Kenya, Ghana and Zambia currencies to ease, Tanzania's to firm



NAIROBI, Sept 29 (Reuters) - Kenya, Ghana and Zambia's currencies are expected to come under pressure against the dollar in the next week, while Tanzania's is likely to strengthen. Uganda's shilling is seen holding steady.

KENYA

Kenya's shilling KES= is expected to weaken, as dollar demand from fuel importers and corporate clients outpaces supply, and with little expectation of central bank support.

Commercial banks quoted the shilling at 120.65/85 per dollar, compared with last Thursday's close of 120.30/50.

The shilling touched a fresh all-time low of 120.70/90 on Thursday, according to Refinitiv data.

"I expect to see a bit more demand as we enter the final quarter as manufacturers make their import orders," a trader said.

"Demand is across the board," said another trader.

GHANA

Ghana's cedi GHS= is seen under pressure in the coming week as an International Monetary Fund (IMF) team visits the county to assess its debt burden, analysts said.

Refinitiv Eikon data showed the cedi was trading at 10.15 to the dollar on Thursday compared to 10.10 at last Thursday's close. It hit a new low of 10.20 on Tuesday.

"I see downward pressure in the week ahead as the market awaits the announcement from negotiations with the IMF team," said Jerome Kuseh, an analyst and founder of the blog CediTalk.

Fears of a debt restructuring or sovereign default have loomed. But the cedi's losses could be partly offset by a $1.3 billion loan due to be signed by Ghana's Cocoa Board (COCOBOD) on Thursday, said Takudzwa Ndawona, an analyst at ETM Analytics.

ZAMBIA

Zambia's kwacha ZMW= is likely to remain under mild pressure against the dollar next week due to continued high demand for hard currency amid subdued supply.

On Thursday, commercial banks quoted the currency of Africa's second-largest copper producer down at 15.9200 per dollar from 15.8500 at the close of business a week ago.

"There is likely to be a small depreciation because the kwacha appreciation was largely due to positive sentiment after the IMF approved Zambia's programme," financial analyst Trevor Hambayi said.

TANZANIA

Tanzania's shilling TZS= is expected to strengthen, helped by the central bank's push to reduce liquidity in the market.

Commercial banks quoted the shilling at 2,327/2,337 against the dollar on Thursday, the same levels recorded at last Thursday's close.

"The Bank of Tanzania said recently it will continue to gradually reduce liquidity in the market until the end of October to tackle rising inflation," said Kristine Van Helsdingen, a dealer at AZA Finance, a Nairobi-based FX trading firm.

"Following a recent U.S. investors' trip to Tanzania, we expect inflows to strengthen the shilling in the near term," she said.

UGANDA

The Ugandan shilling UGX= is expected to hold steady, drawing some support from typical month-end dollar inflows from the agriculture sector.

Commercial banks quoted the shilling at 3,860/3,870, compared with last Thursday's close of 3,820/3,830.

"There are some flows from coffee, tea and other agricultural shipments which are offering support," said an independent foreign exchange trader in the capital Kampala.

He said the shilling will likely trade in the 3,840-3,870 range in the next week.
Reporting by Hereward Holland, Nuzulack Dausen, Chris Mfula, Cooper Inveen, Christian Akorlie, Elias Biryabarema; Compiled by George Obulutsa and Nellie Peyton; Editing by James Macharia Chege

Avertissement : Les entités de XM Group proposent à notre plateforme de trading en ligne un service d'exécution uniquement, autorisant une personne à consulter et/ou à utiliser le contenu disponible sur ou via le site internet, qui n'a pas pour but de modifier ou d'élargir cette situation. De tels accès et utilisation sont toujours soumis aux : (i) Conditions générales ; (ii) Avertissements sur les risques et (iii) Avertissement complet. Un tel contenu n'est par conséquent fourni que pour information générale. En particulier, sachez que les contenus de notre plateforme de trading en ligne ne sont ni une sollicitation ni une offre de participation à toute transaction sur les marchés financiers. Le trading sur les marchés financiers implique un niveau significatif de risques pour votre capital.

Tout le matériel publié dans notre Centre de trading en ligne est destiné à des fins de formation / d'information uniquement et ne contient pas – et ne doit pas être considéré comme contenant – des conseils et recommandations en matière de finance, de fiscalité des investissements ou de trading, ou un enregistrement de nos prix de trading ou une offre, une sollicitation, une transaction à propos de tout instrument financier ou bien des promotions financières non sollicitées à votre égard.

Tout contenu tiers, de même que le contenu préparé par XM, tels que les opinions, actualités, études, analyses, prix, autres informations ou liens vers des sites tiers contenus sur ce site internet sont fournis "tels quels", comme commentaires généraux sur le marché et ne constituent pas des conseils en investissement. Dans la mesure où tout contenu est considéré comme de la recherche en investissement, vous devez noter et accepter que le contenu n'a pas été conçu ni préparé conformément aux exigences légales visant à promouvoir l'indépendance de la recherche en investissement et, en tant que tel, il serait considéré comme une communication marketing selon les lois et réglementations applicables. Veuillez vous assurer que vous avez lu et compris notre Avis sur la recherche en investissement non indépendante et notre avertissement sur les risques concernant les informations susdites, qui peuvent consultés ici.

Nous utilisons des cookies pour vous donner la meilleure expérience possible de notre site internet. En savoir plus ou modifier vos paramètres de cookies.

Avertissement sur les risques : votre capital est à risque. Les produits à effet de levier ne sont pas recommandés pour tous. Veuillez consulter notre Divulgation des risques