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US30Cash

Análisis XM

Análisis XM - Hace 2 semanas

Earnings season halts corporate profits recession, year-end rally in sight? - Stock Markets

Q3 financial results put an end to the earnings contraction streak Profit margins improve but real revenue suffers US indices look expensive as markets price in the perfect scenario Solid earnings season with some asterisks As the vast majority of US companies have revealed their Q3 financials, it is safe to draw some conclusions about the health of the corporate world.
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Análisis XM - Hace 4 semanasNeutral

US 30 index edges higher, a tad below a key support area The current higher high broke a significant bearish pattern Momentum indicators appears to be less bullish after the strong rally The US 30 cash index is trying to record its second consecutive green candle as it trades around 6% higher than the October 27 low of 32,324. It has been an impressive bullish reaction that also managed to cancel the recent bearish series of lower lows and lower highs.
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Análisis XM - Hace 2 mesesNeutral

Technical Analysis – US 30 cash index takes a much-needed breather 

US 30 cash index edges higher, a tad above the May 25 low The short-term bearish trend remains dominant Momentum indicators don't point to a reversal yet The US 30 cash index is trying to record the second consecutive green candle since it managed to bounce off the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the January 5, 2022 – October 3, 2022 downtrend.
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Análisis XM - Hace 2 meses

Stocks tumble as VIX spikes to highest level since May – Stock Markets

US equity indices retreat as investors face ‘higher for longer’ reality Wall Street’s fear gauge, VIX, posts a fresh 4-month peak Treasury yields surge to consecutive cycle highs, increasing appetite for bonds Bearish sentiment pervades Wall Street Equity markets have been under downside pressure lately as investors are bracing for a protracted period of high interest rates.
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Análisis XM - Hace 2 mesesNeutral

US 30 cash index experiences a strong bearish move, dropping 7% from July peak It broke below its 200-day simple moving average for the first time since March Momentum indicators are strongly bearish; all eyes on the stochastic oscillator The US 30 cash index is recording another red candle as the bears are firmly in control of the market and capitalizing on the recent double top pattern.
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Análisis XM - Hace 3 mesesNeutral

The US 30 cash index is recording another red candle as the bears are trying to push the index below the recent low of 34,024 and form a bearish structure of lower lows and lower highs. This appears to be the first proper reaction from the bears since the US 30 cash index set a new 17-month high of 35,686 on July 27, 2023. The current bearish pressure is clearly depicted in the momentum indicators. More specifically, the RSI has again dipped below its midpoint, confirming the presence of a b
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Análisis XM - Hace 4 mesesNeutral

Technical Analysis – US 30 cash index correction at tipping point

The US 30 cash index has been under bearish pressure after registering a new 2023 high and its highest print since April 2022. It is trading sideways today, testing the support set by the October 13, 2022 upward sloping trendline. The previous three times this trendline was tested, the bears failed to record a decisive sell-off, geometrically increasing its importance.
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Análisis XM - Hace 4 mesesNeutral

The US 30 cash index is edging lower today as the latest rally appears to have halted at the busy 35,091-35,496 range. The US 30 index actually registered a new 2023 high and its highest print since April 2022, finally overcoming the December 13, 2022 peak. The momentum indicators remain mostly supportive of the current upleg. More specifically, the RSI has reached its highest point since the August 2022 rally, but it appears to have peaked.
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Análisis XM - Hace 5 meses

Q2 Earnings season: A crucial reality check for 2023 stock rally

The second quarter earnings season will unofficially begin on Friday, with major US banks, as always, setting the tone. Despite stock markets’ stellar performance so far in the year, earnings are set to contract as high interest rates continue to put the brakes on the global economy. With valuations still at expensive levels and liquidity starting to evaporate, any disappointing figures could easily trigger a downside correction.
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Análisis XM - Hace 5 mesesBearish

Technical Analysis – US 30 cash index might be close to a new bearish move

The US 30 cash index is edging lower today, testing the support set by the December 1, 2022 downward sloping trendline. Interestingly, a bearish double-top pattern is gradually forming with the neckline standing at the June 26 low of 33,606. A move below this neckline is needed for this structure to be deemed as valid, with the primary target then set at the 32,600 area.
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Análisis XM - Hace 6 mesesBearish

Technical Analysis – US 30 cash index fails at 34,280 again; bearish pressure rises

The US 30 cash index is edging lower today after failing again to close above the December 2, 2022 downward trendline and the 34,280 level. The bears appear determined to defend this area, hoping that they can take advantage of any exhaustion signs appearing on the bulls’ side. With the Average Directional Movement Index (ADX) hovering around its 25-threshold and signaling a range-trading market, the bears are betting on the stochastic oscillator for the much-awaited bearish signal.
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Análisis XM - Hace 6 mesesBearish

Technical Analysis – US 30 cash index at inflection point

The US 30 cash index is hovering around 33,518 and conforming to the recent series of lower highs. On the downside, the October 13, 2023 upward sloping trendline appears to be acting as a strong support. The US 30 index has essentially entered a range-trading phase as market participants are trying to figure out their next move, especially as other US stock indices rally aggressively.
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Análisis XM - Hace 7 meses

Tight credit conditions weigh on share buybacks, stocks in trouble? – Stock Market News

During the last few years, corporate share buybacks have been one of the main factors behind the prolonged rally observed in the equity space. However, as the period of loose credit conditions and extremely low interest rates has officially come to an end, it remains to be seen whether this theme belongs to the past. Up until now, share buybacks are holding close to their record 2022 levels, supporting equity markets, but can the resiliency extend in the upcoming months?
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Análisis XM - Hace 8 meses

Earnings season could expose cracks in the stock market – Stock Market News

The first quarter earnings season will kick into high gear next week, with major US banks, as always, setting the tone. However, this time investors could pay even more attention to those results as the turmoil in the banking sector was responsible for a massive downshift in interest rate expectations. In general, earnings are set to contract for a second consecutive quarter, while valuations remain elevated and a recession is just around the corner.
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Análisis XM - Hace 9 mesesBearish

Technical Analysis – US 30 index grinds lower, outlook cautiously negative

The US 30 index (cash) has been under pressure so far this year, although the decline has not been very dramatic. Prices are down only 2% year-to-date, and a mere 12% away from record highs. Nonetheless, the price structure in recent months points to a negative trend, something that has started to be reflected in the downward-sloping 50-day moving average (MA).  Momentum oscillators are near their neutral levels, providing little information about the next directional move.
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Análisis XM - Hace 9 meses

What’s the outlook for US stock indices? – Stock Market News

US stock markets have experienced major swings in 2023 especially after cracks appeared in the US banking sector, which were also evident in Europe. As a consequence, markets revised their projections concerning global interest rate levels to the downside, expecting that central banks will eventually back down in the face of a severe recession. Hence, the focus turns to the Fed’s policy decision on Wednesday, which will likely affect each index differently.
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Análisis XM - Hace 9 mesesBearish

Technical Analysis – US 30 index may remain under pressure

The US 30 index (cash) plummeted to 31,979 on Thursday, exiting the five-month-old range to mark a new lower low. The aggressive decline squeezed the price below the 200-day simple moving average (SMA), which acted as a firm support twice since the start of November, increasing the risk for more downside. The negative slope in the momentum indicators is endorsing the bearish case, shifting attention to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the 36,950-25,583 downleg at 31,772. Slightly lower, se
Análisis XM - Hace 11 meses

Daily Market Comment – Yen tumbles on BoJ decision, US data enters the limelight

Yen falls as BoJ defies bets for more policy tweaks US retail sales and PPI data the dollar’s next test Wall Street at the mercy of data and earnings Yen tumbles as BoJ keeps yield control policy untouched The protagonist in the first chapter of today’s FX episode is the Japanese yen, which came under strong selling interest after the Bank of Japan stuck to its ultra-loose monetary policy, disappointing expectations that it could further tweak its yield curve control policy.
Análisis XM - Hace 1 año

Daily Market Comment – ECB appears hawkish, US retail sales disappoint

ECB signals that more double hikes are on the way US retail sales slide by more than expected Dollar ends Thursday higher on haven flows Wall Street slides on recession fears ECB slows hikes to 50bps but pledges more to come The US dollar finished Thursday higher against all its major peers, even against the euro, which at some point received support from a hawkish ECB.
Análisis XM - Hace 1 año

Technical Analysis – US 30 index keeps focus on the upside

The US 30 index (cash) trimmed a large part of Tuesday’s rally to close back below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the January-October downtrend at 34,275. Despite the pullback, the technical signals remain encouraging. The price has bounced on the 20-day simple moving average (SMA) and the 34,000 psychological mark to trade higher again. The progressing golden cross between the 50- and 200-day SMAs is raising hopes for an uptrend resumption.

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