Aussie eyes China’s trade and inflation data – Forex News Preview

Posted on December 7, 2018 at 1:33 pm GMT

Over the weekend, China will release its trade and inflation data for November. Forecasts point to a slowdown in both exports and imports, as well as in inflationary pressures. Such figures could amplify speculation that trade-related uncertainty is starting to weigh on the world’s second largest economy and potentially hurt the yuan, as well as the aussie, which is considered a liquid proxy for “China plays”. China’s exports are anticipated to have grown by 10.0% on a yearly basis in [..]


European Open Preview – Risk sentiment sours; OPEC summit front and center

Posted on December 6, 2018 at 8:30 am GMT

Risk appetite crumbles as US arrests Huawei CFO, generating worries of re-escalation in the trade conflict Today, all eyes are on OPEC’s meeting (1200 GMT); expectations for a production cut are elevated Loonie nosedives to a 1½-year low as BoC shifts to a more cautious stance Risk appetite falters on fears of “trade war” re-escalation After a relatively calm Wednesday, risk appetite deteriorated once more during the Asian session on Thursday, following news that the CFO of the Chinese tech [..]


Strategy update: The trade ‘truce’, the Fed’s possible pause and May’s Brexit woes

Posted on December 5, 2018 at 3:05 pm GMT

Markets unconvinced by Trump-Xi trade rapprochement The Fed could slow rate hikes Market braces for Brexit turbulence as May struggles to convince Parliament Markets unconvinced by Trump-Xi trade rapprochement A major theme for global markets and the global economy is the uncertainty caused by the frictions between the United States and China. It was therefore an initially positive piece of news that the two countries would restart a new round of negotiations that would last for 90 days, that China would pledge to import [..]


European Open Preview – Stocks sink amid trade woes; BoC decision eyed

Posted on December 5, 2018 at 8:46 am GMT

Trump’s trade posturing sinks stock markets Bank of Canada to stand pat (1500 GMT), but may appear a touch more cautious Dollar rebounds after Fed’s Williams reiterates “gradual hikes” Sterling remains turbulent as Parliamentary debate kicks off Equities sink on Trump’s trade posturing Wall Street plunged, with the S&P 500 falling by a whopping 3.24% and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite nosediving by 3.80%. Meanwhile, defensive assets like the Japanese yen outperformed. The mood was already sour before the US markets [..]


Technical Analysis – AUDUSD stops at 4-month highs; positive risks not faded yet

Posted on December 5, 2018 at 7:50 am GMT

AUDUSD reached overbought levels according to the RSI and reversed lower just before touching the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) on the daily chart, creating a new peak at 0.7392, a four-month high. While the aforementioned technical indicator continues to slow down, mirroring the market’s bearish behavior over the past three days, the indicator is still moving in bullish territory, flagging that a recovery could reemerge in the short term. The MACD is also holding above its red signal line, which supports the bullish view [..]


European Open Preview – Markets retrace as trade optimism wanes

Posted on December 4, 2018 at 8:45 am GMT

Trade optimism fades as markets digest the agreement Dollar extends recent pullback Oil continues to recover amid speculation for an OPEC cut RBA slightly more upbeat, but no policy change in sight Stocks edge higher on trade relief, but optimism wanes The boost to global risk appetite following the US-China trade “ceasefire” seems to have been short-lived. Even though US stock markets closed higher, they did surrender a decent part of their gains late in the session, and futures tracking [..]


RBA interest rate decision and Australian GDP growth next on agenda– Forex News Preview

Posted on December 3, 2018 at 4:19 pm GMT

In all likelihood, the Reserve Bank of Australia will keep interest rates at record lows once again on Tuesday at 0330 GMT as the Bank is still monitoring slow progress in household income. A day later, GDP growth figures for the third quarter will come into light (0030 GMT) but analysts do not see expansion picking up speed, justifying somewhat the RBA’s cautious stance. The RBA chief, Philip Lowe, believes that higher interest rates require higher wage growth for consumers to afford increased costs [..]


European Open Preview – Risk-on sentiment resumes as trade storm eases

Posted on December 3, 2018 at 9:28 am GMT

Stocks up, dollar down as trade fears ease French President Macron under political pressure but euro heads up  Brexit risks loom in the background Oil surges as Russian President backs production cuts; Qatar to withdraw OPEC membership Stocks head higher on trade relief   The US President, Donald Trump, and the Chinese leader, Xi Jinping had progressive trade talks during their dinner on the sidelines of the G20 summit on Saturday, with the world’s largest economies deciding to ceasefire the [..]


Week Ahead – Spotlight on US jobs report after ‘Powell Put’; RBA and BoC meet

Posted on November 30, 2018 at 1:56 pm GMT

The coming week will be significant both in terms of data releases as well as for central bank meetings. November nonfarm payrolls out of the US will likely be the most anticipated report but it’s going to be a big week for the Australian dollar too as Q3 GDP numbers are due along with an RBA meeting. The Bank of Canada will be the other central bank holding a scheduled meeting, though the Canadian dollar will probably be paying more [..]


European Open Preview – All eyes on the Trump-Xi meeting

Posted on November 30, 2018 at 8:40 am GMT

The Trump-Xi meeting is due tomorrow; whether a “ceasefire” is agreed may determine the near-term direction of the dollar and equities Market reaction to FOMC minutes was muted. Attention turns to a speech by NY Fed President Williams today at 1400 GMT Oil rebounds after posting fresh one-year lows, eyes next week’s OPEC meeting Trump and Xi to meet, outcome may shape risk appetite Movements in the FX market were largely subdued, with investors increasingly turning their attention to the [..]

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