Bond yields seen rising ahead of government debt auction
By Dharamraj Lalit Dhutia
MUMBAI, Oct 7 (Reuters) - Indian government bond yields are expected to rise in early trades on Friday, ahead of a fresh supply of debt via the weekly auction, while the constant rise in oil prices as well as U.S. yields will also weigh on sentiment.
The benchmark Indian 10-year government bond yield IN072632G=CC is seen in a 7.44%-7.50% band, a trader with a private bank said. The yield ended at 7.4538% on Thursday, recording its biggest one-day jump since Aug. 5.
"There is no bullish factor that could now support bonds, and the benchmark yield touching 7.50% today is highly possible," the trader said.
"Though the index inclusion news is digested, rising oil prices pose a threat to inflation outlook."
The government is slated to sell bonds worth 280 billion Indian rupees ($3.40 billion) later in the day, including 120 billion rupees of the benchmark 2032 paper.
The previous week's central government auction, as well as this week's state debt sale witnessed weaker-than-expected demand, which could be repeated at Friday's auction as well.
Global oil prices rose on Friday, continuing an upward trend after the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies, together known as OPEC+, agreed to tighten global supply with a deal to cut production targets by 2 million barrels per day.
The cut is its largest reduction since 2020 and comes ahead of a European Union embargo on Russian oil.
Rising oil prices hurt sentiment as India is one of the largest importers of the commodity and higher prices have a direct impact on inflation.
U.S. Treasury yields rose ahead of September non-farm payrolls data due later in the day, while Federal Reserve officials have been consistent in recent comments that the central bank will take aggressive measures in hiking interest rates to combat rising inflation, raising concerns that could tilt the economy into a recession.
Indian government bonds remain on the radar for inclusion in J.P. Morgan's emerging market local currency debt index after a review on Tuesday, the bank said, dashing hopes that Asia's third largest economy would be added this year.
** Brent crude futures LCOc1 was 0.1% lower at $94.30 per barrel, after rising over 7% in last four sessions
** 10-year U.S. Treasury yield US10YT=RR were at 3.8236% and the two-year note at 4.2662%
** India to sell federal government bonds worth 280 billion rupees
** The Reserve Bank of India is to set underwriting fees for 280 billion rupees bond auction ($1 = 82.3100 Indian rupees)
Reporting by Dharamraj Lalit Dhutia; Editing by Savio D'Souza Editing by
Disclaimer: The XM Group entities provide execution-only service and access to our Online Trading Facility, permitting a person to view and/or use the content available on or via the website, is not intended to change or expand on this, nor does it change or expand on this. Such access and use are always subject to: (i) Terms and Conditions; (ii) Risk Warnings; and (iii) Full Disclaimer. Such content is therefore provided as no more than general information. Particularly, please be aware that the contents of our Online Trading Facility are neither a solicitation, nor an offer to enter any transactions on the financial markets. Trading on any financial market involves a significant level of risk to your capital.
All material published on our Online Trading Facility is intended for educational/informational purposes only, and does not contain – nor should it be considered as containing – financial, investment tax or trading advice and recommendations; or a record of our trading prices; or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instruments; or unsolicited financial promotions to you.
Any third-party content, as well as content prepared by XM, such as: opinions, news, research, analyses, prices and other information or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an “as-is” basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. To the extent that any content is construed as investment research, you must note and accept that the content was not intended to and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such, it would be considered as marketing communication under the relevant laws and regulations. Please ensure that you have read and understood our Notification on Non-Independent Investment. Research and Risk Warning concerning the foregoing information, which can be accessed here.