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US500Cash


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Technical Analysis – US 500 consolidates near 4-month highs

US 500 index trades sideways after posting fresh 4-month peak       Momentum indicators approach their overbought zones Risk of a downside correction is increasing The US 500 stock index (cash) has been staging an impressive rally since it bottomed out in October, piercing through the descending trendline that connects its recent lower highs.
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Earnings season halts corporate profits recession, year-end rally in sight? - Stock Markets

Q3 financial results put an end to the earnings contraction streak Profit margins improve but real revenue suffers US indices look expensive as markets price in the perfect scenario Solid earnings season with some asterisks As the vast majority of US companies have revealed their Q3 financials, it is safe to draw some conclusions about the health of the corporate world.
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Does the Santa Claus rally really exist?

US equities exhibit a strongly positive year-end performance post-Thanksgiving FX pairs do not follow a specific pattern in the examined period Gold and USDJPY rally every time the Thanksgiving holiday falls on November 23 We are nearing the end of another trading year and the newswires are crammed with stories about the famous Santa Claus rally.
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Technical Analysis – US 500 index reclaims 4,500, threatening September highs

US 500 stock index posts fresh 2½ -month high But advance seems to be taking a breather Momentum indicators approach their overbought zones The US 500 stock index (cash) has been staging an aggressive rally since it bottomed out in late October, piercing through the descending trendline that connects its recent lower highs. However, the uptrend appears to be on hold in the last few sessions as the short-term oscillators have approached overbought levels.
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Technical Analysis – US 500 index snaps downtrend

The US 500 index breaks downtrend after amazing rally Short-term bias bullish, but overbought conditions evident The US 500 stock index (cash) enjoyed its fastest daily rally (+2%) in a year on Tuesday, successfully scraping off the aggressive sell-off that started on September 15th to trade around 4,500 again. The latest bullish explosion indicates that the price will continue to rise as it is significantly above the descending trendline from July and its simple moving average
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Market Comment – Yen hits fresh low as focus turns to US CPI data

Yen spikes, but ends Monday as the main loser Dollar traders lock gaze on US inflation data UK jobs report beats estimates, CPIs the pound’s next test Wall Street ends mixed, awaits US CPI figures Dollar/yen nearly touches October 2022 high The US dollar traded mixed against its major counterparts on Monday, losing ground against the pound, the aussie, and the euro, while gaining the most against the yen.
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Market Comment – Yen continues to sink, stock markets power higher

Yen falls to lowest levels in a year as stock markets soar  Dollar mostly ignores Moody’s credit outlook downgrade Gold nurses losses, waiting for tomorrow’s US inflation stats Yen drifts lower It’s been another devastating year for the Japanese yen, which has lost nearly 14% of its value against the US dollar so far, crumbling under the weight of interest rate differentials.
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Market Comment – Fed chief interrupts stock market rally, lifts dollar

Fed chief Powell says ‘won’t hesitate’ to tighten further Dollar extends recovery as US yields rise, pushing equities down Gold gains despite unfavorable setup - central bank purchases? Dollar gets a boost by hawkish Powell Federal Reserve officials have been out in droves this week, highlighting the extraordinary strength of the US economy and stressing that interest rates might need to be raised further to bring inflation back under control.
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Market Comment – Dollar stays strong despite sliding Treasury yields

Dollar extends recovery above 151-yen level But long-dated Treasury yields slip further China’s woes dent sentiment in Asia Oil and gold extend their slides Dollar stands tall even as long-dated yields extend slide The dollar continued gaining ground against most of its major peers on Thursday, breaking back above the 151 level against the yen and adding to the risks of intervention, even as a former BoJ official said he thinks the Bank should end its negative interest rat
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Technical Analysis – Next leg in US 500 cash index could be critical

US 500 cash index trades sideways after recent upleg Strong rebound from late-October lows amidst key market events Mixed momentum indicators complicate the short-term outlook The US 500 cash index is trying to record a green candle today as it trades between the 50- and 100-day simple moving averages (SMAs). It currently stands around 7% higher than the October 27 low with the rally stopping, potentially temporarily, a tad below the previous peak recorded on October 12. Thus, the
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Market Comment – Fed rhetoric further fuels the dollar

Dollar extends recovery on Fed commentary But probability for another hike remains low Wall Street gains as Treasury yields slide Oil prices tumble on China woes and OPEC exports Fed officials keep additional hikes on the table The US dollar continued recovering against all the other major currencies on Tuesday as several Fed officials reminded investors that the door to further hikes remained open.
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Could surprise indices explain market movements?

Surprise indices are an easy way of mapping the current state of an economy Our index confirms that the US economy has been losing steam the past few weeks Could EURUSD moves be explained by our surprise indices? Theory states that the price of financial assets should reflect the underlying economic conditions in the respective region. While this tends to occur from a long-term perspective, a good chunk of the movements occurring in the short-term are dictated by sentiment and the
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Market Comment – Dollar gets crushed after nonfarm payrolls miss

Dollar pummeled after disappointing US employment data  Stock markets rally, but gold fails to capitalize on falling yields Australian interest rate decision and Chinese trade data next Dollar hammered after NFP  A disappointing US employment report inflicted some serious damage on the dollar last week. Nonfarm payrolls clocked in at 150k in October, missing the forecast of 180k, while the unemployment rate ticked higher and wage growth continued to cool off.
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US 500 cash index trades sideways today after strong rally Impressive weekly rebound amidst key market events Momentum indicators cautiously supportive of current upleg The US 500 cash index is trying to record its fifth consecutive green candle and further increase the 5% jump recorded this week. It is now preparing to test the resistance set by the long-term October 13, 2022 ascending trendline.
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Market Comment – Investors lock gaze on US NFP data

Dollar slides as Fed pours more cold water on hike expectations Spotlight turns to US employment report for October Pound receives little boost from BoE’s hawkish hold Wall Street cheers potential interest rate peak, earnings help Dollar on the back foot ahead of NFP report The US dollar traded lower against all the other major currencies on Thursday, weighed down by the Fed’s decision on Wednesday to keep interest rates untouched, while pouring more cold water on expect
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Market Comment – Yen sinks as Fed enters the spotlight

Yen nears October 2022 lows against dollar on BoJ disappointment Will a hawkish Fed trigger a yen intervention episode? Gold, oil retreat as Middle East fears ease Wall Street closes in the green ahead of Fed decision Dollar/yen defies gravity after BoJ decision The dollar traded higher against all the other major currencies on Tuesday, gaining the most ground against the yen.
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Market Comment – Gold stands tall, stocks keep sinking despite solid US data

Upside surprise in US GDP was not enough to boost the dollar Stock markets slide in the aftermath, euro little changed after ECB Gold advances, drawing fuel from yields and geopolitical escalation Dollar unable to gain on solid data Another stormy week for global markets comes to an end as investors continue to grapple with a range of risk factors, from a lukewarm earnings season to the heightened volatility in bond markets to the unfolding geopolitical crisis.  On the bright
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Market Comment – Better-than-expected US PMIs help the dollar rebound

PMIs suggest the US economy entered Q4 on solid footing The divergence between US/Eurozone outlooks weighs on euro/dollar Aussie rallies on stickier inflation, yen pinned near 150-per-dollar mark Wall Street pays attention to corporate earnings Euro/dollar slides from near key resistance on PMI data Although the 10-year US Treasury yield held steady comfortably below the psychological zone of 5%, the US dollar was able to stage a comeback against most of its major counterpar
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Market Comment – Dollar retreats, stocks stabilize as yields fall back

Dollar follows US yields lower after rejection from 5% region But gold and yen cannot take advantage of this correction Euro rebound cut short by disappointing business surveys Retreat in yields slams dollar Global markets breathed a sigh of relief yesterday, as the furious rally in US yields finally lost some steam. The yield on the 10-year Treasury briefly topped the 5.0% region - sending shivers down the spine of riskier assets such as equities - but got rejected and eventually
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The US 500 index follows a short-term negative path Approaches key support area. Will the bulls take control?   The US 500 stock index (cash) is probably set for another bearish round on Thursday as the technical signals remain gloomy. The RSI has fallen back below 50 and the stochastic oscillator is not yet at its oversold level of 20, indicating that sellers still have momentum.
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