Technical Analysis – US 500 index posts fresh 9-month peak
The US 500 stock index (cash) has been in an uptrend since mid-March, slicing through crucial technical regions such as its 50- and 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs). In addition, the index jumped to a fresh nine-month high of 4,232 in today’s session before paring some gains.
The short-term oscillators are endorsing the latest upside move. Specifically, the MACD jumped above its red signal line in the positive region, while the RSI is flatlining above its 50-neutral mark.
Should the price attempt another advance, the nine-month peak of 4,232, which overlaps with the July 2021 bottom, could act as initial resistance. Conquering this barricade, the bulls might then challenge the October 2021 low of 4,270. A violation of that zone could open the door for the August 2022 high of 4,325.
On the flipside, if the index experiences a pullback, immediate support could be found at 4,146, which is the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of the 4,325-3,489 downtrend. Piercing through that wall, the price could challenge 4,100 before the double-bottom region of 4,048 comes under scrutiny. A break below the latter may trigger a retreat towards the 61.8% Fibo of 4,006.
In brief, the US 500 index stormed to a fresh nine-month high amid some positive developments regarding the US debt-ceiling negotiations. However, a downside correction should not be ruled out as the latest advance pushed the price above its upper Bollinger band, indicating that it approached overbought conditions.
Disclaimer: The XM Group entities provide execution-only service and access to our Online Trading Facility, permitting a person to view and/or use the content available on or via the website, is not intended to change or expand on this, nor does it change or expand on this. Such access and use are always subject to: (i) Terms and Conditions; (ii) Risk Warnings; and (iii) Full Disclaimer. Such content is therefore provided as no more than general information. Particularly, please be aware that the contents of our Online Trading Facility are neither a solicitation, nor an offer to enter any transactions on the financial markets. Trading on any financial market involves a significant level of risk to your capital.
All material published on our Online Trading Facility is intended for educational/informational purposes only, and does not contain – nor should it be considered as containing – financial, investment tax or trading advice and recommendations; or a record of our trading prices; or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instruments; or unsolicited financial promotions to you.
Any third-party content, as well as content prepared by XM, such as: opinions, news, research, analyses, prices and other information or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an “as-is” basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. To the extent that any content is construed as investment research, you must note and accept that the content was not intended to and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such, it would be considered as marketing communication under the relevant laws and regulations. Please ensure that you have read and understood our Notification on Non-Independent Investment. Research and Risk Warning concerning the foregoing information, which can be accessed here.