Technical Analysis – NZDUSD in quiet trading ahead of US CPI inflation
The pair is currently trying to build a floor around the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) at 0.6274 following the bounce on the 20-day SMA and the lower boundary of the short-term bullish channel on Monday, but the technical oscillators are barely promoting any meaningful rebound at the moment. In particular, the RSI has been diminishing towards its 50 neutral mark, while the MACD has been muted near its zero and signal lines, both mirroring a neutral short-term bias instead.
Perhaps, a close above the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the latest downleg at 0.6317 could provoke the much-needed bullish power. If that proves to be the case, the price could fly towards the channel’s upper limit, which currently coincides with the 61.8% Fibonacci of 0.6410. Not far above, the 78.6% Fibonacci of 0.6464 and the 0.6500 psychological mark could next come into consideration ahead of the 0.6574 high.
On the downside, a decisive step below 0.6256, where the 20-day SMA, the channel’s lower trendline, and the 38.2% Fibonacci are aligned, could initially pause somewhere between 0.6200 and the 23.6% Fibonacci of 0.6180. If that base cracks, the sell-off could exacerbate towards the two-year low of 0.6059.In brief, although NZDUSD is currently declaring a neutral status, upside movements remain possible as long as the 0.6256 area provides a foundation.
Disclaimer: The XM Group entities provide execution-only service and access to our Online Trading Facility, permitting a person to view and/or use the content available on or via the website, is not intended to change or expand on this, nor does it change or expand on this. Such access and use are always subject to: (i) Terms and Conditions; (ii) Risk Warnings; and (iii) Full Disclaimer. Such content is therefore provided as no more than general information. Particularly, please be aware that the contents of our Online Trading Facility are neither a solicitation, nor an offer to enter any transactions on the financial markets. Trading on any financial market involves a significant level of risk to your capital.
All material published on our Online Trading Facility is intended for educational/informational purposes only, and does not contain – nor should it be considered as containing – financial, investment tax or trading advice and recommendations; or a record of our trading prices; or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instruments; or unsolicited financial promotions to you.
Any third-party content, as well as content prepared by XM, such as: opinions, news, research, analyses, prices and other information or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an “as-is” basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. To the extent that any content is construed as investment research, you must note and accept that the content was not intended to and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such, it would be considered as marketing communication under the relevant laws and regulations. Please ensure that you have read and understood our Notification on Non-Independent Investment. Research and Risk Warning concerning the foregoing information, which can be accessed here.