Stocks, dollar gain on resilient U.S. economy



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Adds fresh prices, comment, dateline

U.S. economic growth beats expectations

Wall Street climbs on soft landing hopes

Oil prices firm on China demand optimism

By Herbert Lash and Huw Jones

NEW YORK/LONDON, Jan 26 (Reuters) -A gauge of global stock performance rose and the dollar strengthened on Thursday after a slew of data showed a strong U.S. economy that is decelerating with slowing inflation, suggesting the Federal Reserve can engineer a soft landing.

Gross domestic product increased at a 2.9%annualized rate in the fourth quarter of 2022 as consumers boosted spending on goods, the Commerce Department said. But momentum rapidly slowed toward the year's end, as rising interest rates eroded demand.

Growth in personal consumption expenditures slowed to 2.1% on an annualised basis from 2.3% in the prior quarter and the GDP price index, another inflation measure, decelerated to 3.5%.

MSCI's all-country world index, a gauge of stocks in 47 countries, .MIWD00000PUS was up 0.18% after paring gains after hitting a fresh five-month high. The dollar index =USD rose 0.512%.

The largely better-than-expected data can help the weakening dollar find a near-term floor, said Joe Manimbo, senior market analyst at Convera in Washington.

"On balance, the data being better than expected suggests there's more resilience in the economy than many have given it credit," he said. "The fact that inflation figures in the Q4 data moderated suggests it's a goldilocks scenario."

Treasury yields rose as a resilient economy strengthened the case for the Fed to maintain its hawkish stance in coming months as it seeks to cool inflation with interest rates that officials have projected would stay above 5% into next year.

The yield on 10-year Treasury notes US10YT=RR was up 3.8 basis points to 3.500% and the gap between yields on three-month Treasury bills and 10-year notes US3MUS10Y=TWEB, seen as a recession harbinger, narrowed to -117.6 basis points.

"The net of all the releases, you have an economy that is decelerating, it's not falling off a cliff," said Steven Ricchiuto, U.S. chief economist at Mizuho Securities USA LLC in New York.

"It's not falling quickly enough from an above-trend growth rate over the last three quarters to create any slack in the labor market," he said.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average .DJI fell 0.18%, the S&P 500 .SPX gained 0.11% and the Nasdaq Composite .IXIC added 0.48%. In Europe, the broad STOXX 600 index .STOXX rose 0.50%.

"What the market is really looking for is what the Fed will say next week in terms of how many hikes they have in mind," said Laureline Renaud-Chatelain, fixed-income strategist at Pictet Wealth Management, who expects a 25 basis point hike at next week's Fed meeting.

Markets are expecting rate cuts later this year and while there is momentum in stocks, the unfolding fourth-quarter results season is disappointing in parts, leading to corrections in earnings expectations, Renaud-Chatelain said.


Overnight in Asia, equities rose to a seven-month high, with Hong Kong shares playing catch-up to other markets' gains as trade resumed after a three-day Lunar New Year holiday.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS climbed 1.1% and was set for its fifth-straight day of gains.

Oil prices rose more than 1% on Thursday on expectations demand will strengthen as top oil importer China reopens its economy and on positive U.S. economic data.

U.S. crude CLc1 recently rose 1.22% to $81.13 per barrel and Brent LCOc1 was at $87.15, up 1.2% on the day.

Gold edged down after the strong U.S. data. Indications of a likely slowdown limited losses in the safe-haven asset.

Spot gold XAU= dropped 1.1% to $1,925.56 an ounce.


World FX rates YTDhttp://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

Global asset performancehttp://tmsnrt.rs/2yaDPgn

Asian stock marketshttps://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4

ECB expected to hike againhttps://tmsnrt.rs/3Y1vp6r


Reporting by Herbert Lash, additional reporting by Huw Jones in London, Ankur Banerjee; editing by Kim Coghill, Nick Macfie, Elaine Hardcastle and Sharon Singleton

To read Reuters Markets and Finance news, click on https://www.reuters.com/finance/markets For the state of play of Asian stock markets please click on: 0#.INDEXA
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