What’s next for sterling as Britain flirts with a no-deal Brexit? – Special Report

Posted on July 19, 2019 at 1:22 pm GMT

The British pound remains in the eye of the storm, as markets are waking up to the risk that a no-deal Brexit in October may be incoming Prime Minister Johnson’s preferred route. The coming week will be decisive, as the Cabinet ministers Johnson picks could reveal much about his strategy. As for sterling, the picture remains grim and a revisit of the $1.20 zone – or beyond – shouldn’t be ruled out, with signals for a General Election or a [..]

Daily Market Comment – Cautious Fed remarks take the wheels off dollar

Posted on July 19, 2019 at 7:40 am GMT

Dovish remarks by key Fed officials push greenback lower WTI crude oil at four-week low amid mixed signals in US-Iran conflict Canadian retail sales and more Fed-speak dominate the agenda today Fed’s Williams argues for preventive easing, sends dollar reeling   The greenback continues to attract all the attention, after two influential Fed officials fueled market expectations for an aggressive 50 basis points (bp) rate cut at the upcoming policy meeting. The move started after New York Fed President Williams [..]

Daily Market Comment – Sterling stumbles as no-deal Brexit fears strike back

Posted on July 17, 2019 at 7:48 am GMT

Pound touches 27-month lows as no-deal Brexit concerns resurface Dollar capitalizes, and may have more room to recover for now Oil sinks as Washington hints at “progress” with Iran Canadian inflation data coming up Sterling stumbles as no-deal worries wreak havoc The pound came under fire on Tuesday, falling by more than one big figure against the dollar to touch lows last seen in April 2017, as the risk of a no-deal Brexit popped back on the market’s radar. The [..]

Technical Analysis – EURGBP unlocks 6-month high; looks overbought

Posted on July 17, 2019 at 6:55 am GMT

EURGBP skyrocketed in the preceding couple of days, challenging a new six-month high of 0.9046. The rebound on the 0.8490 drove the pair to an upside rally above the 20- and 40-simple moving averages (SMAs) in the daily timeframe, confirming the bullish tendency. However, looking at the technical indicators, they seem overbought, suggesting a possible downside pullback. The MACD oscillator is weakening a bit slightly below the trigger line in the positive area, while the RSI is flattening after it [..]

Daily Market Comment – US retail sales & Powell’s remarks to set the tone

Posted on July 16, 2019 at 7:55 am GMT

US retail sales and remarks by Powell top the agenda today UK jobs data may be watched as Brexit news flow remains limited Kiwi ticks up, despite lingering RBNZ rate-cut speculation EU Commission chief awaits Parliamentary confirmation Dollar looks to US retail sales and Powell’s remarks The greenback recovered some ground to start the week, in the absence of any noteworthy US news to drive the price action. That may change today though, with the release of the nation’s retail [..]

Technical Analysis – EURGBP pierces 0.90 level; cautiously bullish in short-term

Posted on July 10, 2019 at 8:29 am GMT

EURGBP is flirting with the 0.90 level for the second day in a row, keeping its uptrend above its simple moving averages (SMAs) and near six-month highs. The RSI is a shy below its 70 overbought mark, while the MACD seems to be regaining momentum under its red signal line, suggesting a positive but cautious trading in the short-term. On the upside, the bulls could rest around a former resistance around 0.9032 before heading towards the 0.9060 key level. Slightly higher, [..]


Technical Analysis – EURGBP uptrend hits obstacle; starts losing momentum

Posted on July 5, 2019 at 12:48 pm GMT

EURGBP has hit a strong wall at the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of the downleg from 0.9111-0.8471 around 0.8974. Momentum indicators remain in bullish territory but are sending out mixed signals for the near-term picture. The stochastics are pointing upwards, suggesting further advances are possible in the coming days. However, the RSI has flatlined, indicating the latest upleg may have run its course. If the positive momentum holds and prices manage to break above immediate resistance at the 78.6% Fibonacci, the [..]

Daily Market Comment – US payrolls could decide how deep Fed cuts in July

Posted on July 5, 2019 at 7:53 am GMT

US employment data today will be crucial for Fed rate-cut expectations and the dollar Canadian jobs figures also due, as loonie touches new 2019 high In Europe, bond markets continue to price in QE, but euro snoozes US payrolls may dictate how deep Fed cuts in July and dollar’s path After a relatively quiet session on Thursday, the spotlight will fall on the US employment data today. Markets are still pricing in a ~25% probability for a ‘double’ rate cut [..]

Daily Market Comment – US stocks sail into uncharted waters; loonie shines

Posted on July 4, 2019 at 7:47 am GMT

American equities soar to record highs, as ‘bad news is good news’ again Loonie advances to best levels this year on Fed-BoC policy divergence Trump calls for weaker dollar, but dollar yawns US stocks hit new records American equity markets sailed into uncharted waters yesterday, with all the major indices – the S&P 500 (+0.77%), Dow Jones (+0.67%), and Nasdaq Composite (+0.74%) – closing at new record highs. In a classic case of ‘bad news is good news for stocks’, [..]

Daily Market Comment – Lagarde to succeed Draghi at ECB; US data eyed

Posted on July 3, 2019 at 8:09 am GMT

Lagarde to take over ECB after Draghi; markets bet on more QE BoE’s Carney strikes dovish tone, drags pound down Oil retreats as traders ‘sell fact’ after OPEC US ADP jobs and ISM non-manufacturing to drive dollar today IMF’s Lagarde chosen as next ECB chief In an otherwise quiet session on Tuesday, the biggest piece of news was that EU leaders finally reached a consensus on who to nominate for the Union’s top jobs. German defense minister Ursula von der [..]

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