMT

Copper futures are facing renewed selling interest, though prices are currently seeking support from the 2.5780 level – which is the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of the down leg from 2.8819 to 2.4839 – and the 100-period simple moving average (SMA) just below it at 2.5740. Looking at the short-term oscillators, negative momentum appears to be picking up. The MACD, currently at the zero mark, is only just below its red trigger line and seems to be trying to move into the negative zone, while [..]


Technical Analysis – Palladium futures unlock another record high at 2,752; 17% up this month

Posted on February 19, 2020 at 3:42 pm GMT

Palladium futures for March delivery seem unwilling to stop the extraordinary rally in uncharted territory, with the price flying as high as 2,752 on Wednesday after a short consolidation period within the 2,424-2,148 zone. The higher highs and higher lows remain well intact in the market’s bullish structure, while the shorter-term simple moving averages continue to fluctuate above the longer-term SMAs, all pointing to a stronger uptrend in the coming sessions. Some stabilization cannot be ruled out as the RSI [..]


Technical Analysis – Silver jumps above 18.00 and into overbought zone

Posted on February 19, 2020 at 8:21 am GMT

Silver staged a remarkable rally beyond the 18.00 number after closing above the 200-period simple moving average (SMA) on the four-hour chart on Tuesday. With the RSI signaling overbought conditions and the price currently testing a former resistance area which is near the 23.6% Fibonacci of the long upleg from 13.87 to 19.63 (November 2018- September 2019), there is an increasing possibility of a downside correction. In this scenario, the price is expected to retreat to 18.13, where it recently [..]


Technical Analysis – WTI futures fail to conquer neckline of looming double bottom

Posted on February 18, 2020 at 8:57 am GMT

WTI oil futures yesterday – as positive momentum evaporated – were unable to decisively overrun the neckline and complete a possible double bottom pattern. The commodity today has declined to the nearby Ichimoku cloud’s upper band around 51.30, with backing from the technical indicators and the easing in the red Tenkan-sen line. The short-term oscillators suggest an increase in negative momentum for now. The MACD, in the positive region, has slipped below its red trigger line, while the falling RSI [..]


OPEC considers output cuts; will they be worth it? – Commodity News

Posted on February 13, 2020 at 12:07 pm GMT

At the end of 2019 analysts were positive that crude markets may be at the start of a bull run but China’s deadly coronavirus put a damper on those hopes in January. Amid fears of a collapse in demand, OPEC and its partners recommended further production cuts on top of an ongoing pact, but Russia decided to take more time to investigate the case, making markets wondering whether such an action would make much of a difference to the price outlook. Coronavirus is the [..]


Technical Analysis – WTI futures possibly forming a double bottom pattern

Posted on February 11, 2020 at 9:42 am GMT

WTI oil futures during yesterday’s trading session reversed ahead of the 49.29 fresh bottom – which is a 13-month low – forming the start of a likely double bottom pattern. Currently, the overhead Ichimoku cloud, the slipping red Tenkan-sen line and all downward sloping simple moving averages (SMAs) promote a strong negative picture. Moreover, the RSI is hovering below its 50 mark, further backing this view. That said, the MACD has climbed above its red trigger line, in the negative [..]

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