Is the stock market in a bubble? – Special Report

Posted on September 18, 2020 at 1:16 pm GMT

The US stock market has staged a meteoric comeback, raising concerns about whether we are experiencing an asset bubble in the middle of a recession. While there is clearly a sharp disconnect between markets and economic reality, there are good reasons why. In short, central banks have killed bonds, and stocks are the only game in town. Even if this is a bubble, it could keep going for a long time in a world where the virus may be defeated [..]


Daily Market Comment – Investors heartbroken after Fed fires a blank, BoE next

Posted on September 17, 2020 at 10:21 am GMT

Fed commits to inflation overshooting regime, but delivers no new measures Dollar grinds higher, stocks in agony as investors expected heavier artillery Yet, this is probably not a game changer in the bigger picture Attention now turns to the Bank of England decision today Fed takes a small step back, markets throw a tantrum It was another eventful FOMC meeting. The Fed officially embraced its new inflation overshoot regime, albeit not unanimously. The vote was 8-2, with Kaplan and Kashkari [..]


Daily Market Comment – Markets hold their breath ahead of Fed decision

Posted on September 16, 2020 at 8:34 am GMT

Spotlight falls on the Fed today: will it deliver new measures to boost inflation? Bank of Japan meets a few hours later, not much is expected Otherwise muted moves across markets as investors await FOMC direction Fed: Justifying the paradigm shift The main event today will be the FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT, which will be followed by the regular press conference by Chairman Powell half an hour later. The Fed is certain to use this meeting as a public [..]


Daily Market Comment – Another dose of vaccine optimism calms market nerves

Posted on September 14, 2020 at 11:44 am GMT

Positive vaccine headlines bolster global risk sentiment Suga set to become Japan’s new leader – general election imminent? Sterling recovers amid calmer market tones, looks to Parliament Vaccine news breathes life back into stocks, dollar sleepy Wall Street hit a rough patch last week, as investors finally paused to assess the utopian valuations in the tech sector. Vanishing hopes for a new relief package out of Washington D.C. and news that some coronavirus vaccines might be delayed because of safety [..]


Daily Market Comment – Wall Street rediscovers gravity ahead of US jobs report

Posted on September 4, 2020 at 1:25 pm GMT

Stock markets tank as investors dump their tech darlings Yet, there is no sense of panic in the market, especially among currencies US jobs report today might decide if this correction still has some mileage in it Risk aversion makes a rare appearance After cruising higher without any significant corrections for three months now, the US equity market finally suffered a meaningful setback on Thursday. The S&P 500 lost 3.5% and the Nasdaq was down 5% as investors dumped tech [..]


Daily Market Comment – Sinking dollar lifts all FX boats

Posted on September 1, 2020 at 11:06 am GMT

Dollar breaks down across multiple charts, without a clear trigger Other major currencies climb alongside gold, Nasdaq hits new records Today: European inflation, US manufacturing, and Fed’s Brainard Dollar: The pain train rolls on There is no shortage of volatility in the FX arena. The world’s reserve currency continues to break down, in fear that the Fed’s new regime shift may succeed in driving inflation higher and diminish the greenback’s future purchasing power. The dollar index sunk to a fresh [..]


Daily Market Comment – Dollar gets a second wind after bleak Eurozone PMIs

Posted on August 21, 2020 at 8:49 am GMT

Vaccine news from Pfizer boost sentiment, more records for Nasdaq Dollar can’t find much love amid risk-taking mood But how long can the market ignore Europe’s second wave? Perhaps not long, as the Eurozone’s PMIs provide a reality check Dollar feels the ‘risk on’ blues There’s no love for the US dollar out there. The reserve currency remained on the back foot on Thursday, surrendering some of the gains it posted after the FOMC minutes played down the prospect of [..]


Can Nvidia’s earnings keep the party going? – Stock Market News

Posted on August 19, 2020 at 2:40 pm GMT

The world’s leading graphics card maker will report its second-quarter earnings after Wall Street’s closing bell on Wednesday. The company’s shares have been on fire this year, rising by an incredible 108%. While Nvidia is a great company with a bright future, at current levels its stock looks expensive by most metrics, so anything short of stellar results and guidance might leave it vulnerable to a meaningful correction. Still, any pullback may simply present a better entry point for many [..]


Daily Market Comment – Vaccine fever shakes markets, RBNZ shoots kiwi down

Posted on August 12, 2020 at 9:17 am GMT

Vaccine news catapult global yields higher, push stocks lower Gold falls without a parachute – has it peaked? Dollar inches higher amidst the turbulence, but Fed speakers are a risk RBNZ expands QE and opens door to negative rates, kiwi stumbles   Putin says Russia has developed the first vaccine President Vladimir Putin unleashed mayhem in financial markets on Tuesday, after he announced to the world that Russia has developed the first successful coronavirus vaccine. Global bond yields erupted higher [..]


Daily Market Comment – US stocks flirt with record highs, gold retraces

Posted on August 11, 2020 at 8:57 am GMT

S&P 500 cruises towards all-time high as Trump floats capital gains tax cut Markets also take heart from ‘soft’ Chinese retaliation against US Gold pulls back as dollar and bond yields recover RBNZ meets overnight, might ‘talk down’ the kiwi more forcefully Wall Street sets its sights on new records Financial markets seem to have concluded that better days lie ahead for the global economy, with most asset classes trading in a buoyant manner this week. The S&P 500 is [..]

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