Dollar rebounds on Fed expectations, Aussie drops
By Karen Brettell
NEW YORK, Nov 28 (Reuters) - The dollar clawed back earlier losses on Monday as a hawkish Federal Reserve official laid out the case for further rate hikes, while the Australian dollar sank on concerns about unrest over COVID-19 restrictions in China.
The greenback rebounded in early U.S. trading and added to gains after St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said the U.S. central bank needs to raise interest rates quite a bit further and then hold them there throughout next year and into 2024 to gain control of inflation and bring it back toward the Fed's 2% goal.
Comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell on Wednesday will be watched for any new signals on further tightening with key U.S. jobs data for November also due on Friday. The U.S. central bank is expected to hike rates by an additional 50 basis points when it meets on Dec. 13-14. FEDWATCH
“The markets have hit a bit of a plateau about what they’re expecting. They know that the Fed’s going to raise rates, and that’s behind everything, but they’re not sure how much or when,” said Joseph Trevisani, senior analyst at FXStreet.com.
The dollar index =USD has fallen to 106.65 from a 20-year high of 114.78 on Sept. 28 on expectations that its rally may have been over stretched and as the Fed looks to slow its pace of rate increases.
Some of the recent decline is also likely due to investors and traders booking profits before year-end, said Trevisani, noting many trading firms curtail activity in December.
The greenback was also likely supported after the dollar index reached the 200-day moving average at 105.369.
The index also posted an outside day, reaching both a higher high and a lower low than the previous session, which could bode well for further gains, Tom Fitzpatrick, chief technical strategist at Citigroup, said in a note.
It is the first bullish outside day on the dollar index since the high reached on Sept. 28 and is the first time it has tested the 200-day moving average since June 2021, he said.
The dollar had dipped earlier on Monday despite other safe-haven currencies the Japanese yen and the Swiss franc gaining on concerns about China.
Hundreds of demonstrators and police clashed in Shanghai on Sunday night as protests over China's stringent COVID restrictions flared for a third day and spread to several cities in the wake of a deadly fire in the country's far west.
The greenback was last down 0.23% to 138.82 Japanese yen JPY=EBS . The euro EUR=EBS dipped 0.62% to $1.0403.
The risk sensitive Aussie dollar AUD=D3 , which is strongly tied to Chinese growth, was the worst performing major currency, falling 1.61% to $0.6649. The currency was also dented by data showing Australian retail sales suffered their first fall of 2022 in October as rising prices and higher interest rates finally seemed to have an impact on spending.
The offshore yuan CNH= weakened against the dollar to 7.2468.
Bitcoin fell after major cryptocurrency lender BlockFi filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection along with eight affiliates, the latest crypto casualty to follow the spectacular collapse of the FTX exchange earlier this month.
The cryptocurrency BTC=BTSP was last down 1.18% at $16,231.
========================================================
Currency bid prices at 3:39PM (2039 GMT) Description
RIC
Last
U.S. Close Pct Change
YTD Pct
High Bid
Low Bid
Previous
Change
Session
Dollar index
=USD
106.6500
106.3400
+0.31%
11.485%
+106.7400 +105.3100 Euro/Dollar
EUR=EBS
$1.0338
$1.0403
-0.62%
-9.07%
+$1.0497
+$1.0330 Dollar/Yen
JPY=EBS
138.8150
139.1650
-0.23%
+20.61%
+139.4350 +137.5000 Euro/Yen
EURJPY=
143.52
144.75
-0.85%
+10.13%
+145.0000 +143.0600 Dollar/Swiss
CHF=EBS
0.9491
0.9480
+0.14%
+4.07%
+0.9497
+0.9407 Sterling/Dollar GBP=D3
$1.1947
$1.2089
-1.17%
-11.66%
+$1.2118
+$1.1942 Dollar/Canadian CAD=D3
1.3490
1.3400
+0.68%
+6.70%
+1.3495
+1.3395 Aussie/Dollar
AUD=D3
$0.6649
$0.6756
-1.61%
-8.56%
+$0.6728
+$0.6643 Euro/Swiss
EURCHF=
0.9812
0.9833
-0.21%
-5.37%
+0.9890
+0.9793 Euro/Sterling
EURGBP=
0.8651
0.8598
+0.62%
+2.99%
+0.8675
+0.8587 NZ
NZD=D3
$0.6161
$0.6247
-1.46%
-10.06%
+$0.6244
+$0.6156 Dollar/Dollar
Dollar/Norway
NOK=D3
10.0170
9.8765
+1.52%
+13.82%
+10.0330
+9.8835 Euro/Norway
EURNOK=
10.3559
10.2549
+0.98%
+3.48%
+10.3856
+10.2623 Dollar/Sweden
SEK=
10.5506
10.4112
+0.78%
+17.00%
+10.5612
+10.3700 Euro/Sweden
EURSEK=
10.9011
10.8171
+0.78%
+6.58%
+10.9160
+10.8406
World FX rates Link
Editing by Chizu Nomiyama and Chris Reese
면책조항: XM Group 회사는 체결 전용 서비스와 온라인 거래 플랫폼에 대한 접근을 제공하여, 개인이 웹사이트에서 또는 웹사이트를 통해 이용 가능한 콘텐츠를 보거나 사용할 수 있도록 허용합니다. 이에 대해 변경하거나 확장할 의도는 없습니다. 이러한 접근 및 사용에는 다음 사항이 항상 적용됩니다: (i) 이용 약관, (ii) 위험 경고, (iii) 완전 면책조항. 따라서, 이러한 콘텐츠는 일반적인 정보에 불과합니다. 특히, 온라인 거래 플랫폼의 콘텐츠는 금융 시장에서의 거래에 대한 권유나 제안이 아닙니다. 금융 시장에서의 거래는 자본에 상당한 위험을 수반합니다.
온라인 거래 플랫폼에 공개된 모든 자료는 교육/정보 목적으로만 제공되며, 금융, 투자세 또는 거래 조언 및 권고, 거래 가격 기록, 금융 상품 또는 원치 않는 금융 프로모션의 거래 제안 또는 권유를 포함하지 않으며, 포함해서도 안됩니다.
이 웹사이트에 포함된 모든 의견, 뉴스, 리서치, 분석, 가격, 기타 정보 또는 제3자 사이트에 대한 링크와 같이 XM이 준비하는 콘텐츠 뿐만 아니라, 제3자 콘텐츠는 일반 시장 논평으로서 "현재" 기준으로 제공되며, 투자 조언으로 여겨지지 않습니다. 모든 콘텐츠가 투자 리서치로 해석되는 경우, 투자 리서치의 독립성을 촉진하기 위해 고안된 법적 요건에 따라 콘텐츠가 의도되지 않았으며, 준비되지 않았다는 점을 인지하고 동의해야 합니다. 따라서, 관련 법률 및 규정에 따른 마케팅 커뮤니케이션이라고 간주됩니다. 여기에서 접근할 수 있는 앞서 언급한 정보에 대한 비독립 투자 리서치 및 위험 경고 알림을 읽고, 이해하시기 바랍니다.