Dollar tumbles after U.S. jobs report, service sector contraction
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Graphic: World FX rates Link
By Karen Brettell
NEW YORK, Jan 6 (Reuters) - The dollar fell on Friday after U.S. jobs data showed a strong, but not blockbuster employment picture in December, while a separate report showed that U.S. services industry activity contracted for the first time in more than 2-1/2 years that month.
Employers added 223,000 jobs in December, more than economists' forecasts of 200,000.
Wages also grew 0.3% last month, less than the 0.4% in November and below forecasts of 0.4%. That lowered the year-on-year increase in wages to 4.6% from 4.8% in November.
"There was a bit of a fear that this could be quite a blockbuster print in terms of job growth," which was a risk due to seasonal adjustments that are common in December, said Mazen Issa, senior foreign exchange strategist at TD Securities in New York.
The easing wage growth was also "encouraging," Issa added, though he noted hawkish elements in the data.
"You had the unemployment rate dropping, which was not expected, and an increase in the participation rate," Issa said. "This number doesn't do anybody any favors in determining whether the Fed needs to do 25 or 50 at its next meeting."
The dollar fell 1.17% on the day against a basket of currencies =USD to 103.88, after reaching 105.63, the highest since Dec. 7.
The euro EUR=EBS gained 1.19% to $1.0645 and was on track for the biggest percentage daily increase since Nov. 11. The dollar fell 1.03% against the Japanese yen JPY=EBS to 132.07.
The greenback extended losses after the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) said its non-manufacturing PMI dropped to 49.6 last month from 56.5 in November. It was the first time since May 2020 that the services PMI fell below the 50 threshold, which indicates contraction in the sector that accounts for more than two-thirds of U.S. economic activity.
The Commerce Department also said on Friday that factory orders dropped 1.8% in November, after gaining 0.4% in October. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast orders falling 0.8%.
Atlanta Federal Reserve President Raphael Bostic said on Friday that the latest U.S. jobs data was another sign that the economy is gradually slowing and should that continue the Fed can step down to a quarter percentage point interest rate hike at its next policy meeting.
Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin also said the U.S. central bank's move to smaller interest rate hike increments would help limit damage to the economy.
The Fed hiked rates 50 basis points at its December meeting, after making four consecutive 75-bp increases.
Fed funds futures traders increased bets the Fed will hike rates by 25 bps at the conclusion of its two-day meeting on Feb. 1 after Friday's data. A 25-bp increase is now seen as a 73% probability, compared with 54% before the jobs report, with a 50-bp hike now seen as a 27% probability. FEDWATCH
Highly anticipated consumer price data due on Jan. 12 could influence U.S. central bank policy.
It is expected to show that headline prices were unchanged in December while core prices increased 0.3%. USCPI=ECI USCPF=ECI
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Currency bid prices at 3:03PM (2003 GMT) Description
RIC
Last
U.S. Close Pct Change
YTD Pct
High Bid
Low Bid
Previous
Change
Session
Dollar index
=USD
103.8800
105.1200
-1.17%
0.377%
+105.6300 +103.8600 Euro/Dollar
EUR=EBS
$1.0645
$1.0521
+1.19%
-0.64%
+$1.0648
+$1.0482 Dollar/Yen
JPY=EBS
132.0650
133.4100
-1.03%
+0.71%
+134.7650 +132.0000 Euro/Yen
EURJPY=
140.58
140.36
+0.16%
+0.20%
+141.4400 +140.2400 Dollar/Swiss
CHF=EBS
0.9276
0.9363
-0.93%
+0.31%
+0.9407
+0.9273 Sterling/Dollar GBP=D3
$1.2095
$1.1908
+1.59%
+0.03%
+$1.2099
+$1.1842 Dollar/Canadian CAD=D3
1.3435
1.3568
-0.98%
-0.84%
+1.3664
+1.3435 Aussie/Dollar
AUD=D3
$0.6876
$0.6752
+1.85%
+0.89%
+$0.6884
+$0.6722 Euro/Swiss
EURCHF=
0.9875
0.9851
+0.24%
-0.20%
+0.9883
+0.9849 Euro/Sterling
EURGBP=
0.8800
0.8835
-0.40%
-0.50%
+0.8870
+0.8798 NZ
NZD=D3
$0.6352
$0.6223
+2.13%
+0.09%
+$0.6360
+$0.6193 Dollar/Dollar
Dollar/Norway
NOK=D3
10.0015
10.2595
-2.49%
+1.94%
+10.3005
+10.0040 Euro/Norway
EURNOK=
10.6486
10.7654
-1.08%
+1.48%
+10.8140
+10.6190 Dollar/Sweden
SEK=
10.5206
10.6804
-0.26%
+1.08%
+10.7479
+10.5177 Euro/Sweden
EURSEK=
11.1995
11.2290
-0.26%
+0.45%
+11.2924
+11.1978
Reporting by Karen Brettell; Editing by Andrea Ricci and Richard Chang
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