Daily Market Comment – Dollar eases, stocks hit record as US and China reaffirm trade truce

Posted on August 25, 2020 at 8:43 am GMT

US and China hold ‘constructive’ talks, trade deal seen intact Wall Street hits another record; global equities follow suit But dollar only mildly softer as Treasury yields pop higher Phase one trade deal safe for now Washington and Beijing have reaffirmed their commitment to the ‘phase one’ trade deal via a call late on Monday between US Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer, Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin and Chinese Vice Premier Liu He. The talks, which were originally scheduled for August 15, [..]


Daily Market Comment – Virus ‘breakthrough’ lifts stocks; dollar awaits Powell speech

Posted on August 24, 2020 at 9:00 am GMT

Markets start week on positive note amid progress on Covid-19 treatment and vaccine Dollar holds firm as investors gear up for Powell’s big Jackson Hole speech Euro and pound left reeling after data shock and Brexit blow Virus optimism leads equities higher Markets have started the week on a cheery note as news that President Trump has authorized the emergency use of plasma treatment for Covid-19 patents and is considering fast tracking a UK vaccine before the election boosted sentiment. [..]


Week Ahead – Markets to stay choppy ahead of virtual Jackson Hole symposium

Posted on August 21, 2020 at 12:49 pm GMT

The Federal Reserve will be front and centre next week as traders will be hoping policymakers will provide clearer signals on future monetary stimulus than they did in the FOMC minutes when they hold a virtual gathering of their annual economic symposium. Data out of the United States will constitute the predominant data releases, and coupling that with the Fed event, there can be little doubt the US dollar will be the primary driver of the FX market in an [..]


Daily Market Comment – Dollar firms, stocks muted amid stalled stimulus talks, soft China data

Posted on August 14, 2020 at 9:00 am GMT

Hopes fade for a quick stimulus deal in the US as Congress leaves town Weaker-than-expected Chinese data adds to recovery worries Dollar pulled from lows as subdued tone weighs on stocks Stalemate on Capitol Hill A deal on a new coronavirus relief package looked increasingly out of reach as US Senators left Washington for the summer recess, pushing the likely timing of an agreement to September when both houses return. A last-ditch attempt on Wednesday to resume talks went nowhere [..]


Daily Market Comment – Dollar slips as no stimulus deal in sight yet; Gold pares losses

Posted on August 13, 2020 at 8:34 am GMT

US Treasury yields fall back as Washington no closer to reaching stimulus deal Dollar retreats, helping gold recover some losses; stocks subdued US data, China trade talks on markets’ radar for the next few days Talks on virus relief bill stumble again The Trump administration and Democrats appear no closer to finding a compromise deal on a new virus relief package as the latest efforts to kick start the negotiations prove fruitless. Talks between the two sides have been at [..]


Week Ahead – Dollar eyes US stimulus talks, retail sales; UK GDP and RBNZ in focus too

Posted on August 7, 2020 at 1:10 pm GMT

Congressional talks in the United States on a new virus relief package will dominate the market headlines yet again in the coming week as the durability of the latest risk-on episode rests on a deal being reached. But investors will also be keeping a close watch on US retail sales figures to gauge how well consumption is holding up amid renewed virus restrictions. Progress on the recovery will be preoccupying the pound too as UK GDP numbers for Q2 and [..]


Daily Market Comment – Fed soothes stimulus anxiety; dollar pares losses

Posted on July 30, 2020 at 8:53 am GMT

Fed tight lipped on new forward guidance but reaffirms pledge on easy policy Stocks buoyed but cautious ahead of tech earnings, US GDP and jobs data Dollar falls on Powell remarks, then bounces back; gold slips Fed maintains course, ups pressure on Congress The Federal Reserve left monetary policy unchanged on Wednesday but warned of a “slowing in the pace of the recovery”. Having already implemented a full range of tools in its fight against the coronavirus, the Fed’s decision [..]


Technical Analysis – Dollar index stabilizes 7-day bearish strike near 2-year lows

Posted on July 28, 2020 at 9:43 am GMT

The US dollar index (futures) found a bottom around an almost two-year low of 93.40 after a seven-day bearish strike, which put the market back on a negative path. While the Stochastics and the RSI in the four-hour chart signal that the market has reached the edge of the oversold territory as the indicators move upwards, the index has now a long way to go to cross the 97.77 border and hence eliminate fears of a down-trending market. The strenghthening MACD oscillator is also [..]


Daily Market Comment – Dollar selloff eases; gold pulls back after setting fresh record

Posted on July 28, 2020 at 8:52 am GMT

Dollar crawls higher as Republicans finally unveil new stimulus proposal Gold touches $1,980/oz before pulling back, eyes dovish Fed Wall Street turns positive ahead of key earnings, likes weaker dollar Dollar attempts to end losing streak There was some respite for the US dollar on Tuesday as the heavy selling that has sunk the currency to more than two-year lows eased a little. The dollar index fell for the seventh straight session on Monday as signs of a faltering recovery [..]


Daily Market Comment – Gold reaches for the sky, euro soars too as dollar sags

Posted on July 27, 2020 at 8:51 am GMT

Uncertainty about US outlook pushes dollar to 22-month low, lifting gold and euro Precious metal hits all-time high as Sino-US tensions boost haven demand Stocks steadier after selloff; earnings and FOMC meeting in focus US virus cases could be slowing but dollar still rattled The US dollar plumbed fresh lows on Monday, slumping to the lowest in nearly two years against a basket of currencies, as investors shunned the world’s number one reserve currency in favour of the traditional safety [..]

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