XM Research

US Open Note – Dollar fizzles despite tapering hints; European stocks at fresh record highs

Delta fears  The rest of the day will be quiet in terms of data releases but there are enough things happening globally to keep investors busy in the next sessions.

US Open Note – Stock indices to claim monthly gains despite jitters; dollar on the backfoot

Stock indices head for a monthly gain The month of July started with the impression that plans of monetary tightening could get more into fashion, adding a solid footing under currencies, while the earnings season could further brighten the outlook for stocks despite the inflaming virus numbers.

US Open Note – Pandemic anxiety spurs risk aversion; Wall street futures in the red

Pandemic uncertainty resurfaces The cocktail of a contagious Covid delta variant and the stabilization in vaccinations revived memories of lockdown restrictions and amplified inflation fears at a time when investors were confident that the summer months could boost economic growth, especially in the hardest-hit tourism sector.

US Open Note – Markets cool down after a messy week despite China's RRR cut

Stocks get on their feet ahead of earnings Markets took a breather at the end of a turbulent week, which suddenly derailed hopes of a swift economic recovery and promoted self-realization that the vaccination program alone may not be enough to re-establish the pre-Covid normality.

The US 30 index (cash) has successfully returned above the dashed long-term restrictive line, but the upper boundary of a short-term bearish channel is currently threatening to keep the index in a downward trajectory at 34,682.

US Open Note – Dollar charts best week of 2021; stocks, commodities under pressure

Dollar keeps FOMC power  The US dollar, the world’s reserve currency, is heading for its best weekly trade in nine months buoyed by the FOMC's hawkish turn, which bolstered the outlook for the US economy and put European currencies and commodities on the back seat.

Daily Market Comment – All eyes on ECB meeting as calmer tones prevail

ECB unlikely to fight the spike in yields today, may boost euro a little Tame US inflation and solid bond auction calm yields, hurt dollar Dow Jones hits new record but tech lags as infrastructure comes into view Too early for ECB to fight rising yields? The main event today will be the European Central Bank policy decision at 12:45 GMT.

Technical Analysis – US 30 stock index halts rally near familiar resistance line

The US 30 index (cash) gave up some ground after unlocking a new record high of 32,072 near the key resistance line, which connects all the peaks from June onwards.

Technical Analysis – US 30 stock index crashes below 100-SMA; enters oversold area

The US 30 index (cash) is set for its largest weekly loss since June after plummeting by almost 3% on Wednesday.

Technical Analysis – US 30 stock index keeps uptrend safe, but doubts rise

The upward pattern in US 30 stock index (cash) lost some shine after the print of a lower high at 26,791 in the four chart, but the positive trend remains valid as long as the market action develops above 24,850.

Daily Market Comment – Markets plummet as second wave fears grip investors

Worries of a second infection wave kill the euphoria in markets S&P 500 loses almost 6%, dollar and yen shine again, commodity currencies crumble But risk sentiment back on the mend Friday, with most moves retracing a little Just a mild correction or start of something bigger? Daily virus numbers might decide that Risk aversion returns with a vengeance Just when it seems that all the bears have capitulated and that stock markets can’t bleed anymore, risk sentiment falls apart and equities record their worst day since March.

Technical Analysis – US 30 index jumps above 200-day SMA; enters key resistance zone

The US 30 stock index (cash) ticked above the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) and is ready to test the 26,580-27,000 resistance zone.

Have stocks ‘gotten over’ the virus?

There’s been a lot of talk for a powerful V-shaped recovery, but that has only happened in the stock market, which is ignoring the rising economic and geopolitical risks and is instead plowing higher, powered by a tsunami of stimulus.

Technical Analysis – US 30 Cash index surpasses flat SMAs; head and shoulders in progress

The US 30 Cash index appears to be forming a head and shoulders pattern in the 4-hour timeframe in a possible signal for a negative trend reversal.

Technical Analysis – US 30 stock index may have more bullish fuel in store

The US 30 stock index (cash) closed positive above the Ichimoku cloud on Wednesday, increasing speculation that the short-term uptrend could further strengthen.


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