Hope for smaller rate rises lifts Wall Street, oil gains

By Sinéad Carew

NEW YORK, Aug 11 (Reuters) - Wall Street stocks gained ground while the dollar eased as fresh signs of cooling inflation increased prospects that the Federal Reserve could slow down its rate hikes, even as officials warned the fight to tame rising prices is far from over.

Thursday's data showed U.S. producer prices unexpectedly fell in July amid a drop in the cost of energy products, after Wednesday's surprise news that consumer prices were unchanged in July due to a drop in gasoline prices.

Meanwhile, U.S. Treasury yields pared an earlier drop before the Treasury Department sells new 30-year bonds, even after the inflation data surprise.

Two straight days of slower inflation data gave investors hope that soaring prices were finally "peaking and heading in the right direction," according to Joe Saluzzi, co-manager of trading at Themis Trading in Chatham, New Jersey.

But he cautioned that this was a "one month data point."

"You'd still like to see a trend next month and see it's not necessarily just energy. You want to see other prices coming down. It's still early in the game," Saluzzi said.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average .DJI rose 208.84 points, or 0.63%, to 33,518.35, the S&P 500 .SPX gained 22.32 points, or 0.53%, to 4,232.56, and the Nasdaq Composite .IXIC added 34.01 points, or 0.26%, to 12,888.82.

The pan-European STOXX 600 index .STOXX was up 0.09% and MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe .MIWD00000PUS gained 0.53%. Emerging market stocks .MSCIEF rose 1.73%.

Despite the encouraging data, U.S. policymakers left no doubt they would continue to tighten monetary policy until price pressures were fully broken.

San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly, in an interview with the Financial Times, warned it is far too early for the U.S. central bank to declare victory in its fight against inflation and a half-percentage point rate rise in September was her baseline.

Daly's comments followed similar cautions from Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank President Neel Kashkari and Chicago Fed President Charles Evans on Wednesday.

"What they're saying is prudent and smart," said Saluzzi, noting that because the Fed was slow to start its rate hiking cycle it would be careful not to end it too soon.

"They're playing catchup and don't want to make the same mistake they made earlier."

In currencies, the dollar extended losses against other major currencies after the inflation data prompted traders to dial back rate hike expectations.

The dollar index =USD fell 0.209%, with the euro EUR= up 0.3% to $1.0328.

The Japanese yen strengthened 0.13% versus the greenback at 132.70 per dollar, while sterling GBP= was last trading at $1.2215, down 0.08% on the day.

In treasuries, benchmark 10-year notes US10YT=RR last fell 16/32 in price to yield 2.8367%, from 2.781% late on Wednesday. The 30-year bond US30YT=RR last fell 42/32 in price to yield 3.1111%, from 3.042%. The 2-year note US2YT=RR last rose 1/32 in price to yield 3.1957%, from 3.214%.

In commodities, oil rose after the International Energy Agency raised its oil demand growth forecast for this year as soaring natural gas prices lead some consumers to switch to oil.

U.S. crude CLc1 recently rose 1.5% to $93.31 per barrel and Brent LCOc1 was at $98.83, up 1.47% on the day.

Spot gold XAU= dropped 0.2% to $1,788.15 an ounce.

World FX rates YTD Link
Global asset performance Link
Fed funds futures Link
Dollar Link

Additional reporting by Huw Jones, Sujata Rao, Stella Qiu and
Alun John; Editing by Elaine Hardcastle and David Holmes

Disclaimer: The XM Group entities provide execution-only service and access to our Online Trading Facility, permitting a person to view and/or use the content available on or via the website, is not intended to change or expand on this, nor does it change or expand on this. Such access and use are always subject to: (i) Terms and Conditions; (ii) Risk Warnings; and (iii) Full Disclaimer. Such content is therefore provided as no more than general information. Particularly, please be aware that the contents of our Online Trading Facility are neither a solicitation, nor an offer to enter any transactions on the financial markets. Trading on any financial market involves a significant level of risk to your capital.

All material published on our Online Trading Facility is intended for educational/informational purposes only, and does not contain – nor should it be considered as containing – financial, investment tax or trading advice and recommendations; or a record of our trading prices; or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instruments; or unsolicited financial promotions to you.

Any third-party content, as well as content prepared by XM, such as: opinions, news, research, analyses, prices and other information or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an “as-is” basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. To the extent that any content is construed as investment research, you must note and accept that the content was not intended to and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such, it would be considered as marketing communication under the relevant laws and regulations. Please ensure that you have read and understood our Notification on Non-Independent Investment. Research and Risk Warning concerning the foregoing information, which can be accessed here.

We are using cookies to give you the best experience on our website. Read more or change your cookie settings.

Risk Warning: Your capital is at risk. Leveraged products may not be suitable for everyone. Please consider our Risk Disclosure.