Daily Market Comment – Sterling jumps on Brexit hopes; Trump sanctions Turkey

Posted on October 15, 2019 at 8:33 am GMT

Pound shoots up on hopes for a Brexit deal this week Brexit optimism lifts stock markets too, but trade concerns linger Trump hits Turkey with tariffs and sanctions, yet lira climbs Barnier says Brexit deal still possible this week, pound charges higher The Brexit saga remains the dominant theme in the FX market. Investors are holding their breath to see whether a deal will be reached, after the negotiations intensified in recent days. This morning, chief EU negotiator Barnier said [..]


Daily Market Comment – Symbolic trade deal lifts sentiment; sterling cools

Posted on October 14, 2019 at 8:24 am GMT

US and China reach ‘mini’ trade deal, but markets remain skeptical Pound pulls back as DUP signals it might not support Boris’s deal Loonie soars after Canadian jobs data beat estimates Trade truce lifts stocks, sends yen lower Global risk appetite got a boost on Friday, with stocks edging higher while safe havens like the Japanese yen surrendered ground, after the world’s two largest economies reached a truce in their fiery trade battle. This ‘limited’ trade agreement will see China [..]


Technical Analysis – EURUSD remains in a downtrend despite rally

Posted on October 14, 2019 at 7:17 am GMT

EURUSD rose as high as 1.1062 following the breach of the four-month-old downward-sloping line but the technical indicators signaled overbought conditions, with the price correcting slightly lower and towards the key 1.1025 barrier. The short-term bias is looking bullish to neutral in the four-hour chart as the RSI is heading towards its 50 neutral mark and the MACD is losing momentum towards its red signal line. In terms of market trend, the bullish crossover between the 20- and the 200-period [..]


Week Ahead – Big week for Chinese data; make or break time (again) for Brexit

Posted on October 11, 2019 at 12:49 pm GMT

Monthly reports on inflation, retail sales and employment will get into full swing next week, but China is likely to steal the limelight as it will have the busiest calendar. All eyes will be on the third quarter GDP estimate as China battles to prevent a hard landing of its economy amid a deepening trade dispute with the United States. But the ongoing trade war isn’t the only thing that will be causing fatigue for investors as the Brexit drama [..]


Daily Market Comment – Trade optimism lifts risk assets; pound soars after UK and Ireland see “pathway” to deal

Posted on October 11, 2019 at 8:08 am GMT

Risk sentiment boosted after Trump says negotiations were “very, very good” Safe havens retreat along with US dollar, but caution keeps gold elevated Pound skyrockets after UK and Irish PMs say they see “pathway to possible deal” Renewed optimism that US and China can de-escalate tensions Signs that the US and China were making much-needed progress in their long-running trade dispute lifted market sentiment on Friday, leading to a broad-based risk-on mood. President Trump told reporters the talks are “going [..]


Technical Analysis – EURUSD rallies above 4-month-old downtrend line

Posted on October 10, 2019 at 12:37 pm GMT

EURUSD finally managed to rally above the four-month descending trendline and stretch towards a three-week high of 1.1033 on Thursday. On the four-hour chart, the short-term oscillators are all pointing upwards, suggesting that the bullish forces could stay intact. Despite that, traders should  treat the upside correction carefully as the RSI and the Stochastics approach overbought territory at a time when the price is also flirting with the upper Bollinger band. A decisive close above 1.1025 could see the price rising until the 1.1070 [..]


Daily Market Comment – Markets calm but choppy amid mixed signals on trade talks

Posted on October 10, 2019 at 8:28 am GMT

Conflicting reports on state of US-China trade talks pull sentiment in all directions Hope of a partial trade deal sees calm restored before top-level talks are set to start Euro shoots higher ahead of ECB minutes Pound not holding its breath for breakthrough as UK and Irish PMs meet for last-ditch Brexit talks Trade talks still dominating markets’ attention There’s no escaping the US-China trade war saga not even for a single day this week as the headlines keep rolling [..]


Daily Market Comment – Stocks edge up on cautious optimism for interim US-China trade deal; dollar steady

Posted on October 8, 2019 at 8:30 am GMT

Risk sentiment improves slightly on hopes US and China can reach limited trade deal Stocks, aussie and kiwi up, but most majors stuck in sideways ranges Pound under pressure as EU lists objections to Johnson’s Brexit plan Trade talks resume but little chance of breakthrough US and Chinese negotiators resumed trade talks in Washington on Monday amid a tense environment as the Trump administration added another 20 Chinese public security bureaus and 8 tech companies to its trade blacklist. Although [..]


Technical Analysis – EURUSD eyes downtrend line

Posted on October 7, 2019 at 9:14 am GMT

EURUSD buyers pushed above 1.0965, which is the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of the down leg from 1.1249 to 1.0878, despite the negative signals. Regardless of the intact Tenkan-sens’s bearish crossover of its Kijun-sen line and their flattened states, the bulls rallied higher and reversed the pair off a multi-year low of 1.0878. The short-term oscillators continue to reflect weakening negative directional momentum despite somewhat improving. The MACD remains in the negative area but above its red trigger line, while the [..]


Daily Market Comment – Subdued tone ahead of US-China trade talks; pound slips as Johnson given week to revise Brexit plan

Posted on October 7, 2019 at 8:08 am GMT

US-China trade talks dominate markets’ attention as hopes are low for a deal Yen edges up as trade and political uncertainties build up and growth outlook worsens Pound inches lower as Johnson given one week to revise proposed Brexit plan Trade talks in focus but optimism runs low The safe-haven yen and gold pushed higher on Monday as the week got off to a cautious start ahead of much-anticipated high-level trade discussions between the United Stated and China later this [..]

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