dollar index

Fed meeting: Justifying the paradigm shift – Forex News Preview

Posted on September 15, 2020 at 2:06 pm GMT

The Fed will conclude its policy meeting at 18:00 GMT Wednesday, ahead of Chairman Powell’s regular press conference half an hour later. The central bank is certain to use this meeting to explain its new inflation-overshooting regime in more detail. What is less certain is whether it will also deliver new measures to lift inflation. Considering the strength of recent data, there’s little urgency to do so. Policymakers can afford to wait until after the US election, which may give [..]

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US inflation data: Keeping the Fed in check – Forex News Preview

Posted on September 9, 2020 at 3:02 pm GMT

The latest CPI numbers out of the US will hit the markets at 12:30 GMT Friday, and forecasts suggest inflation picked up some steam. If that is the case, then market expectations for any Fed easing at next week’s policy meeting might fade entirely, helping euro/dollar to extend its correction lower – especially now that the ECB is actively talking down the euro. In the bigger picture, whether the stock market sell-off continues will be crucial too. ECB: The dollar’s [..]

‘King dollar’ falls from grace, growth concerns to blame? – Special Report

Posted on July 30, 2020 at 11:30 am GMT

The world’s reserve currency took a beating lately, as the resurgence of infections in the US painted a darker outlook for the nation’s economic recovery and sparked expectations for more action by the Fed. But FX is a two-way game, and the dollar’s downfall wouldn’t have been so sharp without better news out of Europe bolstering the euro. Is this just the beginning of a larger rally in euro/dollar that is predicated on Europe outperforming the US? It seems so, [..]

Week Ahead – Vaccine enthusiasm vs faltering recovery

Posted on July 17, 2020 at 11:30 am GMT

It’s a quiet week as far as scheduled events go, with the main highlight being the EU summit about the recovery fund, which exposes the euro to weekend risk. What will truly drive markets though, is the ongoing clash between hopes for a virus vaccine and worries that the economic recovery is ‘levelling off’. It’s a close call, but the market’s inability to really push higher even after promising vaccine news, combined with the Fed’s balance sheet shrinking, are ominous [..]

Powell testimonies and US retail sales to set market tone – Forex News Preview

Posted on June 15, 2020 at 2:20 pm GMT

In America, important events begin early this week. On Tuesday, we get retail sales data for May (12:30 GMT), ahead of Fed Chairman Powell’s semi-annual testimony before the Senate (14:00 GMT). Powell will also appear before the House of Representatives on Wednesday (16:00 GMT) and his Q&A sessions with lawmakers on both occasions could be crucial for the dollar and risk sentiment. In the bigger picture, the main driver for markets will be how quickly US virus cases keep rising. [..]

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Technical Analysis – US dollar index near 17-year high as rally accelerates

Posted on March 19, 2020 at 8:40 am GMT

US dollar index futures (June delivery) exploded higher in recent weeks, as the global pandemic crisis has ignited a dollar liquidity shortage. The price is now trading at three-year highs, with the structure on the weekly chart consisting of higher highs well above the 50- and 200-week moving averages (MAs), which posted a ‘golden cross’ in mid-2019. Hence, the picture is positive, and a weekly close above the almost two-decade high of 103.80 could add more gasoline to the rally. [..]

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Technical Analysis – Dollar Index futures hold at 4-month high; lack direction in long-term

Posted on February 10, 2020 at 8:52 am GMT

The US dollar index reached a fresh four-month high of 98.56 as the price extended its bull run well above the Ichimoku cloud and the moving averages lines. Prices broke above the 98.47 barrier and the technical indicators are suggesting a weaker bullish move. The MACD is holding above the trigger and zero lines, while the RSI flattens near the 70 level. It is worth mentioning that the 20-day simple moving average (SMA) crossed above all the short- and long-term [..]

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Technical Analysis – Dollar Index futures pull back in downward sloping channel

Posted on January 31, 2020 at 10:22 am GMT

The US dollar index bounced off the upper boundary of the downward sloping channel at the 98.00 psychological level and fell towards the 100-simple moving average (SMA). The price is exposing to downside risks and the first clue is the lower highs and the lower lows registered below the 28-month peak of 99.30. In terms of momentum, the short-term bias is currently viewed as neutral-to-negative as the MACD is flattening above its zero line and the stochastic is moving lower [..]

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Daily Market Comment – Year end flows hit dollar, but gold can’t capitalize

Posted on December 30, 2019 at 9:21 am GMT

Greenback takes a hit in thin markets – a prelude to 2020?   Gold unable to take advantage of weaker dollar and lower US yields Calendar empty, scarce liquidity still a theme No news is bad news for the US dollar News flow in financial markets remains non-existent as things wind down heading into the New Year, but that hasn’t stopped investors from cutting their exposure to the US dollar, which continues to bleed amid year-end flows. Many argue that [..]

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Technical Analysis – US Dollar Index rebounds on ascending line; gains are expected

Posted on June 13, 2019 at 12:29 pm GMT

The US dollar index found a strong support obstacle on the long-term ascending trend line once again, sending the price higher. The short-term bias is tilted to the upside as the stochastic oscillator is approaching the overbought area with stronger momentum than before in the daily timeframe. If the index moves higher, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) currently at 97.25 and the 97.40 resistance level could attract traders’ attention before the price hit the two-year high of 98.25. Any violation above this hurdle could [..]

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