XM does not provide services to residents of the United States of America.

Technical Analysis – Citigroup tests lower boundary of year-long range



Citigroup is trading very close to the lower boundary of a year-long rectangle. This 42.81-54.30 range survived the October 2022 downside breakout, revealing a precarious balance among market participants. However, the recent developments in the US banking sector appear to have invigorated the stock bears. Citigroup has not recorded a lower low in the current phase, potentially disappointing the bears, but the long-term trend remains bearish.

Despite the momentum indicators plunging in bearish territory, the bears should not feel very confident regarding the short-term price moves. The weakening Average Directional Movement Index (ADX) is indicating a trendless market, and both the RSI and stochastic oscillator are trying to set the scene for a recovery. Particularly the latter is hovering well inside its oversold territory, potentially revealing some bearish exhaustion and completing a bullish divergence. The latter needs confirmation from the price action, for example a move towards the October 2022 upward trendline. Nevertheless, the convergence of the simple moving averages (SMAs) could be an early sign of a sizeable move soon.

Should the bulls manage to retain market control, their first targets should come at the June 24, 2013 and January 16, 2015 lows of 45.04 and 46.65 respectively. If these long-term levels are easily digested by the bulls, the trifecta of the December 26, 2018 low and the 100- and 200-day SMAs could put up a stronger fight.

On the other side, the bears appear to be targeting the lower boundary of the recent rectangle at 42.81. If successful is breaking this boundary, their path appears to be unhindered until the October 30, 2020 low. This level should prove tougher to crack considering the fact that it represents a 2.5-year low.

To sum up, the Citigroup stock bears appear to remain in control, but the bulls could make baby steps towards the 45.00 area assisted by the stochastic oscillator’s current stance.

Disclaimer: The XM Group entities provide execution-only service and access to our Online Trading Facility, permitting a person to view and/or use the content available on or via the website, is not intended to change or expand on this, nor does it change or expand on this. Such access and use are always subject to: (i) Terms and Conditions; (ii) Risk Warnings; and (iii) Full Disclaimer. Such content is therefore provided as no more than general information. Particularly, please be aware that the contents of our Online Trading Facility are neither a solicitation, nor an offer to enter any transactions on the financial markets. Trading on any financial market involves a significant level of risk to your capital.

All material published on our Online Trading Facility is intended for educational/informational purposes only, and does not contain – nor should it be considered as containing – financial, investment tax or trading advice and recommendations; or a record of our trading prices; or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instruments; or unsolicited financial promotions to you.

Any third-party content, as well as content prepared by XM, such as: opinions, news, research, analyses, prices and other information or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an “as-is” basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. To the extent that any content is construed as investment research, you must note and accept that the content was not intended to and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such, it would be considered as marketing communication under the relevant laws and regulations. Please ensure that you have read and understood our Notification on Non-Independent Investment. Research and Risk Warning concerning the foregoing information, which can be accessed here.

Risk Warning: Your capital is at risk. Leveraged products may not be suitable for everyone. Please consider our Risk Disclosure.