Wheat drops to 2-1/2-year low on improved U.S. winter crop, weak exports
Wheat prices down 1%, set for 8th consecutive month of losses
Improved U.S. winter crop condition, lack of demand weigh
Commodity markets face pressure on fears of global recession
Adds quote in paragraph 3, updates prices
By Naveen Thukral
SINGAPORE, May 31 (Reuters) -Chicago wheat slid to its lowest in two-and-a-half years on Wednesday, with the market declining for an eighth consecutive month as improved U.S. crop condition and concerns over global economic growth weighed on prices.
Corn and soybeans edged lower on expectations of abundant world supplies.
"Ideas that Russia will stay very competitive on exporting on the world market, plus continued good weather for the U.S. crop helped put pressure (on prices)," commodities research firm Hightower said in a report.
The most-active wheat contract on the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) was down 1.1% at $5.84-3/4 a bushel, as of 0258 GMT, after dropping earlier in the session to its weakest since Dec. 2020 at 5.84 a bushel. Corn Cv1 fell 0.8% to $5.89-1/2 a bushel and soybeans Sv1 gave up 0.8% to $12.86 a bushel.
The condition of the drought-hit U.S. winter wheat crop has improved more than analysts expected.
The U.S. government in a weekly crop progress report on Tuesday rated 34% of winter wheat in "good-to-excellent' condition, as of Sunday, up 3 percentage points from last week following rains in the southern Plains. Analysts on average had expected the rating to rise to 32%, according to a Reuters survey.
For May, wheat is down 7.8%, falling for an eighth month in a row, corn has risen 0.7% after closing sharply lower in April and soybean are down 9.4%, a second month of losses.
On the macroeconomic front, commodity markets are facing headwinds over a global recession.
Asia's stockmarkets slid toward a second month of losses in a row on Wednesday, and even the glittering Nikkei paused, as weak Chinese factory activity fed growing doubts about the post-pandemic recovery in the world's second biggest economy.
Wheat is facing additional pressure from weak export demand for U.S. supplies. Export prices of Russian wheat are softening further in anticipation of a new harvest and amid low demand from global importers, analysts said.
Buyers in the United States are believed to have last week purchased about 60,000 tonnes of European Union origin wheat expected to be sourced about half each from Poland and Germany, European traders said, underscoring high prices for domestic U.S. wheat.
The European Commission has increased its monthly forecasts for this year's European Union soft wheat and rapeseed harvests, while lowering its outlook for barley and maize, data posted by the EU's executive showed.
Ukraine is seeking guarantees from Moscow and the U.N. that a deal on the safe export of Black Sea grain will work normally if Kyiv allows Russian ammonia to transit Ukrainian territory, a Ukrainian official said on Tuesday.
Meanwhile, planting of the U.S. 2023 corn and soybean crops is advancing ahead of the normal pace while producers and traders monitor dry conditions in portions of the Midwest.
After the CBOT close, the U.S. Department of Agriculture's (USDA) first corn condition ratings for 2023 pegged 69% of the U.S. crop in "good-to-excellent" condition, below an average of analyst expectations for 71% and down from 73% a year ago.
U.S. corn planting is 92% complete, ahead of the five-year average of 84%, and soybean planting is 83% complete, ahead of its five-year average of 65%, the USDA said.
The government has projected supplies of corn and soybeans will rise in the 2023/24 marketing year due to forecasts for record harvests.
Commodity funds were net sellers of CBOT soybean, soyoil, wheat, corn and soymeal futures contracts on Tuesday, traders said. COMFUND/CBT
Reporting by Naveen Thukral; Editing by Sherry Jacob-Phillips and Shailesh Kuber
Latest News
Disclaimer: The XM Group entities provide execution-only service and access to our Online Trading Facility, permitting a person to view and/or use the content available on or via the website, is not intended to change or expand on this, nor does it change or expand on this. Such access and use are always subject to: (i) Terms and Conditions; (ii) Risk Warnings; and (iii) Full Disclaimer. Such content is therefore provided as no more than general information. Particularly, please be aware that the contents of our Online Trading Facility are neither a solicitation, nor an offer to enter any transactions on the financial markets. Trading on any financial market involves a significant level of risk to your capital.
All material published on our Online Trading Facility is intended for educational/informational purposes only, and does not contain – nor should it be considered as containing – financial, investment tax or trading advice and recommendations; or a record of our trading prices; or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instruments; or unsolicited financial promotions to you.
Any third-party content, as well as content prepared by XM, such as: opinions, news, research, analyses, prices and other information or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an “as-is” basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. To the extent that any content is construed as investment research, you must note and accept that the content was not intended to and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such, it would be considered as marketing communication under the relevant laws and regulations. Please ensure that you have read and understood our Notification on Non-Independent Investment. Research and Risk Warning concerning the foregoing information, which can be accessed here.
