Stocks take breather after January surge, Adani plunges in India
Updates with comment, details; refreshes prices
By Marc Jones
LONDON, Jan 27 (Reuters) -World stocks nudged at 5-1/2 month highs and the dollar held close to an eight-month low on Friday, as reassuring U.S. economic and inflation data kept the bulls largely in charge ahead of next week's slate of top central bank meetings.
Asia-Pacific shares maintained their best start to a year .MIAPJ0000PUS overnight with a 9-month high despite ongoing drama in India, where shares of Adani Enterprises ADEL.NS sank 20% as the fallout continued from a scathing report by a U.S. short seller Hindenburg Research.
MSCI's all-country index .MIWD00000PUS held onto modest gains and headed for 6-day winning streak. The global index is heading for a gain of 7.2% this month, which would mark its strongest performance for January since 2019.
The tug-of-war over how central banks will respond to news that major economies are holding up and inflation is coming down was playing out everywhere.
Currency traders who had pushed the dollar up after news the U.S. economy grew faster than expected at the end of last year were offloading it again. At the same time, dealers were nudging the benchmark government bond yields that reflect borrowing costs back up. GVD/EUR
Add in a rise in oil prices CLc1 but also a near 16-month low in European gas prices TRNLTTFMc1 - and the recent huge shifts in the Japanese yen and China's COVID restrictions - and it was a mixed picture to say the least.
"The data at the moment is kind of telling you what you thought you knew - that inflation is slowing but that the labour market remains tight," said Societe Generale strategist Kit Juckes
"Everyone is now saying perhaps we have gone too far in January," he added, pointing to the big dollar, yen and euro move. "So now we are sat back on our haunches a bit trying to get positions out of our feet."
European shares .STOXX rose 0.13%, led by gains in the energy sector, which got a boost from a stronger crude oil price, while retailers such as H&M HMb.ST and luxury goods company LVMH LVMH.PA were on the backfoot, after reporting earnings.
"In the short-run the rally (in markets) is over extended and there is a need for consolidation, especially on the equities side," Francois Savary, chief investment officer at Prime Partners, said.
One the most explosive stories of the week continued in India where shares of Adani Enterprises ADEL.NS sank another 20% in the wake of Hindenburg Research's report about the firms debt levels and use of tax havens.
Seven listed companies of the Adani conglomerate - controlled by one of the world's richest men Gautam Adani - have lost a combined $45 billion in market capitalisation since Wednesday, casting serious doubt on the company's record $2.45 billion share sale plan.
Adani Group has dismissed the Hindenburg report as baseless.
"There were heavy positions in Adani group (shares), the way they have risen in the last couple of years," said Neeraj Dewan, director at Quantum Securities in New Delhi.
"This is a classic case of panic selling," he said, noting the concerns were also spreading to Indian banks with exposure to Adani Group's debt.
Thursday U.S. data had shown consumers boosting Q4 spending on goods, but it could be the last quarter of solid GDP growth before the lagged effects of the Federal Reserve's jumbo interest rate hikes are fully felt.
A separate report showed that labour market remains tight and could lead the Fed to keep interest rates higher for longer.
Futures markets are now pricing in a 94.7% probability of a 25-basis-point hike next Wednesday and see the Fed's overnight rate at 4.45% by next December, or lower than the 5.1% rate Fed officials have projected into next year. FEDWATCH
Data on U.S. personal consumption expenditures (PCE) due at 1330 GMT will provide further clues on inflation.
Next week will also feature Bank of England and European Central Bank meetings, both of which are expected to keep pushing up their rates in the coming months.
Japan's potential move away from borrowing cost suppression is also key. Data there overnight showed core consumer prices in Tokyo, a leading indicator of nationwide trends, rose 4.3% in January from a year earlier, marking the fastest annual gain in nearly 42 years.
The Japanese yen JPY=EBS rose 0.3% to 129.86 per dollar as the data reinforced market expectations that quickening inflation could nudge the Bank of Japan to move away from its ultra-easy policy.
"We still think the policy change is a long way off," ING regional head of research Robert Carnell said. "The spring salary negotiations are key to watch as wage growth is a prerequisite for sustainable inflation."
The dollar index =USD, which measures the U.S. currency against six other peers, was last up 0.1% against the euro at $1.0877 EUR=EBS and up 0.4% at $1.2366 against sterling.
Oil rose on expectations of a boost to demand from China's reopening and after the strong U.S. data. Brent crude futures LCOc1 rose 1.5% to $88.78 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude CLc1 rose 1.6% to $82.26 per barrel. O/R
World FX rates YTDhttp://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh
Global asset performancehttp://tmsnrt.rs/2yaDPgn
Asian stock marketshttps://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4
Global markets in 2023https://tmsnrt.rs/3XYyapg
Additional reporting by Dhara Ranasinghe and Amanda Cooper in London and Ankur Banerjee in Singapore; Editing by Toby Chopra and Christina Fincher
To read Reuters Markets and Finance news, click on https://www.reuters.com/finance/markets For the state of play of Asian stock markets please click on: 0#.INDEXA
Avertissement : Les entités de XM Group proposent à notre plateforme de trading en ligne un service d'exécution uniquement, autorisant une personne à consulter et/ou à utiliser le contenu disponible sur ou via le site internet, qui n'a pas pour but de modifier ou d'élargir cette situation. De tels accès et utilisation sont toujours soumis aux : (i) Conditions générales ; (ii) Avertissements sur les risques et (iii) Avertissement complet. Un tel contenu n'est par conséquent fourni que pour information générale. En particulier, sachez que les contenus de notre plateforme de trading en ligne ne sont ni une sollicitation ni une offre de participation à toute transaction sur les marchés financiers. Le trading sur les marchés financiers implique un niveau significatif de risques pour votre capital.
Tout le matériel publié dans notre Centre de trading en ligne est destiné à des fins de formation / d'information uniquement et ne contient pas – et ne doit pas être considéré comme contenant – des conseils et recommandations en matière de finance, de fiscalité des investissements ou de trading, ou un enregistrement de nos prix de trading ou une offre, une sollicitation, une transaction à propos de tout instrument financier ou bien des promotions financières non sollicitées à votre égard.
Tout contenu tiers, de même que le contenu préparé par XM, tels que les opinions, actualités, études, analyses, prix, autres informations ou liens vers des sites tiers contenus sur ce site internet sont fournis "tels quels", comme commentaires généraux sur le marché et ne constituent pas des conseils en investissement. Dans la mesure où tout contenu est considéré comme de la recherche en investissement, vous devez noter et accepter que le contenu n'a pas été conçu ni préparé conformément aux exigences légales visant à promouvoir l'indépendance de la recherche en investissement et, en tant que tel, il serait considéré comme une communication marketing selon les lois et réglementations applicables. Veuillez vous assurer que vous avez lu et compris notre Avis sur la recherche en investissement non indépendante et notre avertissement sur les risques concernant les informations susdites, qui peuvent consultés ici.