XM does not provide services to residents of the United States of America.

Technical Analysis – CADJPY aims for April’s multi-year high

  • CADJPY surpasses key resistance levels, but enters overbought zone

  • Next resistance at 117.93; support at 115.80-116.00

  • Canadian CPI inflation due for release at 12:30 GMT


CADJPY is in the third consecutive week of gains, having experienced an impressive rally to almost reach the 117.00 round level following the rebound near the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) at 113.20.

The bulls accelerated successfully above April’s closing price of 115.78 last Friday, surpassing the constraining lines from the summer of 2023. The focus is now on the 117.28 top and the ascending line, which connects the 2022 and 2024 highs at 117.93. A move higher could take a rest near the 119.50 barrier taken from October-November 2007, while a steeper increase could halt near the 121.00 round mark, where the 161.8% Fibonacci extension of May’s sharp downfall is located.

Based on the RSI and stochastic oscillator, the market is in an overbought state. Hence, the bulls might have limited room for improvement, though only a step below the 115.80-116.00 region could give the lead to the bears.

If the price tumbles below 115.80, the decline could stretch into the 114.80-115.00 territory, where the 20-day SMA is located. A step lower could then re-challenge the key 50-day SMA and the long-term support trendline at 114.00, a break of which could cause an aggressive downfall towards the 112.93 base.

Despite trading within bullish territory, CADJPY’s recent price surge might encourage some investors to take profits. A break below 115.80 could neutralize the short-term outlook again.

Disclaimer: The XM Group entities provide execution-only service and access to our Online Trading Facility, permitting a person to view and/or use the content available on or via the website, is not intended to change or expand on this, nor does it change or expand on this. Such access and use are always subject to: (i) Terms and Conditions; (ii) Risk Warnings; and (iii) Full Disclaimer. Such content is therefore provided as no more than general information. Particularly, please be aware that the contents of our Online Trading Facility are neither a solicitation, nor an offer to enter any transactions on the financial markets. Trading on any financial market involves a significant level of risk to your capital.

All material published on our Online Trading Facility is intended for educational/informational purposes only, and does not contain – nor should it be considered as containing – financial, investment tax or trading advice and recommendations; or a record of our trading prices; or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instruments; or unsolicited financial promotions to you.

Any third-party content, as well as content prepared by XM, such as: opinions, news, research, analyses, prices and other information or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an “as-is” basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. To the extent that any content is construed as investment research, you must note and accept that the content was not intended to and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such, it would be considered as marketing communication under the relevant laws and regulations. Please ensure that you have read and understood our Notification on Non-Independent Investment. Research and Risk Warning concerning the foregoing information, which can be accessed here.

Risk Warning: Your capital is at risk. Leveraged products may not be suitable for everyone. Please consider our Risk Disclosure.