Dollar approaches 20-year highs, Fed meeting in focus
* Graphic: World FX rates Link
By Karen Brettell
NEW YORK, May 2 (Reuters) - The dollar held just below a 20-year high against a basket of currencies on Monday before an expected Federal Reserve rate hike this week, with traders focused on the potential for the U.S. central bank to adopt an even more hawkish tone than expected.
The Fed has taken an increasingly aggressive approach to monetary policy as it tackles inflation that is soaring at its fastest pace in 40 years. It is expected to hike rates by 50 basis points and announce plans to reduce its $9 trillion balance sheet when it concludes its two-day meeting on Wednesday.
Though the chances are seen as low, some investors are watching for the possibility of a 75 basis point hike, or a faster pace of balance sheet reduction than currently expected.
“A lot of traders are anticipating that the Fed’s not going to back down from this hawkish stance and you could still see some hawkish surprises, and that’s why the dollar is likely to hold on to its gains heading into the meeting,” said Edward Moya, a senior analyst with OANDA in New York.
Comments by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell at the conclusion of the meeting will also be scrutinized for any new indications on whether the Fed will continue to hike rates to battle rising price pressures even if the economy weakens.
The dollar was last at 103.51 against a basket of currencies =USD , after reaching 103.93 on Thursday, the highest since Dec. 2002.
The euro EUR=EBS was at $1.0513, after dropping to $1.0470 on Thursday, the lowest since Jan. 2017.
The single currency was hurt after data showed euro zone manufacturing output growth stalled last month as factories struggled to source raw materials, while demand took a knock from steep price increases.
It has suffered from concerns about inflation, growth and energy insecurity as a result of sanctions imposed on Russia after its invasion of Ukraine.
Global growth concerns have also boosted demand for the greenback as China shuts down cities in an attempt to stem the spread of COVID-19. Authorities in Shanghai on Monday reported 58 new cases outside areas under strict lockdown, while Beijing pressed on with testing millions of people.
The dollar gained 0.6% versus the Chinese yuan in offshore markets, reaching 6.6824 CNH=EBS , just below the 6.6940 touched on Friday, which was the highest since Nov. 2020.
The Japanese yen held just above 20-year lows reached against the dollar on Thursday, when the Bank of Japan strengthened its commitment to keep interest rates ultra-low by vowing to buy unlimited amounts of bonds daily to defend its yield target.
The Japanese currency JPY=EBS was last at 130.14, after after reaching 131.24 on Thursday, the weakest since April 2002.
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Currency bid prices at 9:40AM (1340 GMT) Description
RIC
Last
U.S. Close Pct Change
YTD Pct
High Bid
Low Bid
Previous
Change
Session
Dollar index
=USD
103.5100
103.2900
+0.22%
8.203%
+103.5700 +103.1000 Euro/Dollar
EUR=EBS
$1.0513
$1.0542
-0.27%
-7.52%
+$1.0575
+$1.0503 Dollar/Yen
JPY=EBS
130.1350
129.8500
+0.24%
+13.07%
+130.4750 +129.6200 Euro/Yen
EURJPY=
136.86
136.90
-0.03%
+5.02%
+137.6300 +136.5600 Dollar/Swiss
CHF=EBS
0.9762
0.9735
+0.28%
+7.02%
+0.9763
+0.9717 Sterling/Dollar GBP=D3
$1.2537
$1.2577
-0.31%
-7.29%
+$1.2596
+$1.2536 Dollar/Canadian CAD=D3
1.2903
1.2865
+0.30%
+2.06%
+1.2907
+1.2843 Aussie/Dollar
AUD=D3
$0.7047
$0.7059
-0.16%
-3.04%
+$0.7082
+$0.7033 Euro/Swiss
EURCHF=
1.0263
1.0263
+0.00%
-1.02%
+1.0269
+1.0229 Euro/Sterling
EURGBP=
0.8385
0.8385
+0.00%
-0.18%
+0.8408
+0.8368 NZ
NZD=D3
$0.6427
$0.6459
-0.48%
-6.09%
+$0.6474
+$0.6422 Dollar/Dollar
Dollar/Norway
NOK=D3
9.4655
9.3700
+0.95%
+7.37%
+9.4845
+9.3770 Euro/Norway
EURNOK=
9.9523
9.8831
+0.70%
-0.61%
+9.9929
+9.8630 Dollar/Sweden
SEK=
9.8947
9.8196
+0.44%
+9.72%
+9.9090
+9.7899 Euro/Sweden
EURSEK=
10.4035
10.3582
+0.44%
+1.66%
+10.4297
+10.3480
Additional reporting by Tommy Wilkes in London; Editing by Kirsten Donovan
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