EM currencies eye sharpest one-day drop in almost 3 years



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Dollar gains on strong U.S. job growth

Brazil's industrial production drops in 2022

Chile copper production falls in December

Latam FX off 2.4%, stocks down 3.1%

Updates prices, adds details

By Amruta Khandekar

Feb 3 (Reuters) - The emerging market currencies index was on track for its biggest daily percentage drop in nearly three years on Friday, with most Latin American currencies at session lows after solid U.S. job growth data boosted the dollar.

MSCI's emerging market currencies index .MIEM00000CUS was down 1.1% at 1938 GMT, and was headed for its worst daily performance since March 2020.

The U.S. Labor Department's highly anticipated monthlyreport showed nonfarm payrolls surged by 517,000 jobs in January. Economists in a Reuters poll had forecast a gain of 185,000.

The data, which came on the heels of what were seen as largelydovish messages from the Federal Reserve and some other central banks earlier this week, spurred concerns about interest rates staying elevated for longer than expected, boosting the dollar =USD.

"It's definitely questioned the need for the Fed to ease policy later in the year, so that understandably has weighed on emerging market currencies," said Chris Turner, global head of markets at ING.

"I think a modest correction in emerging market currencies is understandable. I don't think we need to see a really sharp sell-off (going forward), not unless U.S. price pressures pick up."

The Latin American currencies index .MILA00000CUS was down 2.4% on Friday, a day after touching multi-year highs.

The Brazilian real was down 1.8% against the dollar after Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva issued his latest threat to the autonomy of the country's central bank on Thursday, a day after the central bankfloated the possibility of keeping interest rates at a six-year high for longer than expected.

Lula's criticism of the central bank also weighed on stocks in Brazil .BVSP, which fell 1.1%, dragging the Latam stocks index .MILA00000PUS down 3.1%.

Industrial production inLatam's largest economy fell 0.7% in 2022, government statistics agency IBGE said on Friday.

The currencies of Mexico MXN= and Colombia COP=, both oil exporters,dropped 1.6% and 2.3%, respectively.

Chile's peso CLP= fell 2% as data showed total copper production in the country, the world's largest producer of the metal, slumped 0.5% to 495,800 tonnes in December. The Peruvian solPEN= was down 0.7%.

Meanwhile, broader EM stocks .MSCIEF fell 1.1% and were on track for their first weekly decline in 2023, boggeddown by declines in Chineseequities amid concerns aboutthe country's economic recovery.

In India, financial contagion fears spread as the Adani Group's crisis worsened, with ratings agency Moody's warning the conglomerate may struggle to raise capital and S&P cutting the outlook on two of its businesses.

Elsewhere, the Russian rouble RUBUTSTN=MCX fell back against the U.S. dollar as the finance ministry said it would sell $2.3 billion worth of foreign currency in the month ahead to help plug a deficit in the state budget.


Key Latin American stock indexes and currencies at 1938 GMT:


Stock indexes

Latest

Daily % change

MSCI Emerging Markets .MSCIEF

1034.09

-1.1

MSCI LatAm .MILA00000PUS

2245.10

-3.07

Brazil Bovespa .BVSP

108872.23

-1.15

Mexico IPC .MXX

53998.73

0.23

Chile IPSA .SPIPSA

5314.63

0.02

Argentina MerVal .MERV

241576.37

-2.925

Colombia COLCAP .COLCAP

1266.72

0.53




Currencies

Latest

Daily % change

Brazil real BRBY

5.1382

-1.82

Mexico peso MXN=D2

18.9479

-1.60

Chile peso CLP=CL

794.6

-2.04

Colombia peso COP=

4694.75

-2.32

Peru sol PEN=PE

3.8226

-0.73

Argentina peso (interbank) ARS=RASL

188.0000

-0.22

Argentina peso (parallel) ARSB=

375

0.80





Reporting by Amruta Khandekar in Bengaluru; Editing by Paul Simao and Leslie Adler

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