XM nie świadczy usług obywatelom Stanów Zjednoczonych.
C
C

CADCHF


Wiadomości

FX options wrap - Value potential after post election slump

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Value potential after post election slump Broad based FX option implied volatility was hit hard as risk premiums were priced out as soon as it became clear that Donald Trump would win the U.S. election, with the lower levels now potentially offering decent entry levels. That's certainly the case in EUR/USD, with the three month expiry implied volatility staging a solid bounce from 6.35 to 6.8 on Wednesday and meeting more demand after easing again on Thursday.
A
A
A
C
E
E
E
E
E
G
N
U
U

If history repeated Trump might hurt dollar

BUZZ-COMMENT-If history repeated Trump might hurt dollar Nov 6 (Reuters) - If history repeats itself, a second Donald Trump presidency could hurt the dollar , which fell over the duration of his first term and could so again, and there is a chance that he might talk it down too. Between January 2017 and January 2021 when Trump was President, the trade weighted dollar lost around 6 percent in value.
C
E
G
U
U

FX reaction to BoE and Fed - according to FX options

BUZZ-COMMENT-FX reaction to BoE and Fed - according to FX options Nov 7 (Reuters) - FX volatility is an unknown yet key part of an FX option premium, so dealers use implied volatility as a substitute. Overnight expiry options now include Thursday's UK and U.S. policy decisions, so their implied volatilities can offer clues on the perceived FX volatility reaction.
A
C
E
E
E
G
N
U

FX options wrap - Election risks shift to Trump trades

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Election risks shift to Trump trades The extreme FX volatility risk premiums to cover a protracted U.S. election process were rapidly unwound when Donald Trump took an early lead, with subsequent price action shifting to the potential FX risks ahead . Strong gamma demand leading up to the U.S. election had taken sub 1-month expiry implied volatility to new long term highs, especially in the likes of CNH and MXN .
A
A
A
C
E
E
E
E
E
G
N
U
U

What's at stake for global markets in a Trump presidency

UPDATE 1-EXPLAINER-What's at stake for global markets in a Trump presidency Updates with Trump projected to win Nov 6 (Reuters) - As Donald Trump was projected to win the White House, according to Edison Research, the U.S. dollar and stock market are seen as winners, but a Republican presidency could weigh on bonds, emerging markets, clean energy and sustainable investing.
B
C
E
G
U
U
U
U
B

What's at stake for global markets in a Trump presidency

EXPLAINER-What's at stake for global markets in a Trump presidency Nov 6 (Reuters) - As Donald Trump appears poised to head back to the White House, the U.S. dollar and stock market are seen as winners, but a Republican presidency could weigh on bonds, emerging markets, clean energy and sustainable investing. Here's how: CURRENCIES A Trump presidency is seen strengthening the U.S.
B
C
E
G
U
U
U
U
B

FX traders must consider consequences of a trade war

BUZZ-COMMENT-FX traders must consider consequences of a trade war Nov 6 (Reuters) - FX traders must consider the consequences of a trade war should the likely new U.S. president follow through on his promise to impose tariffs on China and other nations including allies in Europe. While traders have prepared for the inflation that seems logical if tariffs are applied, they should consider the probability that the goods being protected don't sell so well, if at all.
C
E
G
U
G

Options show FX risk shifting from election to presidency

BUZZ-COMMENT-Options show FX risk shifting from election to presidency Nov 6 (Reuters) - Ahead of the U.S. election, forward-looking FX options were bracing for heightened FX volatility, reflected in elevated risk premiums . However, post-election, these premiums have swiftly shifted to focus on the early months of a Donald Trump presidency after the Republican candidate declared victory.
A
C
E
G
N
U
U
U

How FX traders positioned crucial in wake U.S. election

BUZZ-COMMENT-How FX traders positioned crucial in wake U.S. election Nov 6 (Reuters) - In the two months leading up to the U.S. election, traders flipped from a net $17 billion dollar short to an $18 billion wager that the vote would boost the U.S. currency , almost certainly based on the idea that Donald Trump would win as now seems likely. The logical reaction of traders who bet on this outcome is to take their profits, which will support the currencies they have gambled against like the euro,
A
C
E
G
N
U
U
U

'Trump trades' in full swing

LIVE MARKETS-'Trump trades' in full swing Welcome to the home for real-time coverage of markets brought to you by Reuters reporters. You can share your thoughts with us at markets.research@thomsonreuters.com 'TRUMP TRADES' IN FULL SWING A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Wayne Cole. It's been a wild ride in markets with the dollar and Wall Street futures surging while Treasuries took a beating as early results in the presidential election favoured Republican Donald Trump
C
E
U
E
F
U
G

'Trump trades' in full swing

MORNING BID EUROPE-'Trump trades' in full swing A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Wayne Cole. It's been a wild ride in markets with the dollar and Wall Street futures surging while Treasuries took a beating as early results in the presidential election favoured Republican Donald Trump. Several key battleground states were still to be called, but betting sites heavily favoured Trump and the NY Times real-time forecast projected a 91% chance of him winning.
C
E
U
U
U

FX options wrap - Election risk, long gamma, hedge fund flow

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Election risk, long gamma, hedge fund flow Shorter dated expiry FX option implied volatility is reaching extreme levels and underscoring the perceived risk of heightened FX realised volatility driven by the impending U.S. election results. No surprise to hear that "gamma demand" is at the fore, given that options with long gamma typically benefit the most from increased FX volatility.
A
A
A
C
E
E
E
E
E
G
N
U
U
U

South African rand's future looks brighter

BUZZ-COMMENT-South African rand's future looks brighter Nov 5 (Reuters) - The South African rand's future looks brighter, with the currency underpinned by demand for one of very few freely floating and higher-yielding currencies. The rand has recently done better at the expense of Mexico's peso, which has similar traits to the rand and is another of the band of possible FX investments that are in very short supply.
C
U
U
U

Explainer - U.S. election drives FX gamma to extremes

BUZZ-Explainer - U.S. election drives FX gamma to extremes Nov 5 (Reuters) - The term "gamma demand" is circulating heavily in the FX market as the U.S. election approaches — but what exactly does it mean, and why is it significant? Gamma is the rate at which an option's delta changes in response to movements in the underlying asset (the FX spot rate).
A
C
E
E
G
N
U
U
U
U

Dollar longs built on weak foundations may collapse

BUZZ-COMMENT-Dollar longs built on weak foundations may collapse Nov 5 (Reuters) - Dollar longs built on weak foundations may collapse as the focus of traders reverts to the probability that the greenback will be undermined by the lowering of the U.S. interest rate. There has been a headlong rush to buy dollars ahead of Tuesday's U.S. election, with traders rapidly turning from a 17 billion bet against the USD to an almost 18 billion dollar wager that it will rise.
C
E
N
U

FX reaction to U.S. election - according to FX options

BUZZ-COMMENT-FX reaction to U.S. election - according to FX options Nov 5 (Reuters) - Overnight options now expire on Wednesday, Nov. 6 at 10 a.m New York time and therefore include the U.S. election result, with a sharp increase in their premium/break-evens, many reaching new multi-year highs, showing the extent of the perceived FX reaction. FX volatility is an unknown yet key part of an FX option premium, so dealers use implied volatility as a substitute.
A
C
E
E
G
N
U
U
U

U.S. election could see USD/JPY to 140.00 or 160.00

RPT-BUZZ-COMMENT-U.S. election could see USD/JPY to 140.00 or 160.00 Repeats with no changes Nov 4 (Reuters) - The most bullish and bearish outcomes for the U.S. election could see USD/JPY reach 140.00 or 160.00 according to Societe Generale's chief economist. Kit Juckes says the two most equally likely outcomes for the U.S. election are a Republican clean sweep (house and senate) and a Harris win without a clean sweep.
A
C
C
E
E
G
N
U
U

U.S. election could see USD/JPY to 140.00 or 160.00

RPT-BUZZ-COMMENT-U.S. election could see USD/JPY to 140.00 or 160.00 Repeats with no changes Nov 4 (Reuters) - The most bullish and bearish outcomes for the U.S. election could see USD/JPY reach 140.00 or 160.00 according to Societe Generale's chief economist. Kit Juckes says the two most equally likely outcomes for the U.S. election are a Republican clean sweep (house and senate) and a Harris win without a clean sweep.
A
C
C
E
E
G
N
U
U

FX options wrap - U.S. election FX volatility risk warnings

BUZZ-FX options wrap - U.S. election FX volatility risk warnings Implied volatility gauges FX realised volatility risk, so it's no surprise to see it trading extreme highs before the U.S. election on Tuesday. The two candidates are neck and neck, which is adding to the uncertainty that can drive volatility . One-week implied volatility is significantly higher since its option expiry date moved past the U.S.
A
A
A
C
E
E
E
E
E
G
N
U
U
U

U.S. election could see USD/JPY to 140.00 or 160.00

BUZZ-COMMENT-U.S. election could see USD/JPY to 140.00 or 160.00 Nov 4 (Reuters) - The most bullish and bearish outcomes for the U.S. election could see USD/JPY reach 140.00 or 160.00 according to Societe Generale's chief economist. Kit Juckes says the two most equally likely outcomes for the U.S. election are a Republican clean sweep (house and senate) and a Harris win without a clean sweep.
A
C
C
E
E
G
N
U
U



Warunki

Popularne aktywa

Wyłączenie odpowiedzialności: Każdy z podmiotów należących do XM Group świadczy usługę polegającą wyłącznie na realizacji zleceń i dostępie do naszej internetowej platformy transakcyjnej, umożliwiając danej osobie przeglądanie i/lub korzystanie z treści dostępnych na stronie lub za jej pośrednictwem, co nie ma na celu zmiany lub rozszerzenia tego zakresu, ani nie zmienia i nie rozszerza go. Taki dostęp i korzystanie z niego podlegają w każdej chwili: (i) Warunkom umowy, (ii) Ostrzeżeniom o ryzyku i (iii) Pełnemu wyłączeniu odpowiedzialności. Treści te są zatem podawane wyłącznie jako informacje ogólne. W szczególności należy pamiętać, że treści zawarte na naszej internetowej platformie transakcyjnej nie stanowią oferty ani zaproszenia do zawarcia jakichkolwiek transakcji na rynkach finansowych. Transakcje na każdym rynku finansowym wiążą się ze znacznym poziomem ryzyka dla twojego kapitału.

Wszystkie materiały publikowane na naszej internetowej platformie transakcyjnej są przeznaczone wyłącznie do celów edukacyjnych/informacyjnych i nie zawierają – i nie powinny być uważane za zawierające – porad ani rekomendacji dotyczących finansów, inwestycji, podatków lub transakcji, zapisu naszych cen transakcyjnych, ani też oferty lub zaproszenia do transakcji na jakichkolwiek instrumentach lub niezamówionych promocji finansowych.

Wszelkie treści pochodzące od podmiotów trzecich, jak i treści przygotowane przez XM, takie jak opinie, wiadomości, badania, analizy, ceny i inne informacje lub linki do stron podmiotów trzecich zawarte na tej stronie internetowej są udostępniane na zasadzie „tak, jak jest” jako ogólny komentarz rynkowy i nie stanowią porady inwestycyjnej. W zakresie, w jakim jakakolwiek treść jest interpretowana jako badania inwestycyjne, należy zauważyć i zaakceptować, że treść ta nie była przeznaczona i nie została przygotowana zgodnie z wymogami prawnymi mającymi na celu promowanie niezależności badań inwestycyjnych i jako taka byłaby uważana za komunikat marketingowy w świetle odpowiednich przepisów prawnych i regulacji. Upewnij się, że przeczytałeś(-aś) i rozumiesz nasze dokumenty Powiadomienie o zależnych badaniach inwestycyjnych oraz Ostrzeżenie o ryzyku, dotyczące powyższych informacji, do których można uzyskać dostęp tutaj.

Ostrzeżenie o ryzyku: Twój kapitał jest zagrożony. Produkty z zastosowaniem dźwigni mogą nie być odpowiednie dla każdego inwestora. Zapoznaj się z Ujawnieniem ryzyka.