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Bitcoin in tepid rebound as geopolitical woes ease – Crypto News

Inflows lift Bitcoin on Monday, but rebound faltersImproved sentiment holds price action above 50-day MABut geopolitical and election risks keep bulls in checkA short-lived bounce?Digital assets took a significant hit last week from the geopolitical turmoil, as Iran’s missile attack on Israel drove investors to safe-haven assets such as gold, leading to the first outflow in three weeks.
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Volatility skyrockets across the board after an eventful week – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility surges to the highest level of the monthVolatility in commodities reaches new monthly highStock indices experience very high volatilityEuro/dollar volatility has reached the highest level of the past 30 days, as the FX market was rocked by the strong US labour market report, denting the possibility of another 50bps Fed rate cut in November.
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Daily Comment – Will the dollar or stocks smile after the non-farm payrolls print?

Spotlight falls on the key US labour market dataNon-farm payrolls to rise by 140k, but could surprise to the upsideDollar to enjoy a strong set of data, equities prefer weaker printsEuro suffering continues, while both gold and oil advanceCould the US labour market data produce a surprise?The countdown to the most crucial set of US data during October is nearly over.
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Technical Analysis – Bitcoin in a slippery mode within SMAs

Bitcoin battles with 60,200 areaRSI implies further decreasesBitcoin prices have been falling since they peaked at 66,450 and have been hovering within the 50- and 100-day simple moving averages (SMAs) over the last couple of days. If the market continues to dive, then immediate support could come from the 57,600 support level ahead of the 52,470 barrier, registered on September 7.On the other hand, if the market successfully climbs above the 100-day SMA, it may re-challenge the 200-day SMA, wh
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Volatility jumps as market prepares for an action-packed week – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility surges as dollar remains on the back footVolatility in commodities reaches new monthly high, led by oilStock indices experience strong volatility amidst a tentative rallyEuro/dollar volatility has jumped over the past week, as the FX market is whipsawed by the possibility of another strong Fed rate cut. Similarly, volatility of most yen crosses has risen aggressively, with the yen surrendering part of its recent sizeable gains on the back of weaker data and a general el
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Bitcoin’s Fed rally slows down, stalls below $64,700 – Crypto News

Bitcoin rallies on speculation of another 50bps cut by the Fed But slows down after policymakers favor a smaller reductionHarris leading the US election polls is also reason for caution Focus remains on US data, PCE inflation on FridayFed rally loses steam ahead of PCE dataBitcoin rallied nearly 5% on Thursday, the day after the Fed decided to cut interest rates by 50bps and to signal that another 50 are on the cards for the remainder of 2024. At the press conference following the decision, Fed
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Volatility drops across the board after the Fed meeting – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility remains low as dollar underperforms Volatility in commodities stays elevated, led by gold Stock indices experience decent volatility despite the rally Euro/dollar volatility has eased a bit over the past week, as the market digested the strong Fed rate cut. Similarly, volatility of most yen crosses has dropped aggressively lower, as the yen surrendered part of its recent sizeable gains, despite the fact that the BoJ maintained the chances of another rate
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Bitcoin pulls back ahead of key Fed decision – Crypto News

Crypto traders turn cautious ahead of Fed decision Trump’s crypto project does not spark fireworks ETF inflows slow substantially Overly dovish Fed bets pose downside risks   Cautiousness as Fed cut looms Bitcoin recovered more than 15% between September 7 and 14, perhaps as more market participants were convinced that the Fed will start this easing cycle with a bold 50bps move on Wednesday.
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How will the US elections impact the markets?

Harris takes the lead in most polls as Trump’s campaign stalls But what does a Harris win mean for stocks and the US dollar? Can Trump turn things around and what would investors prefer? Late entry The US presidential election is drawing ever closer and there can be no doubt that the race heated up after President Joe Biden abruptly dropped out.
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Volatility eases a bit ahead of the key Fed meeting – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility remains low as dollar weakness lingers Volatility in commodities stays elevated led by silver Stock indices and bitcoin experience lower volatility Euro/dollar volatility remains low as the market is preparing for the key Fed meeting on Wednesday that could deliver a previously unexpected 50bps rate cut. Amidst these conditions, yen pairs are experiencing the highest volatility of the past month as the yen continues to outperform its main counterparties on
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Daily Comment – Slow start to the week ahead of the Fed meeting 

Mixed movements in FX but the yen remains on the front foot Stocks recorded their best weekly performance of 2024 Another assassination attempt against Trump Bitcoin suffers while gold reaches a new all-time high Stocks are in anticipation mode A very important week has commenced with the US equity markets digesting last week’s impressive performance.
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Bitcoin slips as Trump fails to get poll boost after presidential debate – Crypto News

Bitcoin rebounds before coming under pressure again Harris seen as winner of first presidential debate with pro-crypto Trump Unconvincing recovery in equities doesn’t help sentiment for cryptos Bitcoin’s rebound runs into trouble Bitcoin and other major cryptos have bounced back from their late August-early September slide, but lingering anxiety in the markets about a slowing US economy is limiting the upside, while the country’s looming presidential election is also keepi
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Daily Comment – Equities are directionless ahead of US inflation report

Mixed movements in equities as markets prepare for CPI Strong possibility for a downside surprise in inflation  US presidential debate dominates headlines Bitcoin suffers while gold and yen rally Stocks are in anticipation mode US equity indices were mixed yesterday with the Nasdaq 100 index recording another green day and the Dow Jones mimicking the European stock indices’ negative performance.
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Equities volatility jumps as sentiment turns negative – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility remains low as market digests US data prints Volatility in commodities remains low apart from oil Stock indices and bitcoin experience much higher volatility Volatility in the main FX pairs, including euro/dollar, has eased in the past few days as the market is digesting last week’s US labour market data and preparing for Wednesday’s CPI report, which could play a role in determining the size of the imminent Fed rate cut.
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Daily Comment – Equities rebound but face danger from US presidential debate  

Equities turn positive, but sentiment is fragile US presidential debate today could prove market moving UK labour market data supports the pound Bitcoin gains as risk sentiment improves, gold is range-bound Stocks breathe better US equity markets recorded gains in yesterday’s session, with the Nasdaq 100 index leading the rally, and euro/dollar dropped close to 1.1030 despite the fact that most participants remain uncertain about next week’s Fed rate cut size and confus
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Cryptos’ short-term outlook rests on the Fed – Crypto News

Cryptos trade lower due to overall negative market sentiment Spot ETFs outflow confirm investors’ lower appetite Cryptos desperately looking for new bullish catalysts Ethereum a tad above some key support levels Cryptocurrencies remain under pressure The cryptocurrency world remains under severe pressure with bitcoin repeatedly failing to climb above the $60k area.
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Technical Analysis – Bitcoin slides and hits the 56,200 support

Bitcoin has been declining since August 26 The bigger picture points to a broadening formation Oscillators imply further declines within the pattern BTCUSD has been sliding lately, after hitting resistance near the 64,700 zone on August 24 and 26. The crypto king dropped below the key support (now turned into resistance) zone of 61,600 and found support slightly below 56,200 yesterday.
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Volatility eases across the board ahead of key US data – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility drops as market prepares for an action-packed week Volatility in commodities crashes to new lows apart from oil Stock indices and bitcoin experience much lower volatility Volatility in the main FX pairs, including euro/dollar, has eased in the past few days as the market is preparing for this week’s US labour market data releases that could play a key role in determining the size of the imminent rate cut by the Fed.
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Bitcoin holds above $60,000 ahead of Jackson Hole – Crypto News

Bitcoin recoups some losses as risk sentiment rebounds But cryptos fail to erase latest slump, lagging against stocks Absence of new catalysts shifts attention to presidential race   Bitcoin at a crucial level ahead of Jackson Hole Bitcoin is down more than 9% this month, lagging almost against every major asset class. In early August, cryptocurrencies plummeted amid a broader selloff in risk sensitive assets, after the July downbeat NFP report triggered concerns over the health
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Volatility ebbs as recession fears evaporate – Volatility Watch

Besides EUR/USD, FX volatility subsides as markets digest rate path repricing Volatility in precious metals is still high, but oil enters calmer waters Stock indices and Bitcoin volatility at their bottom of their 30-day range Recession concerns from a weaker-than-expected July NFP report have been fading, though they led to notable adjustments in expectations about major central banks' interest rate paths. This week, investors are focused on Jerome Powell's Jackson H
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