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UK100Cash


XM Analysis

Could the post-UK elections market moves resemble 1997 and 2010?

Thursday's UK elections expected to bring political change Similar developments in both 1997 and 2010 weighed on the pound History points to a significant easing in pound volatility across the board Recent FTSE 100 performance matches the 2015 pre-election moves General election in sight The UK general election will be held this Thursday, July 4, the day that the US will be celebrating its 248th anniversary from the adoption of the Declaration of Independence.
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Technical Analysis – UK 100 index experiences pre-election decline

UK 100 index erases June’s recovery attempt as the UK election looms A break below 8,055 could worsen short-term outlook   The UK 100 stock index (cash) continues to suffer for the sixth consecutive trading day, extending its downleg aggressively to the critical support zone of 8,110 on Tuesday ahead of the election day on July 4. The index could not mark a new higher high above the key resistance area of 8,300 and the important resistance line from February 2022, increasing fears
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Market Comment – Dollar rallies as market angst spreads

Higher Treasury yields contribute to stock indices’ retreat Euro under pressure as the pound benefits from the election Gold fails to benefit from risk-off; oil drops ahead of OPEC meeting Dollar is on the front foot The US dollar is gaining against its main counterparts with the euro/dollar pair dropping to a 2-week low. The catalyst for this move appears to be the bond market as the 10-year US Treasury yield is hovering above 4.6% for the first time since early May.
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Equities rally as US data softens – Stock Markets

US stock indices reach new highs as chances of a Fed rate cut jump Extra focus on US retailers’ earnings Utility stocks record the strongest monthly rally since 2022 Could US car manufacturers benefit from the new EV tariffs? Equity markets continue their advance boosted by the softer US data. In particular, Wednesday’s weaker US inflation report is keeping the door firmly open to a Fed rate cut during the summer, supporting the current risk appetite, despite the fact that
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Technical Analysis – UK 100 index swings to all-time high

UK 100 hits record high after the BoE rate decision; up 8% year-to-date Next target at 8,500, but fears of an overbought market might delay rally The UK 100 stock index (cash) has been performing incredibly well over the past four months, staging another exponential rally this week to unlock an all-time high of 8,393 on Thursday. The index has surpassed a couple of targets, including the 2023 top of 8,045 that temporarily ceased bullish actions on April 12. The spotlight is now on t
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Stock market outlook 2024: Soft landings, rate cuts, and elections

Stellar year for US stock markets, fueled by ‘soft landing’ hopes Can the rally persist in 2024, despite high valuations and election uncertainty?  European valuations are much cheaper, partly reflecting recession concerns   US stocks race higher, but tougher environment ahead It’s been a sensational year for US equity markets.
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The UK 100 cash index is finally recording a green candle today after seven consecutive red candles that pushed it towards the 7,200 region. It tested the March 20, 2023 low at 7,205 for the second time, but the bears proved powerless to record a new 2023 low, opening the door to the current rebound. Despite the Average Directional Movement Index (ADX) trading a tad below the early-June high and signaling a strong bearish trend in the market, the remaining momentum indicators are starting to re

Technical Analysis – UK 100 cash index sell-off halts near March 2023 lows

The UK 100 cash index is trading sideways today following an aggressive sell-off since the July 3 local peak. The index has actually been experiencing a series of lower highs and lower lows since April 21, 2023, religiously obeying a downward sloping trendline. It is now hovering a tad above the March 20, 2023 low, potentially the first major stock index to revisit these lows.
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Why is FTSE 100 left out of the stock market party? – Stock Market News

Undoubtedly, major global stock indices have exhibited remarkable performance since the beginning of the year, with tech companies being the main driving force behind this rally. However, the FTSE 100 index, which was the sole survivor of the 2022 global selloff, has been massively underperforming for a wide range of reasons. Are UK stocks extremely cheap at the current levels or is there limited growth potential in the economy?
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The UK 100 cash index has tentatively returned inside its 7,601-7,687 rectangle that acted as strong resistance during the January-December 2022 period. The index has been trading mostly sideways over the past few sessions despite the fact other developed stock market indices have been recording higher highs for 2023. Despite the considerable white space, a tentative symmetrical triangle is gradually forming.
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Technical Analysis – UK 100 cash index back inside key range

The UK 100 cash index has been trading sideways over the past few trading sessions, as it has returned inside the 7,599-7,689 range that acted as strong resistance during the January-December 2022 period. This area was eventually broken forcefully in January 2023, but it has now come into play again. In addition, a series of lower highs and higher lows is supporting the current index move.
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The UK 100 stock index (cash) returned to gains after investors interpreted the UK's much anticipated tax plan as an effort from the government to restore economic and political stability. The bounce on the 20-period simple moving average (SMA) at 7,350 prompted another bullish correction above the 7,400 resistance territory on Friday, strengthening the short-term bullish bias.

US Open Note – Pound crashes on dovish rate hike; Wall Street eyes bearish open

Pound crashes after BoE policy decision The Bank of England stuck to its March guidance, confirming expectations of a 25bps rate hike to 1.0% on Thursday although three out of nine board members surprisingly voted for a sharper 50bps increase. Its inflation projections for the current year moved up to 10% on the back of higher household energy prices and projected additional rises in October, while its growth estimate is now warning a dip slowdown over the next year as disposable income is fore

US Open Note – King dollar awaits FOMC minutes; stocks in the doldrums

FOMC minutes under the spotlight Inflation jitters are weighing far more heavily on central banks’ thinking now, pressing policymakers to expedite their tightening plans further even if the war in Ukraine threatens to drag the global economy into a recession. The second most important FOMC board member, Lael Brainard, who is considered a dove, dropped her patient tone late on Tuesday, stating that the Fed could begin the balance sheet reduction at a faster pace than previously expected as so

US Open Note – Pound corrects lower after dovish BoE; commodities up again

Dollar weaker after hawkish FOMC The US dollar continued to trade lower against a basket of major currencies for the third consecutive day to reach 98.19 despite the strong hawkish message from the FOMC policy meeting late on Wednesday. The Fed acknowledged the Ukrainian geopolitical risks and slashed its growth projections by almost half to 2.8% for 2022 but raised interest rates by a quarter-percentage as widely expected.

Technical Analysis – UK 100 remains volatile amid an overall bearish outlook

The UK 100 cash index has recouped some of its March losses during the last few trading sessions. However, this month’s violent losses have pushed the index below its 50- and 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs), reinforcing the thesis of an overall bearish outlook. The short-term momentum indicators are painting a negative picture too as the RSI is located below its 50 neutral mark.

US Open Note – Markets hope for peace talks; US stock futures mixed

Risk mode on as Ukraine-Russia start the fourth round of discussions While there is no clarity on what the positive assessments from the latest Russian-Ukraine high-level talks are, markets continued to behave like the fourth-round of talks would result in another positive outcome today even if Russia's attacks expanded closer to the Polish borders, and the war conditions remain largely unchanged.

The UK 100 cash index has witnessed significant volatility over the last trading sessions, crossing below its 50-day simple moving average (SMA) as negative forces have resurfaced. However, the index has marked yet more higher highs and is trading above its February 2021 uptrend line, supporting an overall bullish outlook. The short-term oscillators paint a negative bias for the index as the RSI is currently below its 50 neutral mark.

US Open Note – Hopes for dialogue on Ukraine restore some risk appetite

Hopes for dialogue improve market sentiment After a devastating week, Russian-Ukrainian military clashes showed no signs of de-escalation on Friday, making an invasion of Kyiv inevitable in the coming days. Even though nothing is certain at this point, the fact that Ukraine’s Western allies prefer to play the sanction game with Moscow instead of sending NATO forces, is feeding some hopes that the worst-case scenario of a broader full-scale war could be prevented, especially if Ukraine presiden

Technical Analysis – UK 100 index powers back as bullish forces linger

The UK 100 cash index came back swinging after its January retreat as positive momentum resurfaced. Currently, the index is trading well above its 50- and 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs), and has marked yet more higher lows supporting an overall bullish outlook. Short-term momentum indicators are also reflecting a positive bias as the RSI is hovering above its 50 neutral mark.



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