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Daily Market Comment – Risk assets remain well bid ahead of signing of trade deal; pound slips on rate cut speculation

Posted on January 13, 2020 at 9:31 am GMT

Risk assets start week on positive note, driven by optimism of ‘phase one’ trade deal being signed on Wednesday Risk-on sentiment, along with easing Iranian tensions, weigh on safe havens; gold and yen slide Pound under pressure as more BoE policymakers join the rate cut bandwagon Trade deal optimism continues to set market tone The week got off to an upbeat start as investors set their sights on the imminent signing of the US-China trade pact on Wednesday, which is [..]

Daily Market Comment – US stocks carve out new highs ahead of Nonfarm Payrolls

Posted on January 10, 2020 at 9:16 am GMT

Wall Street hits new records and US jobs data today may add fuel to the rally Canada’s employment figures also due – asymmetric risk for loonie? Pound drops on dovish BoE comments and may still have some way to go Nonfarm payrolls: More fuel for stocks? The main event today will be the US employment report for December. Nonfarm payrolls (NFP) are forecast to clock in at 164k, less than the astounding 266k in November, but still a solid number [..]

Daily Market Comment – Oil crashes, stocks roar higher as geopolitical nerves calm

Posted on January 9, 2020 at 9:35 am GMT

Yen and gold slump, equities jump as US-Iran tensions take a back seat Dollar outperforms amid fading Fed rate-cut expectations – lots of Fed speakers today In Canada, BoC Governor Poloz delivers remarks and might strike a dovish tone Oil collapses alongside safe havens as worries of US-Iran war fade Global markets continued to price out the risk of an imminent all-out war between the US and Iran yesterday, amid signs that neither side is seeking further escalation. The fact [..]

Daily Market Comment – Iran attacks US bases, but risk aversion doesn’t last

Posted on January 8, 2020 at 9:16 am GMT

Safe havens spike higher, stocks drop as Iran hits US bases in Iraq Yet, risk aversion fades as both sides show little appetite for more escalation Meanwhile, dollar advances on healthy US data, aussie burned by wildfires Oil and gold jump, stock futures briefly dip after Iran strikes back Tehran didn’t take long to retaliate against the US assassination of its most powerful general, as overnight Iran attacked with ballistic missiles two military bases in Iraq that are hosting American [..]

Daily Market Comment – Geopolitical fears ease, but risk sentiment remains fragile

Posted on January 7, 2020 at 9:29 am GMT

Safe havens pull back, stocks recover as some geopolitical risk is priced out Alas, it might be only a matter of time before Middle East fears resurface – how will Iran retaliate? In economics, the ISM non-manufacturing PMI today may prove crucial for the dollar Yen retreats, stocks rebound as Middle East worries ease – for now Global risk appetite improved on Monday, with defensive currencies such as the Japanese yen surrendering some recent gains while US stocks recovered lost [..]


Daily Market Comment – Oil jumps, Mideast tensions rise after US air strikes kill Iranian commanders

Posted on January 3, 2020 at 9:15 am GMT

Tensions flare up in the Middle East after US air strikes kill Iran’s top military leader Oil prices shoot higher, stocks turn negative after the attacks Gold hits 4-month high, yen and Swiss franc soar US air strikes kill risk-on mood Heightened geopolitical tensions threatened to destroy the risk-on sentiment that’s been driving the markets since December after the United States launched air strikes in Iraq, killing top Iranian military officials. The US Defense Department said President Trump had ordered [..]


Daily Market Comment – Stocks start new year on positive note; dollar recoups some losses

Posted on January 2, 2020 at 9:36 am GMT

Policy easing in China lifts stocks in Asia on first trading day of the year But as stocks extend their rally, in FX markets, most majors pull back against the dollar Gold edges up towards 3-month highs amid some tensions in Middle East and North Korea Quiet start to new year The new year got off to a subdued start with equity markets extending their incredible rally of 2019 and little new developments to rattle currency markets. But with Japanese [..]


Daily Market Comment – Gold levitates higher, Wall Street and dollar retreat

Posted on December 31, 2019 at 9:09 am GMT

Gold freight train rolls past $1520, fueled by decline in dollar & Treasury yields US stocks pull back despite positive trade news – will Trump target the EU next? Have a great New Year! Gold extends gains on weaker dollar, lower yields A broad-based decline in the US dollar remains the dominant theme in the holiday-thinned FX market, even in the absence of any noteworthy headlines. The retreat in the greenback is ‘lifting all boats’, with the New Zealand dollar [..]


Daily Market Comment – Year end flows hit dollar, but gold can’t capitalize

Posted on December 30, 2019 at 9:21 am GMT

Greenback takes a hit in thin markets – a prelude to 2020?   Gold unable to take advantage of weaker dollar and lower US yields Calendar empty, scarce liquidity still a theme No news is bad news for the US dollar News flow in financial markets remains non-existent as things wind down heading into the New Year, but that hasn’t stopped investors from cutting their exposure to the US dollar, which continues to bleed amid year-end flows. Many argue that [..]


Daily Market Comment – Gold and stocks march higher as dollar bleeds

Posted on December 27, 2019 at 9:21 am GMT

US equities reach new peaks, but dollar can’t stay afloat Gold shines even brighter heading into year-end Aussie and kiwi make a comeback, both scale 5-month peaks Stocks push even higher as Amazon soars, dollar retreats Financial markets remain in a holiday mood, with moves in the FX spectrum being somewhat limited in magnitude in an environment of thin liquidity and without any noteworthy news to drive the price action. The underlying theme is still an increased appetite for riskier [..]

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