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Stocks at a precarious position ahead of key US data – Stock Markets

Equity indices enjoyed a decent third quarter, led by Chinese stocksS&P 500 completed five consecutive positive monthsQ3 earnings announcements to gradually take centre stageUS equity indices look vulnerable at this stage Stocks fared decently in Q3, outlook is challenging The third quarter (Q3) of 2024 was a plentiful one, with the key central banks finally embarking on their monetary policy easing journey.
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S&P 500 hits another record on Fed put but tech stocks look shaky – Stock Markets

S&P 500 and Dow Jones close at new peaks but Nasdaq stuttersFed rate cut boosts risk appetite, China stimulus further lifts sentimentBut tech stocks are mixed as AI rally cools, earnings doubts creep inThe bulls return from summer hiatusAfter a prolonged period of unusual calm in the markets, volatility was back with a vengeance during the summer and autumn got off to an equally bumpy start.
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Market Comment – US slowdown fears grip markets ahead of NFP

Tech stocks lead selloff in equities amid recession fears, disappointing earnings Yen extends gains as safe havens rally but dollar mixed Will today’s nonfarm payrolls report calm markets or add to jitters? Carnage returns to equity markets The mid-week bounce on Wall Street didn’t last long as rate-cut optimism turned to gloom following soft economic data out of the US on Thursday.
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Amazon stock experienced a pullback from its all-time high But the price found strong support ahead of Q2 earnings Momentum indicators are heavily tilted to the downside Amazon’s stock has been in a steady uptrend since late 2023, storming to a fresh record peak of 201.00 on July 8. Although the price corrected lower, falling victim of a broader tech selloff, it seems to have paused its retreat and recouped some losses ahead of its Q2 earnings announcement on Thursday.
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Market Comment – Markets in waiting mode ahead of earnings releases and risk events

Key earnings releases and numerous central bank meetings coming up US stocks in waiting mode, dollar recovering across the board Key euro area data today but all eyes are on Wednesday's BoJ meeting Gold, oil and bitcoin move in parallel Stocks are mixed ahead of this week’s key events US stock indices were mixed yesterday as the market is preparing for this week’s big events.
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Can Amazon’s earnings pause the stock retreat? – Stock Markets

Amazon unveils earnings on Thursday August 1 after the market close Impressive earnings growth expected, fueled by advertising and AWS Valuation at historically low levels amid stock’s short-term pullback Strong start to the year Amazon has been having a relatively strong year amid an overall tech outperformance. Firstly, the firm’s e-commerce business has been more than resilient as the US economy appears to be headed for a soft landing.
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Market Comment – Technical outage triggers risk aversion, Biden steps down

Markets in risk-off mode after outage Biden withdraws from Presidential race Gold and oil feel the heat of strong dollar Dollar rallies on haven flows The US dollar traded higher against most of its major peers on Friday, although its advance was paused today. With Fed fund futures indicating very little change in market expectations about the Fed’s future course of action, the dollar’s rally seems to have not been driven by developments linked to the Fed’s plans.
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Week Ahead – Flash PMIs, US GDP and BoC decision on tap

US data awaited amid overly dovish Fed rate cut bets July PMIs to reveal how economies entered H2 BoC decides on monetary policy, may cut rates again Will investors add to their Fed rate cut bets? With investors ramping up their Fed rate cut bets, the US dollar suffered during the first half of the week, although it recovered some ground on Thursday.
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Market Comment – Dollar enjoys a bid; stocks concerned about a hawkish Fed

Fed meeting in the spotlight; equities under pressure Dollar strength continues, could intensify if Fed appears hawkish Questionable yen intervention result; more action over the next sessions? Bitcoin fights for $60k level; oil in retreat despite Middle East headlines May starts on a high note The Fed meeting concludes today with the decision announced at 18:00 GMT and the press conference taking place 30 minutes later.
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Amazon earnings set for AI-driven cloud and ads boost – Stock Markets

Amazon.com will unveil its Q1 results on Tuesday after the market close AI will be front and centre, both for actual results and for future plans But will investors be impressed amid a pullback in the stock? Q4 set the bar high Amazon’s share price skyrocketed after it announced its Q4 earnings back in February, pulling the broader uptrend a leg higher.
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Are there more AI growth opportunities to be priced into the markets?

Nvidia skyrockets and drives the S&P 500 to new records Demand for chips continues to surge, AI enters consumers’ life There maybe more AI growth opportunities to be priced in But downside risks on high valuations and geopolitics do exist Nvidia beats already optimistic estimates Just last week, the investor favorite Nvidia beat out Amazon and Alphabet to take the third place as the most valuable company in the US by market capitalization, and although the chipmaker’s
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Magnificent 7 earnings assert dominance, focus shifts to Nvidia – Stock Markets

Magnificent 7 earnings endorse their relentless rally Tesla lags, while Apple shows some signs of weakness Valuations are stretched despite rosy projections   In their own world The so-called Magnificent Seven group comprised of Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, Nvidia, Meta Platforms and Tesla has gone parabolic since early 2023, outperforming the broader US stock market by a wide margin.
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Is the 5,000 milestone in sight for the S&P 500? – Stock Markets

Mega-cap stocks drive S&P 500 towards 5,000 milestone AI and tech dominate the bull charge to unchartered territory But how sustainable is the uptrend? A wobbly start to 2024 It wasn’t the best start for Wall Street in 2024 as the major indices stumbled during the first week of the new year. However, it didn’t take long for Fed rate cut expectations to take off again and revive risk appetite.
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Market Comment – Powell pushes back on March rate cut, BoE on tap

Fed’s Powell says March rate cut not the “base case” Dollar gains, but Treasury yields slide BoE to stand pat, focus to fall on guidance Wall Street tumbles, awaits more earnings results Dollar gains on less-dovish-than-expected Fed The US dollar gained against all but two of its major counterparts yesterday, losing ground only against the yen and ending the day virtually unchanged against the franc.
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Technical Analysis – Amazon stock rallies to 21-month high

Amazon stock continues bullish structure Technical oscillators enter overbought regions Amazon shares recorded a stunning rally in Monday’s session, creating a new 21-month peak of 161.16. The stock has posted gains of more than 12% since the beginning of the year and the technical oscillators suggest that the market could rise even higher.
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Market Comment – Stocks, dollar steady after goldilocks data as Fed awaited

Stocks perky ahead of Fed decision as US data and China measures lift optimism Dollar and yields little changed after goldilocks reports, NFP eyed next Oil and gold spike on geopolitical concerns amid fresh ME tensions Markets await direction from the Fed Stocks were mixed on Monday amid a cautiously risk-on tone ahead of a very busy week for the markets that’s expected to get heated up mid-week by the Fed’s policy decision, culminating with the latest payrolls report on Fri
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Amazon earnings set to soar, can the stock follow? – Stock Markets

Amazon will release earnings on Thursday, after the closing bell Impressive earnings growth expected, driven by advertising and cloud That said, valuation is not cheap, which could limit upside in stock price     Bringing costs under control Amazon’s share price rose by a stunning 81% last year, as the market regained confidence in the company’s ability to deliver profits.
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Market Comment – Dollar climbs above 150 yen as Treasury yields rebound

Treasury yields rebound, lift the dollar ahead of US GDP data Dollar/yen rises past 150, rings intervention alarm bells ECB to take the sidelines, focus to fall on forward guidance Wall Street tumbles as Alphabet disappoints Will US GDP data add more fuel to the dollar’s engines? The US dollar extended its gains as US Treasury yields rebounded, with the 10-year benchmark rate resuming a move towards the psychological zone of 5.0%, briefly breached on Monday.
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Technical Analysis – Amazon stock undecided ahead of Q3 earnings

Amazon stock experienced a downside correction from 2023 high Has been trading without clear direction since then Momentum indicators suggest a cautiously positive bias Amazon’s stock had been in a steady uptrend since the beginning of the year, attempting to erase part of its huge 2022 decline. However, in mid-September the stock pulled back from its 2023 peak, with the price trading sideways below the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) for the first time since early March.
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Amazon stock awaits earnings results for direction – Stock Markets

Amazon is forecast to announce another round of strong results But valuations suggest it remains expensive compared to its peers Results are scheduled for Thursday, after Wall Street’s closing bell Another round of stellar results? Starting as an online bookstore, Amazon is now one of the world’s largest and most diversified firms, with its current businesses including selling all kinds of goods, streaming services, cloud computing and even health care.
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