Yen, pound hit strongest in three months on Powell remarks on Fed slowing



By Alun John

LONDON, Dec 1 (Reuters) - The dollar weakened to three month-lows against the yen and the pound on Thursday, after comments by Fed Chair Jerome Powell that U.S. rate hikes could be scaled back "as soon as December", but the euro failed to climb past a major resistance level.

The aggressive pace of U.S. Federal Reserve rate increases this year has sent the dollar soaring, thanks to higher U.S. benchmark yields and fears the central bank would push the U.S. economy into recession in its attempts to combat inflation.

But Powell said on Wednesday that "slowing down at this point is a good way to balance the risks".

He added, however, that controlling inflation "will require holding policy at a restrictive level for some time".

Markets are pricing in a 80% probability that the Fed increases rates by 50 basis points at the next meeting, versus a 20% chance of another 75 basis point hike according to CME's Fedwatch tool.

The greenback tumbled as much as 1.64% to 135.85 yen JPY=EBS , its lowest level since August 23, but then recovered to 136.26.

The dollar-yen pair is extremely sensitive to changes in long-term U.S. Treasury yields US10YT=RR , which fell after Powell's comments and hit a two month low of 3.587% in London trading Thursday.

The pound GBP=D3 also gained sharply, rising 0.88% to $1.2164, its highest since 12 August, hovering around its 200 day moving average.

Traders are also looking out for Thursday's U.S. personal consumption expenditure price index to see if that offers any further insights into the inflation situation and hence the Fed's hiking plans, and also Friday's U.S. jobs data.

But both could be overshadowed by Powell's remarks.

Simon Harvey, head of FX analysis at Monex Europe said he thought markets would largely look through PCE data and even when it came to Friday's jobs data "if they weaken substantially then the market moves, if they stay the same, we're onto thinking about CPI".

The euro EUR=EBS also made some gains, up 0.38% to $1.04485, but was holding off from making another effort to cross the $1.05 level.

"Euro-dollar has had two failed runs at $1.05. We're looking to see if there is something that is going to drive things through those barriers," Harvey said, referring both to the euro at that level and sterling-dollar's 200 day moving average of $1.22155

The dollar weakened against most other G10 currencies, falling 0.2% against the Swiss franc CHF=EBS while the Australian dollar AUD=D3 reached $0.684, the highest since Sept. 13 and the New Zealand dollar NZD=D3 touched $0.636, the highest since Aug. 17.

The Aussie and kiwi have also been buoyed by signs the Chinese government will relent on its zero-COVID policy.

Giant cities Guangzhou and Chongqing announced easings of COVID curbs on Wednesday, while officials in Zhengzhou, the site of a Foxconn factory that is the world's biggest maker of Apple iPhones and has been the scene of worker unrest over COVID, also announced the "orderly" resumption of businesses.

China's yuan CNH=D3 saw some volatility in offshore trading after media reports that the capital Beijing would allow some people to home-quarantine. The dollar was last 0.3% stronger at 7.068 yuan after having weakened as much as 0.3% to a two-week low of 7.0256.



World FX rates Link



Reporting by Kevin Buckland; Editing by Stephen Coates, Ana
Nicolaci da Costa, William Mallard, Alex Richardson and
Alexander Smith

면책조항: XM Group 회사는 체결 전용 서비스와 온라인 거래 플랫폼에 대한 접근을 제공하여, 개인이 웹사이트에서 또는 웹사이트를 통해 이용 가능한 콘텐츠를 보거나 사용할 수 있도록 허용합니다. 이에 대해 변경하거나 확장할 의도는 없습니다. 이러한 접근 및 사용에는 다음 사항이 항상 적용됩니다: (i) 이용 약관, (ii) 위험 경고, (iii) 완전 면책조항. 따라서, 이러한 콘텐츠는 일반적인 정보에 불과합니다. 특히, 온라인 거래 플랫폼의 콘텐츠는 금융 시장에서의 거래에 대한 권유나 제안이 아닙니다. 금융 시장에서의 거래는 자본에 상당한 위험을 수반합니다.

온라인 거래 플랫폼에 공개된 모든 자료는 교육/정보 목적으로만 제공되며, 금융, 투자세 또는 거래 조언 및 권고, 거래 가격 기록, 금융 상품 또는 원치 않는 금융 프로모션의 거래 제안 또는 권유를 포함하지 않으며, 포함해서도 안됩니다.

이 웹사이트에 포함된 모든 의견, 뉴스, 리서치, 분석, 가격, 기타 정보 또는 제3자 사이트에 대한 링크와 같이 XM이 준비하는 콘텐츠 뿐만 아니라, 제3자 콘텐츠는 일반 시장 논평으로서 "현재" 기준으로 제공되며, 투자 조언으로 여겨지지 않습니다. 모든 콘텐츠가 투자 리서치로 해석되는 경우, 투자 리서치의 독립성을 촉진하기 위해 고안된 법적 요건에 따라 콘텐츠가 의도되지 않았으며, 준비되지 않았다는 점을 인지하고 동의해야 합니다. 따라서, 관련 법률 및 규정에 따른 마케팅 커뮤니케이션이라고 간주됩니다. 여기에서 접근할 수 있는 앞서 언급한 정보에 대한 비독립 투자 리서치 및 위험 경고 알림을 읽고, 이해하시기 바랍니다.

우리는 웹사이트에서 최고의 경험을 전해드리기 위해 쿠키를 사용하고 있습니다. 자세히 읽거나 쿠키 설정을 변경하세요.

리스크 경고: 고객님의 자본이 위험에 노출 될 수 있습니다. 레버리지 상품은 모든 분들에게 적합하지 않을수 있습니다. 당사의 리스크 공시를 참고하시기 바랍니다.