Daily Market Comment – Currencies take a breather ahead of risk events, stocks retreat

Posted on December 10, 2019 at 9:22 am GMT

FX market stays quiet as news flow dries up and traders await Fed decision tomorrow Pound perks up as Tories maintain poll lead; Yougov model today at 22:00 GMT may be critical Currencies snooze, equities retreat as investors position for risk events   It was a very quiet session for financial markets, with most major currency pairs trading in tight ranges and ending little changed overall, without any major news to drive the price action. Stocks inched lower, with the [..]

Daily Market Comment – Dollar jumps on solid NFP; markets brace for huge week

Posted on December 9, 2019 at 9:21 am GMT

Greenback and stocks cheer after blockbuster jobs report, but yen tells a different story Loonie nosedives on weak employment data, despite higher oil prices Calendar is low key today, but week is packed: Fed, ECB, UK election, tariff decision Dollar shoots higher as nonfarm payrolls smash expectations It was all about the US employment data on Friday, which easily beat forecasts. Nonfarm payrolls clocked in at 266k, much higher than the expected 180k, with last month’s print also revised up. [..]

Daily Market Comment – US employment data to dictate mood; OPEC can’t lift oil

Posted on December 6, 2019 at 9:08 am GMT

Spotlight falls on the US jobs report today; risks around dollar asymmetric Is European fiscal stimulus not a pipe dream after all? OPEC pledges deeper production cuts, but oil doesn’t ‘buy it’ In Britain, Boris Johnson debates Jeremy Corbyn for the final time Nonfarm payrolls: Mind the asymmetry The main event today will be the US employment report for November, due at 13:30 GMT. Forecasts point to another solid data set, with nonfarm payrolls (NFP) expected to clock in at [..]

Daily Market Comment – Markets climb on hopes Trump is bluffing; pound soars

Posted on December 5, 2019 at 9:33 am GMT

Risk appetite returns on reports suggesting Trump was just posturing on trade Pound surges as election polls show Tories consolidating their lead Loonie climbs on less-dovish BoC signals, looks to OPEC meeting Optimistic trade headlines breathe life back into riskier assets US stock markets snapped a three-day losing spell on Wednesday, with the S&P 500 gaining 0.63% on the back of a report claiming that American and Chinese negotiators are “moving closer” to agreeing the amount of tariffs that would [..]

Technical Analysis – AUDUSD’s ascent dwindles ahead of downtrend line

Posted on December 4, 2019 at 10:16 am GMT

AUDUSD seems to be turning neutral – in a bigger negative picture – as it nears the downtrend line drawn from December 4. The price is currently resting at the 0.6810 point where the mid-Bollinger band, 50- and 100-day simple moving averages (SMAs) have converged, suggesting that the price may linger sideways to encounter the downtrend line. Further backing the undecided picture are the mixed signals from the SMAs and short-term oscillators. The MACD, in the negative zone has moved [..]

Daily Market Comment – Markets rattled as Trump says “no deadline” for trade deal; gold jumps

Posted on December 4, 2019 at 9:29 am GMT

Risk mood darkens after Trump hints he’s in no hurry to sign trade deal with China US bill on China’s treatment of Muslim minorities further raises tensions between the two countries Safe havens soar as stocks and Treasury yields slide US ISM non-manufacturing PMI awaited; BoC decision eyed too Trump sends markets spinning as trade deal hopes fade Risk sentiment was dealt another blow on Tuesday after US President Donald Trump dampened hopes of an early resolution to the long-running [..]

Daily Market Comment – Dollar sinks on Trump tariffs and poor ISM PMI

Posted on December 3, 2019 at 8:57 am GMT

Trump expands trade war by imposing tariffs on South American metal imports Renewed trade frictions and unexpectedly weak ISM manufacturing PMI dampen sentiment Stocks turn negative; dollar plunge lifts euro Aussie jumps as RBA remains in wait-and-see mode; kiwi rallies too Trump ratchets up trade war by announcing tariffs on metal imports The long-running trade war took another twist yesterday after President Trump shocked markets by announcing tariffs on aluminium and steel imports from Brazil and Argentina. Citing the “massive [..]

RBA meeting and GDP data up next, as aussie licks its wounds – Forex News Preview

Posted on December 2, 2019 at 1:23 pm GMT

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will complete its latest meeting at 03:30 GMT on Tuesday, and markets expect no action this time. The aussie’s reaction will therefore depend on the signals for future rate cuts. Judging by the deterioration in recent data, policymakers are likely to strengthen their easing bias, which could exacerbate the currency’s losses. GDP data for Q3 and retail sales for October will follow on Wednesday and Thursday respectively, at 00:30 GMT. Dark clouds The clouds [..]

Daily Market Comment – Yen skids on upbeat China data even as trade deal faces delay

Posted on December 2, 2019 at 9:16 am GMT

Markets in risk-on mood on better-than-expected Chinese manufacturing PMIs Still plenty of caution though, as US and China struggle to conclude ‘phase one’ deal Pound slips as Tories’ poll lead narrows further Oil bounces back after Iraq says deeper cuts to be discussed at OPEC+ meeting Sentiment lifted by rebound in Chinese factory activity December got off to a positive start after data over the weekend and on Monday showed manufacturing output in China unexpectedly rose in November. China’s official [..]

Week Ahead – US jobs report could further bolster dollar; RBA and BoC meetings eyed

Posted on November 29, 2019 at 10:51 am GMT

Central bank meetings and the US jobs report will kick off the final month of 2019 next week, energising the markets as many traders return from the Thanksgiving break in the United States. The nonfarm payrolls report will of course be the main highlight as a positive print there could further add to the improving picture for the US economy, fuelling the dollar. But the ISM manufacturing and non-manufacturing PMIs will also be key in directing the greenback in the [..]

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