Technical Analysis – EURJPY holds a bull flag near key resistance area

Posted on October 10, 2019 at 10:27 am GMT

EURJPY picked up steam on Thursday and hit two-week highs above the Ichimoku cloud in the four-hour chart, with the positive momentum in the RSI and the MACD painting a bright picture for the short-term. The area around 118.43, where the 38.2% Fibonacci of the upleg from 115.85 to 120.00 lies, is currently blocking the bullish action. If this resistance holds, the rally may take a breather around the 118.60 barrier before heading up to the 119.00 level and the [..]

Technical Analysis – EURJPY’s tumble takes a break, halting losses

Posted on October 2, 2019 at 8:52 am GMT

EURJPY seller’s second try only just conquered the 117.43 support, which is the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the up leg from 115.85 to 120.00. The pair adopted a brief side move after a sell-off bounced off that level. The flattened 200-period simple moving average (SMA) implies a stall in directional momentum. That said, the unfolding short-term negative outlook seems to be backed by the 50-period SMA, as it has completed a bearish crossover of the 200-period SMA, while the 100-period [..]

Daily Market Comment – Euro reels after dismal PMIs, but don’t panic yet

Posted on September 23, 2019 at 8:18 am GMT

Euro drops after German PMIs suggest recession ahead – but there may be good news there too Trump’s trade remarks dampen risk appetite Oil prices jump on reports that Saudi output may be offline for longer Euro reels as preliminary PMIs paint a gloomier picture The single currency is on the back foot early on Monday, following the release of the preliminary French and German PMIs for September, which signaled that more pain lies ahead for the European economy. All [..]


Technical Analysis – EURJPY recovery starts to lose steam; 50-SMA holds strong

Posted on September 19, 2019 at 2:41 pm GMT

EURJPY bulls retook control bouncing off the 119.00 handle, which is the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the up leg from 115.85 to 120.00 and where the restrictive 50-period simple moving average (SMA) also rests. The bears’ multiple attempts to breach below the 50-period SMA have been denied and the price seems to have started to adopt a sideways move. The 100- and 200-period SMAs are nearing a completion of a bullish cross, which supports the short-term developing bullish bias. [..]

Daily Market Comment – ECB meeting front and center as trade worries ease

Posted on September 12, 2019 at 8:11 am GMT

ECB decision today – euro reaction to hinge on size of stimulus package Trade fears recede after US and China extend olive branches – stocks soar Oil prices dive as Trump considers easing Iran sanctions ECB meeting: Is ‘Super Mario’ coming with a bazooka or a toy gun? The much-anticipated ECB meeting concludes today at 11:45 GMT, and a press conference by President Mario Draghi will follow at 12:30 GMT. Policymakers are widely expected to deliver a blend of stimulus [..]

Technical Analysis – EURJPY in recovery mode but descending channel holds the “bull flag”  

Posted on September 11, 2019 at 7:22 am GMT

EURJPY is prolonging the rebound off the 2 ½-year low of 115.85 as the RSI and the MACD are signaling mounting buying interest, with the former surpassing its 50 neutral mark and the latter improving above its signal line. Questions however remain about whether the bullish forces are strong enough to violate the descending channel to the upside. Should the price close comfortably above the channel, piercing the lower surface of the Ichimoku cloud and resistance around 119.86 as well, the rally could [..]

Daily Market Comment – Pound recovers as no-deal Brexit fears recede, for now

Posted on September 10, 2019 at 8:06 am GMT

Sterling outperforms as Johnson strikes a slightly more conciliatory tone Euro advances on reports Berlin is considering fiscal stimulus Safe havens retreat as US’ Mnuchin reiterates his optimism on trade Sterling cruises higher as no-deal Brexit chances recede, for now The political rollercoaster continues in the UK. Prime Minister Johnson lost another vote in Parliament yesterday, with lawmakers denying his request for a snap election again. Likewise, the legislation forcing the government to ask for a Brexit extension if no [..]

Daily Market Comment – Brexit the only game in town as markets wait for ECB

Posted on September 9, 2019 at 8:31 am GMT

All eyes on the UK as Boris takes another shot at securing a snap election Dollar little changed after NFP and Powell don’t move the needle – ECB in focus Markets stay in risk-on mood despite soft Chinese trade data Pound cools before another UK Parliament battle Never a dull moment in British politics. After a stormy week that saw the government lose its majority and suffer multiple Brexit defeats in Parliament, investors will keep their gaze locked on another [..]

Technical Analysis – EURJPY declines below 2017 low; bulls recoup losses

Posted on September 4, 2019 at 10:47 am GMT

EURJPY bulls took back five days of extended losses which stretched below the 2017 low of 116.45, moving the price above the mid-Bollinger band. The momentum indicators also reflect an increase in bullish directional momentum in the very short-term. The MACD has distanced itself above its red trigger line in the negative region, while the RSI moved out of the oversold area and crossed the 50-neutral level into bullish territory. Another bullish signal occurred as the price moved above the [..]


Technical Analysis – EURJPY rebounds from 2½-year low, but picture still negative

Posted on August 29, 2019 at 2:50 pm GMT

EURJPY hit a new 2½-year low earlier this week at 116.55 but found fresh buy orders and recovered a small portion of its losses. That said, the broader outlook remains negative as the price structure still consists of lower highs and lower lows, while the pair is also trading well below its 50- and 100-day simple moving averages (SMAs). Short-term momentum oscillators suggest that the current rebound may continue for now. The RSI – although in bearish territory – is [..]

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