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Daily Market Comment – Safe havens climb, stocks slide as virus fears deepen

Posted on January 27, 2020 at 10:05 am GMT

Worries that new virus is turning into an epidemic push yen and gold higher Stocks fall alongside oil prices as investors reassess potential economic hit Question now is how long this havoc will last, and whether it gets worse from here Risk sentiment takes a hit as virus death toll soars Risk aversion is the name of the game in global markets on Monday, as investors grapple with concerns about how rapidly the deadly coronavirus is spreading and its potential [..]

Daily Market Comment – Euro slips after ECB; stocks stage another comeback

Posted on January 24, 2020 at 9:51 am GMT

Euro/dollar breaks lower as ECB is a touch more dovish than expected European PMIs today were mixed, leaving the euro in search of direction Stocks recover losses, but yen doesn’t move accordingly – excess liquidity to blame? UK PMIs beat forecasts, arguing for the BoE to stay on hold next week Euro drops as Lagarde doesn’t hit back at negative rates As expected, the European Central Bank (ECB) made no changes to its stimulus program yesterday, nor did President Lagarde [..]

Daily Market Comment – ECB meets after BoC sinks loonie; risk appetite wobbles

Posted on January 23, 2020 at 9:28 am GMT

ECB to stay on hold – risks tilted towards a slightly more upbeat narrative BoC teases rate cut, sends loonie plunging Yen jumps as China seals off major city to avoid virus contagion Pound and aussie soar after strong data diminish odds of rate cuts ECB decision: No action, but perhaps a less dovish tone All eyes will be on the European Central Bank (ECB) today, which concludes its policy meeting at 12:45 GMT. No action is expected, so the [..]

Daily Market Comment – Don’t fear the virus; BoC rate decision in sight

Posted on January 22, 2020 at 9:17 am GMT

BoC to stay on hold, but any hints of concern might elicit sharp downside in loonie Risk sentiment recovers as concerns about the virus fade Decent UK data lift sterling, but PMIs will be the casting vote on rate cut BoC meeting: Another asymmetric event for the loonie The main event today will be the Bank of Canada (BoC) rate decision at 15:00 GMT. A press conference by Governor Poloz will follow about an hour later. Rates are almost certain [..]

Daily Market Comment – Risk appetite hit by China virus fears

Posted on January 21, 2020 at 9:27 am GMT

Yen shines, Asian stocks drop as markets focus on virus outbreak BoJ preserves its limited firepower for a rainy day Busy day ahead: UK data, impeachment, World Economic Forum, and earnings Yen lifted by coronavirus concerns, but is this sustainable?  Financial markets traded quietly on Monday, with most currency pairs staying confined in very narrow ranges, as a public holiday in America and the absence of any noteworthy economic data releases in Europe left investors wanting. That all changed overnight [..]

Daily Market Comment – Dollar grinds higher, Wall Street hits new records

Posted on January 20, 2020 at 9:32 am GMT

Greenback outperforms as incoming data reaffirm strength of US economy Pound crumbles after soft retail sales enhance case for a BoE rate cut next week Bank of Japan rate decision coming up; supply disruptions boost oil Solid US data lift dollar, catapult US stocks to fresh records The dollar was the star performer in the FX market on Friday, advancing across the board after the latest batch of US data beat forecasts, feeding the narrative that the American economy continues [..]

Daily Market Comment – US earnings and data, China GDP propel stocks to fresh highs; dollar nears 8-month high vs yen

Posted on January 17, 2020 at 9:24 am GMT

China reports slowest annual growth in 29 years but signs of rebound at year-end Stocks climb to new records amid ongoing trade optimism and positive earnings String of upbeat data out of the US also boosts risk appetite China’s growth slows in 2019 but recovery could be underway Economic growth in the world’s second largest economy reached the slowest in 29 years according to GDP numbers out of China this morning. GDP expanded by 6.1% for the full year in [..]

Daily Market Comment – Phase One deal brings some cheer despite doubts; dollar drifts lower

Posted on January 16, 2020 at 9:21 am GMT

US and China finally sign ‘phase one’ trade deal; stocks head into record territory Details of deal fail to reassure sceptics about enforcement and target for Chinese purchases Focus to shift to data with US retail sales and Chinese Q4 GDP coming up Markets buoyed as Phase One deal clears final hurdle US President Donald Trump and Chinese Vice Premier Liu He put pen to paper to the long-awaited ‘Phase One’ deal on Wednesday, hoping to draw a line over [..]

Daily Market Comment – Markets turn cautious ahead of trade deal signing as Mnuchin dashes hopes of further tariff cuts

Posted on January 15, 2020 at 9:10 am GMT

Risk appetite eases as details of ‘phase one’ trade deal expected to reveal few surprises US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin suggests no additional tariff rollbacks before ‘phase two’ Stocks slip into the red, yen and franc edge up Market mood dampened ahead of trade deal signing The highly anticipated signing of the ‘phase one’ trade pact between the United States and China will take centre stage later today but with the deal already fully priced in by investors, the event [..]

Daily Market Comment – Dollar hits 110 yen after US removes China as currency manipulator

Posted on January 14, 2020 at 9:17 am GMT

US removes currency manipulator label from China ahead of signing of trade deal Yuan surges, yen slides as risk-on theme continues Wall Street hits another record as earnings season gets into full gear US-China tensions thaw further ahead of trade deal signing Relations between the United States and China got a boost on Monday after the US Treasury Department decided to no longer designate China as a currency manipulator. The announcement, which comes just two days before the two countries [..]

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