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Technical Analysis – USDJPY reapproaches multi-year highs

  • USDJPY in a steady advance after pullback halts at 50-day SMA

  • Momentum indicators are strengthening in their positive zones

USDJPY experienced a strong setback from its 34-year high of 160.20 following an intervention by Japanese authorities in late April. However, the pair has been in a steady uptrend since then, attempting to revisit its recent multi-year highs.

Should bullish pressures persist, the price could initially test the recent resistance of 158.25. Further upside attempts could then cease at 159.10, which is the 161.8% Fibonacci extension of the 151.90-140.24 downleg. A violation of that territory could pave the way for the 34-year peak of 160.20.

Alternatively, if the pair comes under selling pressure, immediate support could be found at the 138.2% Fibo of 156.35. Failing to halt there, the price could descend towards the 123.6% Fibo of 154.64. In case the bears push the pair even lower, the May deflection point of 151.90 may provide downside protection.

In brief, despite the strong selloff in the aftermath of a fresh 34-year peak, USDJPY has been steadily regaining lost ground. Therefore, we could see some heightened volatility moving forward as the price is approaching levels that the Japanese side was willing to defend in the recent past.

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