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EURGBP


XM piacelemzés

EURGBP plunges below short-term SMAs Price creates 5-day bearish move MACD and RSI stand in negative areas EURGBP is posting the fifth straight red day, breaking the short-term uptrend line to the upside and falling beneath the simple moving averages (SMAs), being ready for a bearish correction. From a technical perspective, the RSI is diving beneath the neutral threshold of 50 and the MACD crossed the zero line to the downside.
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Has the inflation fire been extinguished by the ECB? – Preview

Key data releases on the menu as the ECB meets in two weeks ECB officials have been toning down their hawkish commentary The euro would welcome a strong inflation print and the ensuing hawkish rhetoric German CPI will be released on Wednesday; EZ aggregate on Thursday 10 GMT Two weeks left for the last ECB meeting for 2023 With the Thanksgiving holiday break behind us, we are on the homestretch now for 2023. The market is counting down to the last round of central bank meeting
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Technical Analysis – EURGBP flips backwards; focus on 0.8780

EURGBP erases last week’s bounce Technical signals are mixed Selling pressures might intensify below 0.8780   EURGBP switched to losses, falling back below its 20-day simple moving average (SMA) after an unsuccessful three-day battle around the more-than-six month high of 0.8764. The pair is currently trying to stay afloat above the 0.8700 round-level as the 20-day SMA proved a tough obstacle earlier today at 0.8712. From a technical perspective, the risk is more to the downsi
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UK PMIs on the menu but political difficulties reemerge – Preview

PMI survey prints will be released on Thursday amidst volatile political environment Wednesday’s Autumn statement is key as another government crisis could unfold soon Pound does not enjoy the increased domestic risks, especially as BoE remains dovish  Inflation dropping but so is growth Bank of England Governor Bailey got his wish in last week’s inflation report for October.
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EURGBP edges lower today, a tad above 0.8720 It continues to respect the August 23, 2023 trendline Momentum indicators remain mostly bullish EURGBP is trading a tad above 0.8720 and registering its first red candle after five consecutive green candles. It bounced off the August 23, 2023 ascending trendline last week with the bulls aiming to record a new high, keeping the bullish structure of higher highs and higher lows alive and recouping another part of the losses they incurred s
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Weekly Technical Outlook – EURGBP, AUDUSD, USDJPY  

UK GDP in focus this week; pound could significantly benefit from a strong print RBA meeting and Chinese data could push aussie even higher against the US dollar USDJPY could break below its upward trending channel if Japanese data improve UK GDP Q3 print -> EURGBP The Bank of England kept its main bank rate unchanged at last week’s meeting despite the inflation rate remaining at a very high level.
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Market Comment – Investors lock gaze on US NFP data

Dollar slides as Fed pours more cold water on hike expectations Spotlight turns to US employment report for October Pound receives little boost from BoE’s hawkish hold Wall Street cheers potential interest rate peak, earnings help Dollar on the back foot ahead of NFP report The US dollar traded lower against all the other major currencies on Thursday, weighed down by the Fed’s decision on Wednesday to keep interest rates untouched, while pouring more cold water on expect
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Technical Analysis – EURGBP bulls take the steering wheel

EURGBP moves further away from the upper end of a prior range Both the MACD and the RSI indicate positive momentum These signs paint a cautiously positive short-term picture EURGBP bulls have gained the upper hand this week, distancing themselves from the key barrier of 0.8700, fractionally above which the pair has been oscillating since October 20. That zone acted as the upper bound of the sideways range that had been containing most of the price action since May, and thus, the fa
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Doves are firmly in control of BoE meeting – Preview

The Bank of England meets as geopolitical developments affect market sentiment Another pause is priced in but Wednesday’s Fed gathering could unsettle expectations The statement is set for Thursday 12:00 GMT; press conference 30 minutes later Calendar also includes the final Manufacturing and Services PMI prints Data since September have been on the weak side With the focus lately turned elsewhere, it has been a quiet month for the ΒοΕ, especially as its members continu
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ECB meets but no fireworks expected – Preview

The ECB rate-setting meeting dominates this week’s busy schedule Market does not expect a rate change; focus on statement and overall rhetoric Decision will be announced on Thursday 12.15 GMT, press conference at 12:45 GMT ECB travels to Greece for another meeting The European Central Bank is holding its penultimate meeting for 2023 on Thursday, a week before the Fed gathering.
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Technical Analysis – EURGBP snaps key barriers, but one more remains

EURGBP heads for a strong weekly close Bull run faces another challenge at 0.8740   EURGBP recorded a couple of bullish achievements this week, ascending above the resistance trendline, which halted September’s bull run, and crawling above the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) for the first time since May. The price resumed its bullish momentum on Friday to unlock a six-month high of 0.8736, but the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the 0.8201-0.9249 upleg at 0.8725 might prove c
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Strong data prints could unsettle the delicate balance at the BoE – Preview

Key data releases coming up as the market digests geopolitical developments All eyes on CPI release (Wednesday 06:00 GMT) as the BoE is uneasy with strong prints Calendar also includes labour market information, average earnings data and retail sales The Bank of England does not really favour further rate hikes At the September meeting the BoE kept its bank rate unchanged at 5.25%.
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Technical Analysis – EURGBP heads lower; support at 20-day SMA

EURGBP extends its pullback from 4-month high Mildly bearish bias in the near term But plenty of support at 20-day SMA and uptrend line EURGBP has been gradually edging lower after scaling a four-month high in late September. The momentum indicators are mixed as the RSI has flatlined slightly above the 50-neutral level but the MACD just crossed below its red signal line.
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Bank of England decision could spell bad news for sterling – Preview

Bank of England set to raise interest rates this week Mixed economic data, so commentary could be cautious Risks for British pound seem tilted to the downside  Decision expected at 11:00 GMT on Thursday  Weaker data pulse The United Kingdom economy seems to be losing steam, with recent data releases showcasing a severe slowdown in growth and a softer labor market.
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Technical Analysis – EURGBP turns bullish in the short term

EURGBP posts a higher high to climb to a one-month peak Short-term bias increasingly bullish according to technical indicators But long-term descending trendline could curb advances EURGBP is scaling a higher high on Wednesday, climbing above the 100-day simple moving average (SMA), having already reclaimed the 20- and 50-day SMAs. The momentum indicators point to further gains in the near term.
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Could this week’s data prints cement next week’s BoE rate hike? – Preview

Important data releases coming up as markets look ahead to next week’s key events Average earnings figures are expected to remain elevated, sounding an alarm at the BoE The main part of this week’s data will be released on Tuesday (06:00 GMT) The Bank of England prepares for next week’s meeting Central banks have put the summer break behind them and are preparing for a frantic period ahead.
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EURGBP is registering its first green candle after five consecutive red candles as the bulls are trying to engineer some sort of advance. Since the February 3, 2023 high of 0.8978, EURGBP has been on a steady downward path with the equivalent trendline repeatedly proving to be a very significant resistance point. In addition, the bulls would potentially have to encounter a questionable and very complex head-and-shoulders pattern.
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Market Comment – Dollar trades mixed, awaiting Powell’s speech; Euro slides on PMIs

Dollar trades mixed as Jackson Hole draws closer Fed’s Barkin sees reacceleration scenario Euro falls on PMIs, UK PMIs next Wall Street turns spotlight to Nvidia earnings Fed’s Barkin adds to the likelihood of more Fed hikes The US dollar traded mixed against the other major currencies on Tuesday as traders may be reluctant to assume large positions ahead of the Jackson Hole economic symposium and Fed Chair Powell’s speech on Friday.
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EURGBP is trading sideways today, not far from the recent July 11, 2023 low of 0.8503. The bears are actually trying to take advantage of the head-and-shoulders pattern and achieve at least a drop towards the 0.8500 area, with the full-height pattern target being in the 0.8400 region. The momentum indicators appear to be fully supportive of the bears’ intentions. The Average Directional Movement Index (ADX) has risen above its 25-threshold, signaling a decent bearish trend in the market, a
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UK PMI surveys on the agenda but the focus will be across the pond – Preview

With the market anxiously expecting this week’s Jackson Hole gathering, on Wednesday we will get the preliminary UK PMI survey results for August. As the pound remains one of the market’s favorites, a positive surprise at this week’s data releases could quickly reignite the BoE’s rate hike expectations and allow the euro/pound pair to record a new 2023 low.
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Feltételek

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