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Daily Market Comment – Powell warns of lasting virus damage, empowers dollar but sinks stocks

Posted on May 14, 2020 at 8:49 am GMT

Fed Chair Powell delivers bleak assessment of US economy but rules out negative rates Dollar stands tall as Wall Street takes a dive, pulling global stocks with it Pound and kiwi slip to multi-week lows, aussie and loonie also on the backfoot Powell’s dire warnings kill hope of speedy recovery Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s much anticipated speech took centre stage on Wednesday as the head of the world’s most powerful central bank delivered a detailed but grim view of the [..]

Daily Market Comment – RBNZ flags negative rates, Powell expected to do opposite

Posted on May 13, 2020 at 8:42 am GMT

Kiwi plunges after RBNZ signals negative rates are an option But Fed’s Powell unlikely to embrace negative rates in upcoming speech Warnings of second virus wave hit stocks RBNZ could be next to tiptoe into negative rates The New Zealand dollar fell about 1% on Wednesday after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand doubled its bond buying plan at its policy meeting today and gave its clearest indication yet that negative interest rates could become “an option in future”. As [..]

Daily Market Comment – Fed talks down negative rates, dollar likes it

Posted on May 12, 2020 at 8:26 am GMT

Dollar jumps as Fed officials downplay prospect of negative rates in the US Stocks slip as growing fears of second wave of infections weigh on sentiment Central banks in focus: more Fed speakers on the way, RBNZ decision awaited US yields rise as negative rate expectations fade The US dollar held onto its gains on Tuesday after surging yesterday on the back of rising Treasury yields. The yield on two- and five-year Treasury notes hit record lows on Friday as [..]

Daily Market Comment – Dollar and stocks crawl higher but markets on alert amid virus spike

Posted on May 11, 2020 at 8:33 am GMT

Dollar gains versus yen, stocks edge up as lockdown easing spurs bets of economic rebound But fears of second virus wave keep risk appetite in check, gold ticks higher Doubts about Trump’s commitment to US-China trade deal adds to subdued tone Safe-haven yen takes a tumble as more economies reopen The US dollar appeared to lose some of its safe-haven allure on Monday as signs of economic life in many parts of the world shifted the focus to the improving [..]

Daily Market Comment – Stocks soar ahead of worst NFP ever on bets Fed will go negative

Posted on May 8, 2020 at 8:04 am GMT

US nonfarm payrolls today will be a horror show, but will markets care? Stocks set for more gains on trade news and bets Fed will cut to negative Dollar and yen retreat amid risk-on mood, but losses limited Commodity currencies climb, loonie eyes its own jobs report Worst nonfarm payrolls ever, by far The disconnect between sanguine financial markets and an imploding real economy grows larger by the day, as bets for more and more stimulus are leading Wall Street [..]

Daily Market Comment – Yen smiles as stocks struggle for direction

Posted on May 7, 2020 at 8:48 am GMT

Yen and dollar shine amid dire US and EU data, trade tensions, bankruptcy fears Stocks close lower, but solid Chinese trade numbers lift futures and aussie Pound perks up after BoE keeps stimulus powder dry, but risks linger US jobless claims on the menu today; can equities continue to defy gravity? Yen and dollar stand tall as traders weigh risks Stock markets have been partying like central bankers invented a virus vaccine in recent weeks, but some realism may be [..]

Daily Market Comment – German ultimatum sinks euro, yen capitalizes

Posted on May 6, 2020 at 8:29 am GMT

Euro crumbles after German courts challenge ECB stimulus Outlook still bleak, this is the last thing the fragile Eurozone needs Stocks trim gains on Fed gloom and Congressional ‘pause’, yen climbs Today: ADP data will give a taste of what’s on Friday’s NFP menu Euro falls apart as Germany challenges ECB The single currency came under heavy fire yesterday, after Germany’s top court ruled that the ECB’s asset purchases were unconstitutional. The judges gave the European Central Bank three months [..]

Daily Market Comment – Wall Street snaps back, but FX not convinced

Posted on May 5, 2020 at 8:48 am GMT

US stocks bounce back on medical headlines, rising oil prices, tech strength But FX market signals caution – yen and dollar hold strong, gold too Are investors piling into tech because of re-opening fears and US-China tensions? Euro suffers after German court decision on ECB asset purchases Stock markets storm higher Wall Street continues to defy economic gravity, with all three major US stock indices recouping early losses on Monday to close higher, brushing aside the simmering tensions between Washington [..]

Daily Market Comment – Specter of trade war returns to haunt stocks

Posted on May 4, 2020 at 8:39 am GMT

US stocks drop on Amazon earnings, fall further as US-China tensions flare up Finally discounting the long-term impact on consumption, psychology, and (de)globalization? Yen and dollar shine as risk aversion returns, aussie and kiwi suffer US-China tensions reintroduce stocks to gravity The stimulus-fueled bear rally in global stocks seems to be running on fumes, with optimism evaporating after some distressing remarks by Amazon cast doubt on the sustainability of this heavily concentrated market, and the US-China trade war came back [..]

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Daily Market Comment – Trump reignites China feud; Stocks fall on data, ECB and earnings blows

Posted on May 1, 2020 at 8:49 am GMT

Markets go into risk averse mood as Trump threatens China with new tariffs Dire data, ECB inaction and mixed earnings further dent risk sentiment Liquidity thin due to May Day holiday; ISM manufacturing PMI coming up Trump’s tough on China rhetoric is back, spooks markets US President Donald Trump raised the prospect of fresh tariffs on China on Thursday as his administration seeks ways to retaliate against China’s handling of the COVID-19 outbreak. The virus has cost more than 60,000 [..]

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