Análisis XM

Daily Market Comment – Fed set to raise rates, but will Powell signal a pause?

With banking nerves calming down, Fed is set to raise interest rates today Market reaction will depend mostly on rate projections and Powell’s tone Sterling advances after hot inflation numbers telegraph BoE rate hike  Critical Fed decision ahead One of the most important Fed decisions in recent history lies ahead.

BoE rate decision: One last hike before hitting pause? – Forex News Preview

The latest bank turmoil cast a dark cloud over the central bank community, forcing investors to downsize their rate projections just a week before the March policy announcements.

Technical Analysis – GBPUSD retests 1.2270 but outlook still neutral

GBPUSD is struggling to surpass the 1.2270 resistance level but successfully jumped above the short-term simple moving averages (SMAs), which are hovering in the middle of the medium-term trading range of 1.

Week Ahead – Fed decision to fuel volatility in nervous market

With cracks appearing in the US banking system, markets think there’s a chance the Fed won’t raise rates next week.

Daily Market Comment – Markets rebound, then falter as fears grow over Credit Suisse

SVB contagion fears continue to recede, spurring a global rebound in stock markets But the mood sours again as Credit Suisse shares sink, euro skids Treasury yields make a partial recovery, Fed rate hike path steepens only slightly US CPI not much help to wounded dollar as focus turns to ECB decision Risk appetite on the mend but new risks arise Investor jitters following the biggest US bank failures since the 2008 financial crisis abated further on Tuesday as a sense of normality returned to the markets after days of turmoil.

Daily Market Comment – Bank stocks pummelled but some calm restored ahead of US CPI

Financial stocks remain pressured but broader selloff eases as panic subsides US inflation in the spotlight after sharp repricing of Fed rate hikes Gold and cryptos softer after surge, yields steadier, dollar edges up Bank rout turns global but wider equities rebound Equity markets were showing some signs of life on Tuesday following a brutal selloff in the preceding days that was led by a plunge in banking stocks triggered by the collapse of SVB and Signature Bank.

Technical Analysis – GBPUSD hovers around 50-SMA as advance falters

GBPUSD had been on a steady decline after its upside movement got rejected twice at the 1.2445 region. However, the pair has been gaining ground in the last few daily sessions, with the price jumping above its 50-day simple moving average (SMA) before paring some of its gains.

Week Ahead – US inflation, ECB decision to test markets’ nerve

The US inflation report and the European Central Bank’s policy meeting will share the limelight next week amid another round of ratcheting up of rate hike expectations by investors.

UK data could further ease recession fears, but can it lift the pound? – Forex News Preview

Economic output stats for January will kick off this month’s data releases for the UK on Friday (07:00 GMT), providing investors fresh clues on whether the British economy is still teetering on the edge of a recession.

Technical Analysis – GBPUSD lacks bullish conviction; resistance at 1.2045

GBPUSD is making another attempt to climb the constraining 20-day simple moving average (SMA) at 1.2045, which has been capping bullish actions over the past week.

Daily Market Comment – Dollar slips from highs ahead of ISM services as stocks defy soaring yields

Dollar eases from highs as yields rally pauses for breath ahead of ISM services PMI But Wall Street bounces back as Fed officials hint at ‘steady as she goes’ approach Euro fights back as ECB hawkish soundbites keep coming, yen mixed on BoJ doubts Supercharged bond yields take a breather Government bond yields in Europe and the United States scaled new heights this week as investors were once again caught off guard by fresh evidence of persisting inflationary pressures.

Will Sunak’s deal put the Brexit row to bed? – Forex News Preview

Rishi Sunak is making his first Brexit debut in efforts to resolve the long-running dispute with the EU over trade rules in Northern Ireland.

Daily Market Comment – Sentiment improves on upbeat Chinese PMIs, dollar sags

Strong China factory data boosts equities but rate hike fears limit gains Dollar pulls back, euro climbs as ECB starts QT Aussie and loonie up on China optimism but soft GDP numbers weigh Markets buoyed as China reopening boost starts to materialize After ending February on a sour note, equity markets started the new month in a cheerier mood with the help of some much-needed positive headlines from China.

Daily Market Comment – Dollar pulls back, pound the main gainer

Dollar slides as durable goods orders slip more than expected Pound outperforms on new Northern Ireland deal Equities gain, but outlook stays dim Dollar slips, but hike bets stay elevated The dollar traded lower against all the other major currencies on Monday, although it rebounded somewhat today.

Technical Analysis – GBPUSD extends sideways pattern between SMAs

GBPUSD has been edging higher since September when it found its feet at the all-time low of 1.0324. However, this latest rebound seems to be fading after being rejected twice at the 1.

Daily Market Comment – Higher for longer Fed bets fortified after PCE inflation jump

PCE inflation creeps up unexpectedly, pushing Fed’s terminal rate bets higher Yields surge again, dollar hits 7-week high as Wall Street tumbles Gold sinks too but pound perks up as Northern Ireland deal with EU eyed Disinflation doubt after core PCE shock The run of downside surprises in US inflation data has well and truly come to an end, at least for now, after the latest PCE price figures followed the CPI report in coming in above expectations.

Daily Market Comment – Dollar extends gains after PMIs, awaits Fed minutes

Dollar strengthens as better PMIs add to Fed hike bets Eurozone and UK PMIs also surprise to the upside Equities and risk-linked currencies feel the heat of hike bets Better PMIs fuel Fed hike bets and the dollar, Fed minutes on tap The dollar traded higher against all but one of the other major currencies yesterday, although it is trading mixed today.

Daily Market Comment – Dollar creeps higher, stocks retreat as caution kicks in

Dollar advances against risk-linked currencies, helped by rising yields  Stocks retreat, investors face ‘reality check’ on expensive valuations European PMIs point to fading recession risks, RBNZ decision next  Dollar gains as risk appetite sours A theme of dollar strength is coursing through the FX market, driven by the relentless advance in short-term US yields and the cautious tone in equity markets.

Technical Analysis – GBPUSD muted between SMAs as rebound falters

GBPUSD has been attempting a solid recovery since September when the pair fell to an all-time low of 1.0324.

Can the UK PMIs come to the pound’s rescue? – Forex News Preview

After selling the pound due to the slowdown in the UK CPIs for January, traders are now turning their attention to the preliminary PMIs for February, to be released on Tuesday at 07:30 GMT.


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