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Is the US stock market headed for new lows?

Stock markets have taken heavy damage this year, suffering at the hands of rapidly rising interest rates. Valuations have compressed but are still not cheap enough to lure in bargain hunters, and there is a clear risk that earnings estimates are revised lower as the data pulse slows, especially in Europe and China.

The US 500 stock index (cash) has been losing ground in the short term after its latest upside move came to a halt at the 4,155 level.

Daily Market Comment – Dollar stands tall ahead of upcoming Fed decision, equities resume slide

Dollar stays strong as bets of 100bps Fed hike remain on table US retail sales rebound, initial jobless claims fall Equities resume drop on hike bets and rising recession fears Oil slides on agreement to avert a rail strike Investors maintain bets of a 100bps Fed hike The US dollar stood tall against most of the other major currencies on Thursday and during the Asian session Friday, with traders maintaining their bets with regards to an even more aggressive Fed elevated.

Daily Market Comment – Yen defies intervention warnings, gold loses its shine

Threats of FX intervention don’t do much to boost the yen Currency pairs trapped in narrow ranges, stocks lick wounds Gold under heavy pressure, US retail sales coming up next Yen dismisses intervention The battle for the yen continues to rage in the FX arena, with Japanese officials using every trick at their disposal to stabilize the devastated currency.

Daily Market Comment – US inflation surprise pummels stocks, boosts dollar

US inflation comes in hot, fueling bets of a more forceful Fed  Stock markets tank, dollar fires up as terminal rates increase  Yen finds some support after Japan threatens FX intervention Inflation shock Hopes that the Federal Reserve is about to ease off the brakes got crushed yesterday under the boot of another shockingly hot US inflation report, sending shockwaves across global markets.

Daily Market Comment – Financial world locks gaze on US employment data

Dollar hits 20-year high ahead of the NFPs Strong report could justify aggressive Fed hikes Yen, euro lose the most; loonie takes the first place Dollar climbs higher as data support forceful Fed The US dollar continued flexing its muscles against all but one of the other major currencies on Thursday and during the Asian trading session Friday, with the dollar index hitting a 20-year high.

Daily Market Comment – Euro takes another shot at parity, stocks stabilize

Euro inches higher, short squeeze brewing as ECB rolls out big guns Wall Street futures trade higher, but outlook remains challenging German inflation and US consumer confidence data coming up Euro squeeze?  The week started off with a bang as the aftershocks of the Fed’s ‘whatever it takes’ message reverberated across the FX arena.

Technical Analysis – US 500 plummets but 50-day SMA caps further decline

The US 500 stock index (cash) has experienced a massive drop in the previous session, extending the retreat from its recent resistance point.

Daily Market Comment – Fed’s shock tactics sink equities, supercharge the dollar

Fed chief Powell sends a ‘forceful’ message about slaying inflation Stocks and risk-sensitive currencies tank, alongside yen and gold Dollar is the only winner as it hits fresh two-decade highs Shock therapy The Fed chief resorted to shock tactics on Friday, striking a forceful tone about his resolve to win the inflation battle and sending financial markets into a tailspin.

Daily Market Comment – Dollar steady, stocks fire up as Jackson Hole begins

Traders waiting for Powell’s speech - will he right the ship?  Little action in FX complex, but stock markets edge higher Oil takes a hit on Iran news, UK raises energy price cap All about Powell The main event today will be the much-anticipated speech by Fed Chairman Powell at 14:00 GMT before the Jackson Hole symposium.

Daily Market Comment – New stimulus measures from China spread cheer

China ramps up economic stimulus, US confirms student loan relief Dollar retreats despite rising yields, commodity currencies recover Stocks edge higher too, but caution lingers ahead of Jackson Hole China steps up Global markets woke up in a sunny mood on Thursday, taking comfort from signs that China is stepping up its stimulus game.

Daily Market Comment – Euro/dollar slices below parity, stocks worried about Fed

Deepening European energy crisis sends euro/dollar beneath parity  Stronger US dollar helps the move amid bets for more assertive Fed Wall Street keeps sinking, tech leads the retreat as yields climb back  Parity cracks A perfect storm has engulfed euro/dollar, which cracked below the famous parity level to trade at a new two-decade low thanks to a deepening energy crisis in Europe and a US dollar that has been supercharged by bets that the Fed might wrestle back control of financial conditions.

Daily Market Comment – Dollar powers up, stocks slip, China cuts rates

Mighty US dollar flexes its muscles ahead of Jackson Hole  China cuts interest rates to deal with unfolding property crisis Equity markets rediscover gravity, gold loses altitude too Dollar steamroller  The relentless rally in the US dollar is gathering momentum as market participants seek refuge from the troubles in other major currencies and brace for a more forceful tone from a Federal Reserve trying to wrestle back control of financial conditions.

Technical Analysis – US 500 retreats after hitting 200-day SMA

The US 500 stock index (cash) has been in a sustained uptrend after finding its feet at the 1½ -year low of 3,635.

Week Ahead – Will the Fed fire back at Jackson Hole?

With the summer coming to a close, Fed officials will head to Jackson Hole for their annual symposium. Financial conditions have loosened lately despite the forceful rate increases, which is counterproductive for the central bank.

The US 500 stock index (cash) has been in a sustained uptrend after finding its feet at the 1½ -year low of 3,635.

Daily Market Comment – Dollar steadies ahead of US inflation shockwave

Dollar stable ahead of all-important US inflation report  Stocks retreat, led by chipmakers after profit warnings Is China the true gray swan for the global economy?  US inflation test The US dollar faces trial by fire today with the release of the latest CPI report, which will reveal whether inflationary forces have finally started to lose their punch.

Daily Market Comment – Wall Street runs into resistance wall, oil eyes Iran deal

Stock and bond markets tell very different stories about what’s next Euro/dollar continues to chop sideways, gold claws its way higher  Oil in focus as Iran talks reach ‘final text’, deal awaits approval Conflicting narratives Equity and bond markets have been at odds with each other lately, painting conflicting pictures of what lies ahead.

Technical Analysis – US 500 index defends bullish direction; bias cautiously positive

The US 500 stock index (cash) managed to crawl above its 100-day simple moving average (SMA) last week and rise as high as 4,170, adding more credence to the short-term bullish trend.

The US 500 stock index (cash) achieved another milestone by bouncing aggressively towards its 100-day simple moving average (SMA) at 4,111 last week.



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