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Week Ahead – A plethora of data, an RBNZ meeting, but focus on Fed minutes

There will be no shortage of data releases in the coming week and the RBNZ is poised to hike rates again. But with investors still undecided about the implications of the latest US inflation report on Fed policy, the FOMC minutes might steal the limelight.

Is China headed for a Lehman-style crisis?

The Chinese economic miracle seems to have turned into a nightmare lately. With a property sector in collapse and an overleveraged banking system as global interest rates move higher at the speed of light, there is a clear risk that China might suffer a 2008 moment that infects the entire global financial system.

Daily Market Comment – Inflation slowdown knocks US dollar, sends stocks flying

US inflation slows by more than expected, traders unwind rate hike bets  Dollar retreats, stock markets party, but bonds and gold not buying it Disney reports decent earnings, producer price data coming up next Cooling down Expectations that inflation in America may have peaked already went into overdrive yesterday following a cooler-than-expected CPI reading.

Τechnical Analysis – USDJPY resumes rebound but 50-day SMA caps advance

USDJPY has been gaining some ground in the short-term after its latest decline came to a halt at the 130.40 region.

US inflation: Is the elusive peak finally here? – Forex News Preview

Following last week’s blistering jobs report out of the United States, investors will be turning their attention to Wednesday’s July inflation figures as bets of a 75-basis-point rate hike in September are back on.

USDJPY jumped on the back of a stronger-than-expected US nonfarm payrolls report on Friday, piercing aggressively the constraining 50-period simple moving average (SMA) on the four-hour chart to top at 135.

Daily Market Comment – Dollar smiles after impressive jobs data reinforces Fed bets

Another blockbuster US jobs report keeps the wind in the dollar’s sails Yen and gold underperform as yields edge higher, stock markets mixed Oil prices stabilize after sharp selloff, look to US-Iran negotiations  Fed bets return Despite several leading indicators warning about a loss of momentum in the US economy, the labor market is still firing on all cylinders according to the latest jobs report.

Daily Market Comment – Stocks drift, dollar firms as markets brace for US jobs slowdown

NFP report awaited as recession risks remain front and centre Dollar inches higher ahead of the jobs data, stocks drift sideways Pound regains footing after fall from BoE’s warning of long recession Oil steadies after sliding again, gold shines as yield-curve inversion deepens Jobs report to put US economy to the test Recession jitters were abound on Friday even as markets got off to a steady start following a few wobbles along the week.

Daily Market Comment – Wall Street bounces, shrugs off Taiwan tensions and hawkish Fed

Solid earnings lift US stocks to multi-month highs despite hawkish Fed soundbites Yen slips further as markets unrattled by China flexing its military muscle over Taiwan Pound edges up ahead of expected Bank of England rate hike, dollar consolidates      Earnings relief fuel equities rebound Geopolitical tensions and recession fears appear to have faded into the background for investors as shares on Wall Street staged another impressive rally on Wednesday, while safe-haven currencies retreated further.

Daily Market Comment – Fed hawks lift yields out of the doldrums, yen pauses for breath

US yields jump after Fed pours cold water on notion that rate hikes are nearing end Yen rally eases, stocks mixed as Taiwan escalation seen limited after Pelosi visit Oil prices drift lower ahead of OPEC+ output decision Fed bets back on after hawkish talk Bond markets were reeling and interest rate futures were being recalibrated after Federal Reserve officials questioned the recent scaling back of rate hike expectations by investors.

Technical Analysis – USDJPY pivots north but don’t get excited yet

USDJPY turned green after its latest sharp bearish wave paused at an almost two-month low of 130.38 on Tuesday, with the price quickly recouping Monday’s losses in the aftermath.

Daily Market Comment – US-China tensions dent appetite as yields crumble, dollar creeps higher

Stocks turn red amid renewed Sino-US tensions as Pelosi expected in Taiwan Yen extends winning streak, dollar also catches a bid as bond yields skid Aussie plummets after RBA decision, pound rally loses steam too as BoE eyed Threat of geopolitical flare-up dampens mood Risk sentiment took a knock on Tuesday as it emerged that the Speaker of the US House of Representatives Nancy Pelosi is on her way to Taiwan, defying China’s strong advice against visiting the disputed territory.

Daily Market Comment – Dollar slips further as easing rate hike bets bolster stocks

Dollar spun around by mixed data, eventually resuming its slide along with yields Tech and oil earnings stretch S&P 500’s monthly gain to 9% But some caution as weak Asian manufacturing PMIs lift yen Fed rate hike bets continue to waver The US dollar has started August on the backfoot as markets are increasingly convinced that the Federal Reserve’s rate hike days are numbered, while Wall Street has just notched up its best month since November 2020, cheered by more upbeat earnings.

Daily Market Comment – Stock markets party even as US economy contracts

US economy flirts with recession after second negative GDP print Bad news is good news for stock markets, solid earnings help too Yen stages sharp comeback, dollar loses some steam, gold bounces Don’t call it recession The United States is teetering on the edge of a recession after the economy shrank for a second consecutive quarter, adding another headache for Federal Reserve officials in their fight against roaring inflation.

Technical Analysis – USDJPY moves with weak momentum around 20-day SMA

USDJPY found support at the 135.55 barrier, which holds near the medium-term ascending trend line but is still moving with weak momentum around the 20-day simple moving average (SMA).

Fed to likely hike by 75 bps but may still weigh 100-bps option – Forex News Preview

The Federal Reserve is almost certain to raise interest rates for a fourth time on Wednesday when it announces its decision at 18:00 GMT.

Week Ahead – Fed to raise rates, Italy in political turmoil

All eyes will be on the Federal Reserve meeting next week. A triple-barreled rate increase is essentially locked in, so traders will put more emphasis on Powell’s commentary and the upcoming GDP report that will reveal whether America is in a technical recession.

Daily Market Comment – Euro edges up on Nord Stream relief, awaits ECB outcome  

Euro buoyed as gas flows resume ahead of ECB decision, but turmoil in Italy Earnings lift S&P 500 to 6-week high but stocks mixed today Gold slumps to one-year low as it loses out to rising rates, bullish dollar All eyes on size of ECB rate hike and new bond tool The euro is clawing higher ahead of the European Central Bank’s widely anticipated interest rate rise – the first in 11 years – later today.

Technical Analysis – USDJPY moves slightly up after bullish doji candle

USDJPY posted a bullish doji candle yesterday and maybe is a sign for further bullish actions after two consecutive red days.

Will the Bank of Japan tweak its policy after yen’s freefall? – Forex News Preview

Investors will have their eyes on the Bank of Japan during Thursday’s policy meeting as the yen keeps melting while the inflation peak is nowhere in sight yet, making everyone wonder how long the central bank will remain an outlier.



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