S&P 500 staggers to slightly lower close as quarter-end looms



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By Stephen Culp

NEW YORK, June 29 (Reuters) - The S&P 500 ended a seesaw session slightly down on Wednesday as investors limped toward the finish line of a downbeat month, a dismal quarter, and the worst first-half for the S&P 500 since President Richard Nixon's first term.

The three major U.S. stock indexes spent much of the session wavering between red and green.

"The market’s struggling to find direction," said Megan Horneman, chief investment officer at Verdence Capital Advisors in Hunt Valley, Maryland. "We had disappointing data, and the markets are waiting for earnings season, when we'll get more clarity" with respect to future earnings and an economic slowdown.

Market leaders Apple AAPL.O , Amazon.com AMZN.O and Microsoft MSFT.O provided the upside muscle, while economically sensitive chips .SOX small caps .RUT and transports .DJT were underperforming the broader market.

With the end of the month and the second quarter a day away, the benchmark S&P 500 has set a course for its biggest first-half percentage drop since 1970.

As for the Nasdaq, it was on its way to its worst-ever first-half performance, while the Dow appeared on track for its biggest January-June percentage drop since the financial crisis.

All three indexes were bound to post their second straight quarterly declines. That last time that happened was in 2015.

"We have a central bank that has had to pivot from a decades-old easy money policy to a tightening cycle," Horneman added. "This is new for a lot of investors."

"We’re seeing a repricing for what we expect to be a very different interest rate environment going forward."

According to preliminary data, the S&P 500 .SPX lost 3.13 points, or 0.08%, to end at 3,817.90 points, while the Nasdaq Composite .IXIC lost 4.62 points, or 0.04%, to 11,176.92. The Dow Jones Industrial Average .DJI rose 73.06 points, or 0.24%, to 31,020.05.

Benchmark Treasury yields have risen by over 1.606 percentage points so far in 2022, their biggest first-half jump since 1984. That explains why interest rate sensitive growth stocks .IGX have plunged over 26% year-to-date.

Federal Reserve officials in recent days have reiterated their determination to rein in inflation, setting expectations for their second consecutive 75 basis point interest rate hike in July, while expressing confidence that monetary tightening will not tip the economy into recession.

In economic news, U.S. Commerce Department data showed GDP contracted slightly more than previously stated in the first three months of the year, with consumer spending, which accounts for about 70% of the economy, contributing substantially less than originally reported.

This follows Tuesday's dire consumer confidence report, which showed consumer expectations sinking to their lowest level since March 2013.

Second-quarter reporting season remains several weeks away, and 130 of the companies in the S&P 500 have pre-announced. Of those, 45 have been positive and 77 have been negative, resulting in a negative/positive ratio of 1.7 stronger than the first quarter but weaker than a year ago, according to Refinitiv data.

What will investors be listening for in those earnings calls?

"Margin pressures, that’s the big concern, pricing pressures, scaling back plans for capex because of the slowdown, and if they see any improvement in the supply chain," Horneman said.

Packaged food company General Mills Inc GIS.N jumped after its sales beat estimates.

Bed Bath & Beyond Inc BBBY.O tumbled following the retailer's announcement that it had replaced chief executive officer Mark Tritton, hoping to reverse a slump.
Reporting by Stephen Culp; additional reporting by Amruta Khandekar and Shreyashi Sanyal in Bangalore; Editing by David Gregorio

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