Daily Market Comment – Dollar can’t get off the floor as focus turns to Georgia

Posted on December 30, 2020 at 9:40 am GMT

Dollar hits fresh lows, stocks near record highs despite US Senate blocking $2000 checks Thin liquidity, or markets calculating what this implies for Georgia runoffs? Elsewhere, most assets are in a cheerful mood, but quiet overall 2020 was all about the stimulus game With the Brexit crusade out of the way, the US stimulus deal wrapped up, and the global vaccine rollout well underway, financial markets are about to end an incredibly chaotic year on a surprisingly optimistic note. The [..]


Daily Market Comment – Trading starts to wind down, stocks at record highs, dollar dips

Posted on December 29, 2020 at 9:50 am GMT

Markets go quiet in thin holiday trading after US stimulus and Brexit hurdles cleared Pressure on the US Senate after House votes to increase stimulus checks Wall Street sets another record, Nikkei soars, London stocks play catch up Dollar on the backfoot again after rebound falters, pound pares losses Markets in holiday calm but stimulus drama may not be over Trading dwindled ahead of the New Year holiday amid thin liquidity as there was little reason for investors to stay [..]


Technical Analysis – AUDUSD recoups lost ground; resumption of uptrend in focus

Posted on December 28, 2020 at 10:27 am GMT

AUDUSD has almost recouped the downfall from the 2 ½-year high of 0.7638 despite the narrow trading the past two days in the four-hour chart. Although some weakness could be possible in the near term given the touch around the upper Bollinger band, market sentiment remains largely positive as the RSI holds comfortably above its 50 neutral mark despite the latest pullback, and the MACD continues to strengthen within the bullish territory and above its red signal line. The Ichimoku [..]


Daily Market Comment – Stocks cheer Trump’s stimulus U-turn; pound muted after ‘thin’ Brexit deal

Posted on December 28, 2020 at 9:40 am GMT

President Trump makes surprise U-turn on virus aid bill, averts government shutdown ‘Thin’ Brexit deal leaves many unanswered questions, pound unimpressed Equities buoyed, dollar pressured, gold jumps Relief as US stimulus and spending bill becomes law Trading for the last week of 2020 got off to a bullish start after President Trump unexpectedly signed into law the Covid-19 relief and funding bill late on Sunday after repeatedly refusing to do so. The $2.3 trillion package, which includes a fresh round [..]

Commodities outlook: can gold, oil and metals stay bullish in 2021?

Posted on December 24, 2020 at 2:46 pm GMT

It’s been an incredible year for commodities as the global pandemic has induced some historic moves in the prices of key commodities such as gold and oil. Growth commodities like oil and industrial metals, whose fortunes are more directly tied to economic performance, have rallied hard since March when markets were flooded with stimulus and look set to finish 2020 on a positive note. The safe-haven gold, which had been on the rise long before the pandemic, has not been [..]


Daily Market Comment – Brexit deal announcement imminent, pound up

Posted on December 24, 2020 at 9:57 am GMT

UK and EU on the verge of a historic post-Brexit trade agreement, pound advances Trump imperils stimulus deal, risks government shutdown But markets calm in thin holiday trade; dollar drifts lower, stocks edge up Brexit deal is ‘done’ Britain and the European Union appear to be on the cusp of agreeing to a historic post-Brexit trade pact, with officials reportedly working through the night to put the finishing touches to the 2,000-page text. Negotiators continue to thrash out the final [..]


Technical Analysis – AUDUSD restores bullish bias with foothold on mid-Bollinger band

Posted on December 24, 2020 at 8:38 am GMT

AUDUSD’s recent traction off the mid-Bollinger band at 0.7461 appears to have revived the upside tendency, which commenced from the 0.6990 low of November 2. In addition, the climbing simple moving averages (SMAs) are safeguarding the dominant bullish picture. Furthermore, positive momentum seems to be improving within the short-term technical indicators. The MACD has slid marginally below its somewhat stationary red signal line but remains deep in the positive region, while the rising RSI is approaching the 70 level. Additionally, [..]

Daily Market Comment – Virus scare eases but Trump’s stimulus threat tempers mood

Posted on December 23, 2020 at 9:39 am GMT

Equities on firmer footing as panic over new virus strain subsides further But another danger looms as President Trump unhappy with $900 billion stimulus bill Pound’s yo-yo ride continues as hopes rise for pre-Christmas Brexit deal Can Trump scupper Congress’ stimulus aid? Equities were on edge on Wednesday even as investors struck a cautiously optimistic tone ahead of the festive break. President Trump threatened late on Tuesday to block the $900 billion virus relief bill passed by both chambers of [..]

FX year ahead 2021: Too much dollar pessimism?

Posted on December 22, 2020 at 6:48 pm GMT

It has been year of absolute chaos, but hopefully 2021 will be much calmer as the global economy heals its wounds. The overwhelming consensus in the FX arena is for the US dollar to sink further as the reflation trade dominates, lifting all other boats. The ‘catch’ is that much of this weakness may be baked in already. The story for the euro is not attractive either. While dollar weakness could dominate early on and push euro/dollar a little higher, [..]

Daily Market Comment – New virus strain hits equities, sinks sterling, boosts gold

Posted on December 21, 2020 at 9:45 am GMT

Stocks retreat, sterling tanks as new virus strain spreading in UK wreaks havoc US Congress reaches stimulus deal, but news unable to counter the gloom Dollar and gold capitalize on the nerves, crude oil and commodity FX hit hard Bleeding may continue as traders lock profits, but bigger picture unchanged Sterling tanks as health crisis compounds Brexit crisis A new strain of covid-19 that is far more infectious is spreading like wildfire across the UK, forcing local authorities to ‘cancel [..]

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