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Reuters - 17 ώρες πριν

Swiss franc usually serves as refuge in December

BUZZ-COMMENT-Swiss franc usually serves as refuge in December Dec 5 (Reuters) - The Swiss franc usually serves as refuge during market worries and December is typically a month for risk aversion. USD/CHF has fallen in 16 of the past 23 Decembers, notably the December 2008 drop of 12%, according to EBS prices. While USD/CHF's trend in December points to a market that has a tendency to fall, seasonal trends should not be considered in isolation, but when combined with other factors, they can be a
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Reuters - 19 ώρες πριν

Everyone follows the Fed and that really matters for FX

BUZZ-COMMENT-Everyone follows the Fed and that really matters for FX Dec 5 (Reuters) - Everyone follows the Federal Reserve whose intentions for monetary policy and the direction of U.S. interest rates are vital for those trying to plot the path of currencies. In this respect, traders should now be fully aware of the dramatic swing in expectations for interest rates that has seen any chance of further rate hikes removed, to be replaced by the probability of 125 bps of easing next year, with the
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Reuters - 1 ημέρα πριν

Dollar regains ground after sell off; bitcoin breaches $42,000

FOREX-Dollar regains ground after sell off; bitcoin breaches $42,000 Updated at 2024 GMT By Hannah Lang WASHINGTON, Dec 4 (Reuters) - The dollar ticked higher on Monday, regaining some ground after falling for three straight weeks on bets that the U.S. Federal Reserve will soon be cutting interest rates, while bitcoin breached $42,000 for the first time since early 2022. The dollar index, which tracks the currency against six major peers, rose by 0.54% to 103.67 , while the euro EUR= was last do
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Reuters - 2 ημέρες πριν

Dollar gains back ground on rate bets; bitcoin breaches $42,000

FOREX-Dollar gains back ground on rate bets; bitcoin breaches $42,000 Updated at 1535 GMT By Hannah Lang and Harry Robertson WASHINGTON/LONDON, Dec 4 (Reuters) - The dollar ticked higher on Monday, regaining some ground after falling for three straight weeks on bets that the U.S. Federal Reserve will soon be cutting interest rates, while bitcoin breached $42,000 for the first time since early 2022. The dollar index, which tracks the currency against six major peers, rose by 0.59% to 103.71, whil
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Reuters - 2 ημέρες πριν

Dollar claws back some ground; bitcoin breaches $42,000

FOREX-Dollar claws back some ground; bitcoin breaches $42,000 Updates prices at 1240 GMT By Harry Robertson LONDON, Dec 4 (Reuters) - The dollar ticked higher on Monday, regaining some ground after falling for three straight weeks on bets that the Federal Reserve will soon be cutting interest rates, while bitcoin breached $4 2 ,000 for the first time since early 2022. The euro EUR=EBS was last down 0 .
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Reuters - 2 ημέρες πριν

Swiss CPI fall gives SNB option to relax on franc

BUZZ-COMMENT-Swiss CPI fall gives SNB option to relax on franc Dec 4 (Reuters) - The question of whether the Swiss National Bank should continue selling foreign exchange reserves to strengthen the franc and dampen price pressures looms large after Monday's softer than expected inflation data. Swiss CPI fell to 1.4% Y/Y in November, lower than all 10 forecasts from economists polled by Reuters and the sixth consecutive month below the 2% top end of the SNB's target range.
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Reuters - 2 ημέρες πριν

Swiss inflation miss lowers bar for dovish SNB shift

BUZZ-COMMENT-Swiss inflation miss lowers bar for dovish SNB shift Dec 4 (Reuters) - Risks to the Swiss franc are leaning towards the downside in the run up to the Swiss National Bank’s final policy meeting of the year on Dec. 14. Inflation is comfortably within the bank’s price stability range of 0-2% and has continually undershot its expectations.
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Reuters - 2 ημέρες πριν

FX traders badly positioned for sharp rate change expectations

BUZZ-COMMENT-FX traders badly positioned for sharp rate change expectations Dec 4 (Reuters) - FX traders are badly positioned for the recent sharp change in expectations for U.S. interest rates. The possibility of further tightening and a strong belief that rates would remain elevated for a long time have been swiftly replaced by the probability of a cut as early as March next year.
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Reuters - 2 ημέρες πριν

Dollar claws back some ground; bitcoin breaks $41,000

FOREX-Dollar claws back some ground; bitcoin breaks $41,000 Refocuses on dollar's rise, updates prices at 0920 GMT, adds analyst comments By Harry Robertson and Brigid Riley LONDON/TOKYO, Dec 4 (Reuters) - The dollar ticked higher on Monday, regaining some ground after falling for three straight weeks on bets that the Federal Reserve will soon be cutting interest rates, while bitcoin breached $41,000 for the first time since early 2022. The euro EUR=EBS was last down 0.1% at $1.0876, while the d
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Reuters - 4 ημέρες πριν

US dollar falls on dovish remarks by Fed's Powell

FOREX-US dollar falls on dovish remarks by Fed's Powell Powell says risks of over- or under-tightening now balanced U.S. manufacturing sector remains in contraction territory Post-Powell, U.S. rate futures price in 62% chance of March rate cut Adds comment, updates prices By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss NEW YORK, Dec 1 (Reuters) - The dollar fell on Friday, after two days of gains, as Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell struck a cautious tone on further interest rate moves, saying that the risk of u
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Reuters - 4 ημέρες πριν

US dollar falls as Fed's rate-hike cycle seen as likely done

REFILE-FOREX-US dollar falls as Fed's rate-hike cycle seen as likely done Refiles to add Fed Chair Jerome Powell's name in lead paragraph Fed's Powell says risks are more balanced U.S. manufacturing sector remains in contraction territory Post-Powell, U.S. rate futures price in 62% chance of March rate cut By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss NEW YORK, Dec 1 (Reuters) - The dollar fell on Friday, after two days of gains, as Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell struck a cautious tone on further interest ra
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Reuters - 5 ημέρες πριν

US dollar rises for 3rd day ahead of Fed's Powell comments

FOREX-US dollar rises for 3rd day ahead of Fed's Powell comments U.S. manufacturing sector remains in contraction territory Focus on Fed's Powell's speech U.S. rate futures price in 56% chance of March rate cut Adds new comment, bullets, byline, NEW YORK dateline, FX table; updates prices By Iain Withers and Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss LONDON/NEW YORK, Dec 1 (Reuters) - The dollar rose for a third straight day on Friday, while the euro extended steep overnight losses, as traders looked ahead to a s
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Reuters - 5 ημέρες πριν

FX options wrap - Huge expiries, NFP and cenbank alerts

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Huge expiries, NFP and cenbank alerts Plenty of huge FX option strikes expire in the week ahead and are worth noting for any related cash hedging flows that could impact the FX spot prices ahead . Stand out strikes in EUR/USD are on Wednesday at 1.0800 on 3-billion euros, AUD/USD on Thursday at 0.6545 on A$3-billion and 0.6650 on A$2.4-billion and in NZD/USD on Wednesday at 0.6100 on NZ$1.7-billion.
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Reuters - 5 ημέρες πριν

Dollar edges lower ahead of Fed's Powell comments

FOREX-Dollar edges lower ahead of Fed's Powell comments Updates prices throughout By Iain Withers LONDON, Dec 1 (Reuters) - The dollar edged lower on Friday, while the euro rebounded slightly after steep overnight losses, as traders weighed data showing inflation was easing and looked ahead to a talk later in the day by U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell.
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Reuters - 5 ημέρες πριν

Many big FX option strike expiries for the week ahead

BUZZ-COMMENT-Many big FX option strike expiries for the week ahead Dec 1 (Reuters) - The cash hedging of soon-to-expire FX option strikes can influence FX price action by adding to any nearby support/resistance while potentially drawing and containing spot near the strikes, and there are plenty worth noting for the week ahead. The largest EUR/USD strikes on Monday are at 1.0820-25 on 1.8-billion euros, 1.0860-65 on 1.6-billion, 1.0925 on 1.4-billion and 1.0950 on 1-billion euros.
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Reuters - 5 ημέρες πριν

Swiss GDP beat adds to allure of safe-haven franc

BUZZ-COMMENT-Swiss GDP beat adds to allure of safe-haven franc Dec 1 (Reuters) - The safe-haven Swiss franc has an extra spring in its step courtesy of Switzerland's better than expected third-quarter gross domestic product data. Switzerland's economy grew by 0.3% in Q3 against a forecast increase of 0.1%, according to data published Friday, after stagnating in Q2. The Swiss Q3 GDP beat contrasts with Thursday's disclosure that the French economy shrank by 0.1% in Q3. That news, plus month-end d
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Reuters - 5 ημέρες πριν

Dollar edges lower ahead of Fed's Powell comments

FOREX-Dollar edges lower ahead of Fed's Powell comments By Iain Withers LONDON, Dec 1 (Reuters) - The dollar edged lower on Friday, while the euro rebounded slightly after steep overnight losses, as traders weighed data showing inflation was easing and looked ahead to a talk later in the day by U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. Softer inflation data in both the United States and the eurozone on Thursday reinforced expectations that both central banks might be done raising interest rates
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Reuters - 5 ημέρες πριν

FX options ready for any post Powell FX volatility

BUZZ-COMMENT-FX options ready for any post Powell FX volatility Dec 1 (Reuters) - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will speak twice in public on Friday at 1600 GMT and 1900 GMT and while it is not known if he will touch on monetary policy, FX options are prepared for related FX volatility if he does. FX volatility is a key parameter of an option premium, so dealers use implied volatility to gauge expectations.
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Reuters - 5 ημέρες πριν

Investors may kiss dollar goodbye next year

BUZZ-COMMENT-Investors may kiss dollar goodbye next year Dec 1 (Reuters) - Following a year of many uncertainties and a steep rise in U.S. interest rates that have driven a huge flow of money toward the dollar, investors may kiss it goodbye next year while interest rates fall and money heads toward riskier assets. The fear of missing out may already be influencing a shift out of cash investments that are said to have drawn over 1.3 trillion of new funds this year toward stocks that have rallied
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Reuters - 5 ημέρες πριν

Morgan Stanley thinks EUR/USD parity is still possible

BUZZ-COMMENT-Morgan Stanley thinks EUR/USD parity is still possible Dec 1 (Reuters) - When EUR/USD was trading around 1.0600 in October, Morgan Stanley made a call for parity by April 2024 and although EUR/USD has risen to 1.1017 since, its most recent strategy research note still thinks that target can be achieved. While the bank says that the 10% drop now required is large, such a move is not unheard of and cites the EUR/USD plunge in 2022. It says the USD sell-off may have run its course and
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