Wheat jumps over 2% as market recovers from near 5-month low



SINGAPORE, July 7 (Reuters) - Chicago wheat futures rose more than 2% on Thursday, with prices climbing for the first time in six sessions, supported by bargain-buying and concerns over lower Black Sea supplies.

Corn and soybeans gained more than 1%.

FUNDAMENTALS

* The most-active wheat contract on the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) Wv1 added 2.3% to $8.23 a bushel, as of 0039 GMT, after dropping to its lowest since Feb. 17 at $7.85 a bushel on Wednesday.

* Corn Cv1 rose 1.5% to $5.93-1/4 a bushel and soybeans Sv1 gained 1.3% at $13.40-1/2 a bushel.

* French consultancy Agritel expects war-hit Ukraine to harvest 21.8 million tonnes of wheat this summer compared to a record 32.2 million collected last year, it said on Wednesday.

* The estimate for the 2022/23 season was based on an expected harvested area of 5.8 million hectares, down from 6.7 million hectares initially sown by farmers, said Agritel, which is part of commodity pricing group Argus.

* For corn and soybeans, traders are also keeping an eye on U.S. crop weather. The U.S. Department of Agriculture, in a daily weather report, said rain showers and thunderstorms from Nebraska to Ohio were greatly benefiting fields.

* The agency, in a separate weekly report issued on Tuesday, rated 64% of the corn crop as good to excellent as of Sunday, down 3 percentage points from the previous week. Analysts surveyed by Reuters on average had expected a two-point decline.

* Commodity funds were net sellers of CBOT wheat and soyoil futures contracts on Wednesday, and net buyers of corn, soybeans and soymeal futures, traders said. COMFUND/CBT

MARKET NEWS

* Wall Street ticked upward while oil continued to slide on Wednesday as investors juggled concerns over inflation versus a recession after Federal Reserve minutes showed officials rallied around a large rate hike at their June meeting.

DATA/EVENTS (GMT) 0130 Australia Trade Balance G&S

May 0600 UK

Halifax House Prices MM June 0600 Germany

Industrial Output MM

May 0645 France

Reserve Assets Total

June 1230 US

International Trade

May 1230 US

Initial Jobless Clm

Weekly
Reporting by Naveen Thukral; Editing by Rashmi Aich


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๋ฉด์ฑ…์กฐํ•ญ: XM Group ํšŒ์‚ฌ๋Š” ์ฒด๊ฒฐ ์ „์šฉ ์„œ๋น„์Šค์™€ ์˜จ๋ผ์ธ ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜ ํ”Œ๋žซํผ์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ์ ‘๊ทผ์„ ์ œ๊ณตํ•˜์—ฌ, ๊ฐœ์ธ์ด ์›น์‚ฌ์ดํŠธ์—์„œ ๋˜๋Š” ์›น์‚ฌ์ดํŠธ๋ฅผ ํ†ตํ•ด ์ด์šฉ ๊ฐ€๋Šฅํ•œ ์ฝ˜ํ…์ธ ๋ฅผ ๋ณด๊ฑฐ๋‚˜ ์‚ฌ์šฉํ•  ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ๋„๋ก ํ—ˆ์šฉํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์ด์— ๋Œ€ํ•ด ๋ณ€๊ฒฝํ•˜๊ฑฐ๋‚˜ ํ™•์žฅํ•  ์˜๋„๋Š” ์—†์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์ด๋Ÿฌํ•œ ์ ‘๊ทผ ๋ฐ ์‚ฌ์šฉ์—๋Š” ๋‹ค์Œ ์‚ฌํ•ญ์ด ํ•ญ์ƒ ์ ์šฉ๋ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค: (i) ์ด์šฉ ์•ฝ๊ด€, (ii) ์œ„ํ—˜ ๊ฒฝ๊ณ , (iii) ์™„์ „ ๋ฉด์ฑ…์กฐํ•ญ. ๋”ฐ๋ผ์„œ, ์ด๋Ÿฌํ•œ ์ฝ˜ํ…์ธ ๋Š” ์ผ๋ฐ˜์ ์ธ ์ •๋ณด์— ๋ถˆ๊ณผํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ํŠนํžˆ, ์˜จ๋ผ์ธ ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜ ํ”Œ๋žซํผ์˜ ์ฝ˜ํ…์ธ ๋Š” ๊ธˆ์œต ์‹œ์žฅ์—์„œ์˜ ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ๊ถŒ์œ ๋‚˜ ์ œ์•ˆ์ด ์•„๋‹™๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๊ธˆ์œต ์‹œ์žฅ์—์„œ์˜ ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜๋Š” ์ž๋ณธ์— ์ƒ๋‹นํ•œ ์œ„ํ—˜์„ ์ˆ˜๋ฐ˜ํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

์˜จ๋ผ์ธ ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜ ํ”Œ๋žซํผ์— ๊ณต๊ฐœ๋œ ๋ชจ๋“  ์ž๋ฃŒ๋Š” ๊ต์œก/์ •๋ณด ๋ชฉ์ ์œผ๋กœ๋งŒ ์ œ๊ณต๋˜๋ฉฐ, ๊ธˆ์œต, ํˆฌ์ž์„ธ ๋˜๋Š” ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜ ์กฐ์–ธ ๋ฐ ๊ถŒ๊ณ , ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ๊ธฐ๋ก, ๊ธˆ์œต ์ƒํ’ˆ ๋˜๋Š” ์›์น˜ ์•Š๋Š” ๊ธˆ์œต ํ”„๋กœ๋ชจ์…˜์˜ ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜ ์ œ์•ˆ ๋˜๋Š” ๊ถŒ์œ ๋ฅผ ํฌํ•จํ•˜์ง€ ์•Š์œผ๋ฉฐ, ํฌํ•จํ•ด์„œ๋„ ์•ˆ๋ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

์ด ์›น์‚ฌ์ดํŠธ์— ํฌํ•จ๋œ ๋ชจ๋“  ์˜๊ฒฌ, ๋‰ด์Šค, ๋ฆฌ์„œ์น˜, ๋ถ„์„, ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ, ๊ธฐํƒ€ ์ •๋ณด ๋˜๋Š” ์ œ3์ž ์‚ฌ์ดํŠธ์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ๋งํฌ์™€ ๊ฐ™์ด XM์ด ์ค€๋น„ํ•˜๋Š” ์ฝ˜ํ…์ธ  ๋ฟ๋งŒ ์•„๋‹ˆ๋ผ, ์ œ3์ž ์ฝ˜ํ…์ธ ๋Š” ์ผ๋ฐ˜ ์‹œ์žฅ ๋…ผํ‰์œผ๋กœ์„œ "ํ˜„์žฌ" ๊ธฐ์ค€์œผ๋กœ ์ œ๊ณต๋˜๋ฉฐ, ํˆฌ์ž ์กฐ์–ธ์œผ๋กœ ์—ฌ๊ฒจ์ง€์ง€ ์•Š์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋ชจ๋“  ์ฝ˜ํ…์ธ ๊ฐ€ ํˆฌ์ž ๋ฆฌ์„œ์น˜๋กœ ํ•ด์„๋˜๋Š” ๊ฒฝ์šฐ, ํˆฌ์ž ๋ฆฌ์„œ์น˜์˜ ๋…๋ฆฝ์„ฑ์„ ์ด‰์ง„ํ•˜๊ธฐ ์œ„ํ•ด ๊ณ ์•ˆ๋œ ๋ฒ•์  ์š”๊ฑด์— ๋”ฐ๋ผ ์ฝ˜ํ…์ธ ๊ฐ€ ์˜๋„๋˜์ง€ ์•Š์•˜์œผ๋ฉฐ, ์ค€๋น„๋˜์ง€ ์•Š์•˜๋‹ค๋Š” ์ ์„ ์ธ์ง€ํ•˜๊ณ  ๋™์˜ํ•ด์•ผ ํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋”ฐ๋ผ์„œ, ๊ด€๋ จ ๋ฒ•๋ฅ  ๋ฐ ๊ทœ์ •์— ๋”ฐ๋ฅธ ๋งˆ์ผ€ํŒ… ์ปค๋ฎค๋‹ˆ์ผ€์ด์…˜์ด๋ผ๊ณ  ๊ฐ„์ฃผ๋ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์—ฌ๊ธฐ์—์„œ ์ ‘๊ทผํ•  ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ๋Š” ์•ž์„œ ์–ธ๊ธ‰ํ•œ ์ •๋ณด์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ๋น„๋…๋ฆฝ ํˆฌ์ž ๋ฆฌ์„œ์น˜ ๋ฐ ์œ„ํ—˜ ๊ฒฝ๊ณ  ์•Œ๋ฆผ์„ ์ฝ๊ณ , ์ดํ•ดํ•˜์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

์šฐ๋ฆฌ๋Š” ์›น์‚ฌ์ดํŠธ์—์„œ ์ตœ๊ณ ์˜ ๊ฒฝํ—˜์„ ์ „ํ•ด๋“œ๋ฆฌ๊ธฐ ์œ„ํ•ด ์ฟ ํ‚ค๋ฅผ ์‚ฌ์šฉํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์ž์„ธํžˆ ์ฝ๊ฑฐ๋‚˜ ์ฟ ํ‚ค ์„ค์ •์„ ๋ณ€๊ฒฝํ•˜์„ธ์š”.

๋ฆฌ์Šคํฌ ๊ฒฝ๊ณ : ๊ณ ๊ฐ๋‹˜์˜ ์ž๋ณธ์ด ์œ„ํ—˜์— ๋…ธ์ถœ ๋  ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋ ˆ๋ฒ„๋ฆฌ์ง€ ์ƒํ’ˆ์€ ๋ชจ๋“  ๋ถ„๋“ค์—๊ฒŒ ์ ํ•ฉํ•˜์ง€ ์•Š์„์ˆ˜ ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋‹น์‚ฌ์˜ ๋ฆฌ์Šคํฌ ๊ณต์‹œ๋ฅผ ์ฐธ๊ณ ํ•˜์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.