XM does not provide services to residents of the United States of America.

Technical Analysis – USDNOK finds the tools to overrun 18-year peak



USDNOK appears to have gained confidence and is currently pushing above the 18-year high of 9.3036. The current up move seems to be maintained by the upward sloping Ichimoku lines and the distancing of the red Tenkan-sen line above the blue Kijun-sen one.

The short-term oscillators also suggest a pickup in positive momentum. The MACD, deep in the positive region, is barely below its red trigger line but looks to return above it, while the rising RSI has reclaimed the 70 level. Additionally, the steep gradient in the 20-day simple moving average (SMA) and its recent bullish crossovers of the 50- and 100-day SMAs is showing an improving picture.

In the event buyers’ efforts triumph and the day closes above the multi-year top of 9.3036, the pair may soar towards the 9.4332 resistance, which is the 123.6% Fibonacci extension of the down wave from 9.3036 to 8.7520. If the climb prevails, and the price surpasses this level, the 138.2% Fibo extension of 9.5155 could be next to draw traders’ focus.

Alternatively, if sellers retake control and steer back below the red Tenkan-sen line, initial obstruction could come from the swing lows of 9.1950 and 9.1724 - an area which also encompasses the rising 20-day SMA. Penetrating lower, the 9.0924 point - where the 100-day SMA and the blue Kijun-sen line overlap - and the nearby inside swing high of 9.0570 could limit further declines. Next, the 50-day SMA at 9.0345 and the Ichimoku cloud around the 9.0000 mark could apply the brakes.

Overall, a dominating bullish picture exists since the beginning of the year, and a close above the 9.3036 level could cement a bullish bias in the short-term.

Disclaimer: The XM Group entities provide execution-only service and access to our Online Trading Facility, permitting a person to view and/or use the content available on or via the website, is not intended to change or expand on this, nor does it change or expand on this. Such access and use are always subject to: (i) Terms and Conditions; (ii) Risk Warnings; and (iii) Full Disclaimer. Such content is therefore provided as no more than general information. Particularly, please be aware that the contents of our Online Trading Facility are neither a solicitation, nor an offer to enter any transactions on the financial markets. Trading on any financial market involves a significant level of risk to your capital.

All material published on our Online Trading Facility is intended for educational/informational purposes only, and does not contain – nor should it be considered as containing – financial, investment tax or trading advice and recommendations; or a record of our trading prices; or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instruments; or unsolicited financial promotions to you.

Any third-party content, as well as content prepared by XM, such as: opinions, news, research, analyses, prices and other information or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an “as-is” basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. To the extent that any content is construed as investment research, you must note and accept that the content was not intended to and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such, it would be considered as marketing communication under the relevant laws and regulations. Please ensure that you have read and understood our Notification on Non-Independent Investment. Research and Risk Warning concerning the foregoing information, which can be accessed here.

Risk Warning: Your capital is at risk. Leveraged products may not be suitable for everyone. Please consider our Risk Disclosure.