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AUDUSD

XM-анализ

XM-анализ - 3 дней назад

Week Ahead – Dollar shines ahead of nonfarm payrolls

Dollar cruises higher, nonfarm payrolls on Friday will be crucial for this rally Early indicators point to another solid month for the US labor market Central bank decisions in Australia and New Zealand will also be in focus Dollar goes on a rampage The US dollar rally has gone into overdrive lately. Empowered by a stunning rise in US yields, solid economic fundamentals, and safe haven flows, the dollar has charged higher to record 11 consecutive weeks of gains against the eu
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XM-анализ - 3 дней назад

RBA meets but new Governor probably not ready for a rate move – Preview 

Another RBA meeting but rate decisions will probably be postponed for later The aussie would like a hawkish statement from the new RBA governor The usual meeting statement will be released on Tuesday at 03:30 GMT RBA again in the spotlight The RBA is preparing for its 10th rate setting meeting for 2023 since the Bank has not aligned with the remaining central banks’ schedule yet.
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XM-анализ - 4 дней назадBearish

Technical Analysis – AUDUSD still waits for support after new lows

AUDUSD extends downtrend Short-term outlook is gloomy, but recovery attempts still likely Eyes on 0.6300 ahead of RBA meeting AUDUSD plunged to a new 10-month low of 0.6330 on Wednesday, putting the downtrend from July back into play ahead of RBA’s policy decision on Tuesday. The clear bearish breakout below the 2020 support trendline has further worsened the short-term outlook.
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XM-анализ - 1 неделю назад

Weekly Technical Outlook – USDJPY, EURUSD, AUDUSD

US inflation could ease; will USD/JPY extend uptrend above 150? Eurozone inflation to soften too; EUR/USD at a make-or-break point Australian inflation to reverse higher; AUD/USD looks for a rebound US core PCE inflation --> USD/JPY The Fed’s favorite core PCE inflation index is expected to ease significantly to a new two-year low of 3.9% y/y on Friday at 12:30 GMT, erasing July’s moderate pickup to 4.3% y/y.
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XM-анализ - 1 неделю назад

Key data releases scheduled with the market counting down to the next RBA meeting The RBA is feeling relieved after the decision to pause by the Fed August CPI (01:30 GMT) could provide some breathing space to the aussie RBA was first on the scene The RBA kicked off the busy central banks’ season by keeping rates unchanged at 4.1% at the September 5 meeting.
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XM-анализ - 1 неделю назад

Week Ahead – US core PCE and Eurozone flash CPIs eyed after rate pause signals

PCE inflation to grab attention on Friday as Fed signals higher for longer But markets might be more worried about a government shutdown Eurozone flash CPIs will also be the in the spotlight on Friday Chinese PMIs to be watched for recovery signs Will core PCE add to second inflation wave worries? The latest spike in oil prices is causing some headaches for policymakers as energy costs are on the rise again just as they’ve started to see the result of their hard-fought ba
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XM-анализ - 2 недель назадNeutral

Technical Analysis – AUDUSD edges lower, bearish sentiment lingers

AUDUSD is edging lower today, reacting to yesterday’s key event The pair remains very close to the new 2023 low registered on September 6 The momentum indicators appear to support the downleg at this juncture AUDUSD is experiencing its second straight red candle, canceling out most of the upleg recorded since the September 6 low.
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XM-анализ - 2 недель назад

Technical Analysis – AUDUSD edges higher but it appears to be a low conviction move

AUDUSD bulls anxiously pushing for a sizeable bullish move The pair remains close to the new 2023 low recorded on September 6. Only the stochastic oscillator supports the muted upleg at this juncture.  AUDUSD is experiencing its third straight green candle, but the market is probably taking a defensive stance ahead of next week’s key events.  The bulls’ efforts appear to have stopped at the key 0.6458 level, but the stochastic oscillator's next move could give them the
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XM-анализ - 2 недель назад

Market Comment – Euro skids after ECB hike, China data lifts sentiment

Euro tumbles as ECB raises rates but hints at pause US dollar hits 6-month high after US retail sales beat Stocks rally on upbeat Chinese data but watch out for triple witching ECB makes surprise hike despite gloomy outlook The European Central Bank raised its key lending rates by 25 basis points on Thursday, taking some investors by surprise amid a split within the Governing Council heading into the meeting.
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XM-анализ - 3 недель назадNeutral

Technical Analysis – AUDUSD attempts recovery from 10-month low

AUDUSD hit a fresh 10-month bottom of 0.6356 last week Regained some ground but clearly not out of the woods yet Momentum indicators suggest that the rebound could strengthen AUDUSD had been in an aggressive decline following a double top pattern in mid-July, with the pair posting consecutive multi-month lows. Even though the price managed to find its feet at a fresh 10-month bottom and recoup some losses, the road to recovery seems rather long.
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XM-анализ - 3 недель назад

Market Comment – Yen jumps on hawkish Ueda remarks, dollar slips ahead of US CPI

BoJ’s Ueda hints at end to negative rates by year-end if wages rise Dollar starts week on the backfoot as crucial CPI data awaited China hopes lift aussie, equities; easing Apple selloff helps stocks too Ueda sparks BoJ policy speculation The Japanese yen shot higher on Monday, climbing against all of its major peers after Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda fanned speculation of an early exit from ultra-easy policy in an interview with the Yomiuri newspaper over the weekend.
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XM-анализ - 3 недель назад

Despite the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) leaving the door to further hikes open at its latest policy decision, investors are largely convinced that this Bank’s tightening campaign is already over, with the Australian dollar remaining largely a victim of concerns surrounding China. Will Australia’s employment report bring the aussie back to life?
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XM-анализ - 3 недель назад

Week Ahead – ECB rate hike hangs in the balance; US CPI could edge up again

The European Central Bank is headed for a crunch rate decision next week amid rising recession risks and the job on inflation not yet done. It’s going to be a big week for the US dollar as well, as the CPI and retail sales reports are due before the Fed’s September meeting. There’s a barrage of UK data that will keep the pound on its toes before the next Bank of England decision, while the market mood will also be swayed by some key economic indicators out of China, as fears about the heal
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XM-анализ - 4 недель назад

Market Comment – Falling yen draws intervention warning, ISM non-mfg PMI in focus

Yen hits 10-month low, triggers intervention warning Dollar traders turn attention to ISM non-mfg PMI Equities pull back, but stay in an uptrend mode BoC expected to stand pat, focus to turn on guidance Japanese official warns as dollar/yen gets closer to 148 The US dollar traded higher against all the other major currencies on Tuesday, perhaps as increasing concerns about the performance of the Chinese economy after the disappointing Caixin services PMI resulted in a flight to safe
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XM-анализ - 4 недель назад

Weekly Technical Outlook – AUDUSD, USDCAD, Gold

Central bank meetings in Australia and Canada will shift attention to the aussie and the loonie this week in a relatively important month for monetary policy decisions. The commodity currencies aim to steal ground from the US dollar, while gold is hoping for a bullish breakout too ahead of the ISM non-manufacturing PMI index.     RBA rate decision --> AUD/USD The Reserve Bank of Australia meets on Tuesday, with the policy statement expected to move markets at 04:30 GMT.
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XM-анализ - 4 недель назад

Technical Analysis – AUDUSD trapped between key levels ahead of RBA

AUDUSD could not successfully jump above its 20-day simple moving average (SMA) and the 0.6480 barrier last week despite securing a strong foothold around the 2020 support trendline for the third time since the pandemic fallout. The technical indicators keep trending upwards, reflecting persisting buying interest, though buyers might wisely wait for a clear extension above 0.6480 before they lift the price into the 0.6570-0.6615 constraining zone.
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XM-анализ - 4 недель назад

Market Comment – Dollar gains after US jobs data, China stimulus lifts oil

Dollar climbs despite relatively soft US employment report China stimulus measures boost oil prices and Asian stocks Gold trades with resilience, undeterred by dollar and yields Dollar defies cooler US jobs data An unexpectedly soft US employment report could not hold down the US dollar on Friday. While nonfarm payrolls slightly exceeded forecasts in August, revisions showed that employment growth in July and June was much weaker than previously reported.
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XM-анализ - 4 недель назад

RBA set to stay on pause as inflation and economy cool – Preview

The Reserve Bank of Australia will decide on interest rates on Tuesday (04:30 GMT), likely keeping them on hold for the third straight month. One reason for the RBA’s increased caution lately is weaker economic growth. GDP data due on Wednesday (01:30 GMT) will reveal whether growth remained sluggish or improved in the second quarter. The Australian dollar is vulnerable to further losses amid mounting worries about China on top of a less hawkish RBA.
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XM-анализ - 4 недель назад

Week Ahead – RBA and BoC to kick-start key round of central bank meetings

After a barrage of US data hurt the dollar this week, with investors having second thoughts as to whether another Fed hike may be needed, the US agenda will become lighter next week with the spotlight turning to the ISM non-manufacturing PMI. Elsewhere, the RBA and the BoC are holding their interest rate decisions, kick-starting a round of pivotal meetings by major central banks, which could well impact forthcoming directions of major currency pairs.
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XM-анализ - 4 недель назад

Market Comment – Calm ahead of US jobs report as markets pin hopes on cool-off

Dollar and stocks drift sideways as August payrolls awaited for direction Asian equities outperform after China boosts support but aussie fails to catch fire Oil extends rebound amid tightening market, gold holds near highs All eyes on August NFP report It’s been a week of ‘bad news is good news’ for the markets as investors ramped up their bets that rates in the US have peaked following a slew of soft data suggesting that Fed tightening is starting to put the brakes on the eco
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