The focus will firmly be on economic indicators next week as political and central bank events temporarily take a back seat. The latest PMI releases for the Eurozone will be one of the highlights as growth in the region grinds to a halt, while employment numbers out of Australia and the United Kingdom will attract attention too. Japanese trade and inflation figures will also be on investors’ watch list. Central banks will not be totally absent, however, as the latest [..]
Dollar and equities pull back after US retail sales plummet and trade talks seem likely to disappoint Pound underperforms as PM May loses another Brexit vote Euro/dollar stabilizes somewhat, supported by rate differentials UK retail sales and early US data for February coming up today Dollar drops alongside stocks as retail sales plunge, trade optimism fades The dollar retreated in tandem with US equity markets yesterday, both giving back some of their recent gains, following disappointing US data and signs [..]
Stock markets grind higher as trade hopes grow, but caution warranted Dollar bulls back in the driver’s seat as core inflation beats forecasts Aussie and kiwi outperforming on Chinese data; focus on trade talks Trade euphoria keeps markets afloat as talks commence, but mind the risks US stock markets continued their march higher yesterday, and futures suggest they are set to open in the green today as well, buoyed by optimism around trade after the US President indicated the talks [..]
China’s trade and inflation figures for January will hit the markets early on Thursday and Friday, respectively. Forecasts point to further weakness, which may spell some trouble for “China-sensitive” currencies like the aussie. That said, the far bigger driver for market sentiment will likely be any updates in the US-China trade talks, the latest round of which concludes in Beijing on Friday. The Chinese economy continued to slow at the beginning of 2019, if the forecasts for the upcoming indicators [..]
Kiwi skyrockets after RBNZ refrains from signaling rate cuts, but downside risks linger Trump’s trade comments reinvigorate risk appetite UK and US inflation data highlight the agenda today RBNZ fails to live up to market’s dovish expectations, kiwi explodes up As expected, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) kept its policy unchanged overnight, maintaining a relatively balanced tone overall. It acknowledged that downside risks have increased, particularly on a global level, but retained some optimism on the outlook. Most [..]
AUDUSD has been paring some of the previous days’ losses since yesterday, following the rebound on the 0.7050 support level. Currently, the price is challenging the 40-simple moving average (SMA) in the daily timeframe, successfully surpassing the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the downleg from the 32-month high of 0.8135 to the 10-year low of 0.6746, around 0.7070. From the technical point of view, the Bollinger Bands have confined prices between the 38.2% Fibonacci of 0.7275 and the 0.7050 support barrier over the last [..]
Dollar soars as ‘there is no alternative’; Fed’s Powell speaks at 17:45 GMT News US government shutdown may be avoided support risk sentiment RBNZ meets overnight; may strike a cautious tone, but is unlikely to be as dovish as market pricing implies Dollar rips higher, but can the bulls stay in control? The greenback shined for yet another session, continuing its unrelenting rally for an eighth day in a row versus a basket of major currencies, without much in the [..]
Both the Australian and New Zealand dollars have seen the wind leave their sails lately, amid mounting speculation that their respective central banks will cut rates soon, and as investors started having second thoughts about a US-China trade deal. Examining the landscape for each economy, the case for looser policy in New Zealand seems much clearer than in Australia, though market pricing currently implies roughly equal odds for a rate cut in both. This suggests that the risks surrounding aussie/kiwi [..]
Dollar ticks up, stocks mixed as risk sentiment remains fragile Swiss franc had a mini “flash crash” overnight, amid thin liquidity conditions UK GDP data due today, but focus remains on Thursday’s Brexit vote in Parliament Dollar climbs, stocks steady as sentiment remains wobbly The dollar advanced for a 7th straight session against a basket of currencies on Friday, albeit only modestly, as investors sought the security of the world’s reserve currency amid concerns around the health of the global [..]
Japan and the United Kingdom will be next to publish economic growth numbers for the final quarter of 2018, while the Eurozone will release its second GDP estimate for the period. Inflation data out of the US and the UK will also be watched. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand will be among the last of the major central banks to hold its first monetary policy meeting of 2019. The Bank is unlikely to buck the trend and will probably [..]
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